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heso

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  1. heso

    A&M at ND

    “A slight hold” holy fuck he dragged him down from behind after he got beat.
  2. When Indiana and Illinois can become playoff contenders, no one is permanently dead. All it takes is the right coach and money to buy a team.
  3. Wisconsin looks like they get off the field on a 3rd and long but get called for a pretty weak roughing the passer, bama scores on a 40 yard pass on the next play. 14-0
  4. Some charts based on the red zone scoring numbers I posted. Trigger warning: Texas is going to be the worst in a lot of these metrics. This first one is essentially the premise for going for it instead of taking the FG in the red zone, and completely unsurprising. Points per red zone attempt by red zone td %. The more often you score a td when you’re in the red zone the more points you score. Shocking, right? Texas is really bad at this. 54th in FBS at scoring TDs once they get in the red zone. But what about when you don’t score a TD? This next one is points per red zone attempt vs points per red zone attempt that didn’t result in a TD. Inversely, points per red zone attempt by the percentage of times that you come away with nothing. Again, unsurprising that coming away with nothing is bad and Texas came away with nothing the most. 111th in FBS in scoring % in the red zone. And points per red zone attempt by the percentage of times that a team attempted to kick a field goal instead of going for it on 4th down. At this point I was pretty strongly in the camp of taking the points vs going for it on 4th down. So what would it look like if they took the field goal as much as the highest of these teams. Same chart, bumping Texas to taking the field goal 72% of the time. Only from 4.98 points per red zone attempt to 5.24. They would only have to increase their red zone td% from their actual 64% to 68% to achieve the same result. That’s moving from 54th in fbs to 38th. What if they kicked and made the FG 100% of the time? That would increase points per red zone attempt to 5.55, still below average for the group. They’d need to increase their TD % from 64% to 72% to achieve the same result, 14th in fbs, 4th of these 8 teams. So the problem isn’t in the decision to go for it. It’s the inability to score TDs in the red zone. For comparison, 2023 was even worse in red zone td %. 120th in FBS in red zone td%. They the field goal more often, came away with nothing less often, scored more points on drives that didn’t result in a TD, but still score half a point less per red zone attempt. What’s mind bottling is how a team with this level of talent is underperforming so badly once they get in the red zone. Edit to add, not only is Texas bad at converting red zone opportunities into TDs, because they are so aggressive in going for it, they compound the problem and end up worse than the peer group in all of the other red zone metrics.
  5. Some numbers from last season for Texas and the other SEC, B1G, and ND playoff teams. RZ % is red zone tds and fgs, so scoring anything vs coming away with nothing. RZ sc/g is the total number of scores from the red zone per game (I would have preferred RZ ppg, but I couldn’t find that number easily). RZ TD % is the percentage of RZ attempts that are converted to TDs. RZ Att is total number of RZ attempts. 4th % and Att are totals not just in the red zone. PPG is total points per game, not RZ. These are all FBS ranks. Last season, of the major playoff teams, Texas got into the red zone the most but also came away with nothing most often. Scored a TD the second least. Their drives stalled out the most, and they settled for the FG the least, and despite the aggressive play, didn’t get TDs more often, and didn’t end up with more total points per game from it. They were also the highest in 4th down attempts and least successful in those attempts. A couple of comparisons there, Texas was tied with PSU & UGA in total 4th down conversions despite going for it more often. And ND was almost as aggressive on 4th down but significantly more successful in converting them. Edit: I calculated the points per attempt in the red zone for these 8 teams. In order from most to least points per red zone attempt: Indiana - 5.97 OSU - 5.69 PSU - 5.59 Oregon - 5.58 UGA - 5.5 ND - 5.3 Tenn - 4.95 Texas - 4.94
  6. This one was also amusing.
  7. ND scores again right before halftime. up 21 - 17
  8. I was really conflicted. I decided im rooting against LSU without rooting for Clemson.
  9. They better not pick that up. The wr gets there if he’s not held.
  10. Off target throws - 33%. Highest of any Texas QB in the last 10 seasons.
  11. I don’t expect them to go the way of Nebraska where they become completely irrelevant, but more part of the churn where some years they are playoff contenders and some years they’re trash.
  12. The comments that this game means nothing are just coping with the probability of losing it. This game doesn't mean anything if you win the rest. But if they lose another game it could be the difference in a home game vs a road game in the first round of the playoffs.
  13. That should be overturned. I don’t have faith in it happening
  14. Cuse scores to make it a game with 2 minutes left in the half and is now getting shredded to give it back before half time
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