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Ken Griffey Jr

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Posts posted by Ken Griffey Jr

  1. 4 hours ago, Ghost of LL said:

    Battle doesn't harden an army that suffers the casualties that the Russian Army has suffered.  Would you say that the United States Army was "battle tested" in 1974?  Fuck no, you wouldn't.  The United States Army in 1974 was severely degraded, and that's after having suffered 50,000 dead in ten years, not 70,000 in 20 months.

    The Ukrainian Army is also battle degraded.  And the Ukrainian nation is suffering mightily.  Their interest is for this war to successfully end at the earliest possible time.  So from that standpoint, the interests of Ukraine diverge somewhat from the interests of the United States.

    Again, I didn’t mean as far as manpower, although they appear to have more than Ukraine. They’re battle tested as they’ve had to adapt to this new kind of warfare. We’re seeing the increased number of drones, newer EW systems deployed. They’ve increased missile and shell production.  
     

    What EW capabilities do we have? What drone production capacity? I have no doubt that we can build higher tech, more expensive drones. But this conflict seems to be more about mass production than anything else. It’s shocking to me that we can’t match their artillery shell production anytime soon. The hollowing out of our industrial capacity is a big problem, especially if (when?) we end up in multiple conflicts. Our country is awfully complacent, and this thread is a microcosm of that imo. 
     

    34 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:I do enjoy this.  Very Axis Sally, "your landings have failed."

    Sic semper fascists.

    oh, it’s succeeded, but their plan was the Russian would scurry and they didn’t. Now they’re using small craft to bring over everything with sometimes not enough drinking water on the left side. Unless something changes it will be much ado about nothing.
     

    The calls that something big is about to happen is very reminiscent of the summer counteroffensive. 

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  2. 19 minutes ago, Ghost of LL said:

    Why would we want this to stop?

    All the dead Ukrainians? Decimation of their country? I certainly do get the cynical view that rubblizing and rebuilding parts of Ukraine will make some people money. There’s always unintended consequences though.
     

    Look what’s happening to Germany.  Vast deindustrialization. They’ll be moving to rust belt status in the future. How will that be handled by their population? Not well, I’m guessing. And I’m no saying I know how that could’ve been prevented, but a lot of this thread is Go Team! without even knowing if it’s true or what will be the fallout. 
     

    20 minutes ago, Ghost of LL said:

    Russia is militarily weaker than it was in January 2022, and that decline is continuing.

    In terms of manpower yes, but they’ve been battle tested in the new ways of war and ramped their spend significantly. 

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  3. 26 minutes ago, BehoId, The Underminer! said:

    getting "tipped off" to where Ukr is going to make a landing and then landing being made nonetheless isn't exactly a testament to strength

    You should read the actual article. The landing is going nowhere. 
     

    Here’s another interesting figure I saw recently. 
     

     

    Uk estimates 70,000 dead, counting Wagner. Less than I expected. 
     

     

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  4. 16 hours ago, atomheartbevo said:

    I can see both sides - make bigger gains in one area (the south) and leave the other areas in maintenance/defense mode, but the Ukrainian way seems to have probably killed more Russians (who are trying to take the Avdiivka and other areas), and they've got the Russians spread thin.  The landings across the Dnipro seem to be proving that point - the Russians don't seem to be able to give up on Avdiivka and try and kick the Ukrainians back across the river.

    And Ukraine is playing on Putin's ego and his (or one of his general's) obsession with Avdiivka.

    How can you be so sure of yourself and so wrong, repeatedly? You’re the perfect example of how isolated this thread has become.
     

    If the Russians are spread so thin, how do they have the initiative almost everywhere? As for the bridgehead, not all great news there. 
     

     

    You wouldn’t know from thread, but things are going to shit quickly.

     

     

    I thought Russia was weak?
     

     

    Bottom line is the prognostications here have been wrong. Y’all trumpet the same wrong 5 or 6 accounts from Twitter, so you come up with the wrong plans to get the outcome you want. Russia was always going to care about this more than us. So either we should’ve let the Istanbul negotiations go through and reach a ceasefire or we needed to ramp shit up. We broke up the initial peace negotiations because we wanted to weaken Russia and now they’ve cranked up their military production massively. Dumb 

     

    And this will all get deleted because the truth is hard to face. 
     

     

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