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Posts posted by Thetexashammer
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1 minute ago, TexasMan said:
Holy shitballs.
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If you're not using Cialis you're doing it wrong.
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1 hour ago, deech said:
Let me ask a question for those familiar. What is the punishment for going over the NIL cap? Kicked of the SEC, NCAA? What is the mechanism to punish the people who are over budget?
You have to have sex with fitlump, over and over again.
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Texas Recruiting Notes 2026: We're better than you but maybe not at football
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55 minutes ago, closetojumping said:
List of thread details, from best types to the most inane, insipid shit imaginable.
1) Arguing over hottest famous women.
2) Arguing over hottest women on campuses.
3) Personal stories about random subject matter triggered by some mention in a recruiting update.
4) Cheese puns.
5) Campus weather discussions.
6) Academic dick-measuring among schools competing for a player.
7) Reliving terrible shit in Texas football history.
8 ) BBQ snobs finding their way from the food board to discuss brisket smoking nuances and other super dumb shit associated to BBQ snobbery.
People are feeling blue. But there's no need to pray to cheesus. Most of us are really grateful for Sark, he is the goat. We've got more than enough cheddar to cream the competition. We have TWO munster incoming O linemen. The bedwetters don't know jack.
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2 hours ago, Parliament said:
Let’s avoid looking for political angles to this
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7 hours ago, Hank_Hill said:
Glad this distraction seems to be resolving so people can return their focus to the other war against brown going on at home
I am trying to eat more fiber.
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Oil is down $0.65 and the stock market is up. Nobody with money on the line is in any way impressed by the anticipated Iranian response.
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1 minute ago, Brian Fantana said:
Like just to be clear, this is what people have a major problem with. Several high ranking US government officials have literally come out and outright said this, THIS WEEK. You act like we're making this shit up.
Please provide some evidence of this.
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Interesting story here about 20,000 child martyrs.
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9 minutes ago, Brian Fantana said:
It's like nobody watched the clone wars dammit! 😜
I honestly wonder how true this is. If foreign policy decisions are being solely made by Trump and Stephen Miller, it makes me think we're just all dead.
Or imagine that the president had no idea what was going on due to his dementia.
You knew this was coming if you followed the Pentagon Pizza Tracker LOL.
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Iran's most likely course of action is an asymmetric attack on soft American targets, not military action. It is highly unlikely they will simply not respond.
This isn't the off ramp.
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If you were to purchase a box of hammers, it is unlikely they would cost substantially more than last year. At least that is what the data shows.
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6 minutes ago, Brian Fantana said:
Bro, come on. You've had plenty of good takes but this is the most incredibly baby brained take on US/Iranian/Israeli relations I may have ever seen in my life.
It's not like they were keeping it a big secret.
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“Everyone that I know is forecasting a meaningful increase in inflation in coming months from tariffs because someone has to pay for the tariffs,”
{Powell said he expects to see tariff related inflation in the coming months. Not off several years in the future.
It's not like the quotes were hard to find, or he was vague in his word choice.
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So you think that Jay Powell is wrong? Do you have some justification for disagreeing with mainstream economics?
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The question comes down to whether or not you are willing to let them have a nuclear bomb. Iran is the leading worldwide sponsor of terror attacks. They were the leading proponent of the Oct 7 attack, of the Houthis and their attacks on commercial trade, and of Hezbollah. They openly celebrate the rape and killing of women and the murder of (Christian or Jewish) children. They've been this way for decades. It is informative to consider the words of Khamenei from one month ago, prior to the current war. The point is, these aren't just emotional utterances but rather are fundamental values of the regime.
There is fundamentally no reason to enrich uranium. These fools are sitting on top of vast oceans of hydrocarbons. It's a nuclear program with one purpose. For this reason, literally nobody is coming to their rescue. There was no commercial reason to bury their uranium enrichment 300 feet deep outside of anticipating the air campaign. Nobody wants a nuclear arms race in the middle east.
Iran has no friends, not even China.
But air campaigns are not effective at regime change. So it's a conundrum, if you believe that they cannot have a nuclear weapon, which Trump has stated over and over again. Where is the off ramp? Do we have to use tactical nukes on Fordo? What do we do in six months if there is no regime change?
I do think the odds of an actual ground invasion are basically zero. I think if Iran tries to close the Straits, they will unite the world against them and actually get the regime change that is so unlikely as of now.
I think maybe 60% our attack will come this weekend.
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May Core inflation 2.4% YoY but only 0.1% MoM. No sign of tariff inflation at all.
May US PPI MoM 0.1%, also showing no signs of tariff inflation.
Initial jobless claims steady at 248k.
Nonfarm payrolls at 139k. Very weak for this size economy, and obviously there were downward revisions of prior reports as there always are. So the real number is probably a lot lower than 139k.
May Empire State manufacturing index was -16. Completely terrible, but it's NY it doesn't really matter.
May Retail sales -0.9%. I talked with Martha Stewart, that's not a good thing.
The household employment survey showed a loss of 700k jobs, but this indicator isn't considered reliable in the short term.
Housing starts down to 1.26 million from 1.36 million. Both terrible objectively, and well below consensus.
Initial jobless claims this week still steady at 245k, but there was a holiday so who knows really. Continuing jobless claims however surprised to the upside.
Leading economic indicators came in yesterday at -0.1%. From the Conference Board:
QuoteThe Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US ticked down by 0.1% in May 2025 to 99.0 (2016=100), after declining by 1.4% in April (revised downward from –1.0% originally reported). The LEI has fallen by 2.7% in the six-month period ending May 2025, a much faster rate of decline than the 1.4% contraction over the previous six months.
“The LEI for the US fell again in May, but only marginally,” said Justyna Zabinska-La Monica, Senior Manager, Business Cycle Indicators, at The Conference Board. “The recovery of stock prices after the April drop was the main positive contributor to the Index. However, consumers’ pessimism, persistently weak new orders in manufacturing, a second consecutive month of rising initial claims for unemployment insurance, and a decline in housing permits weighed on the Index, leading to May’s overall decline. With the substantial negatively revised drop in April and the further downtick in May, the six-month growth rate of the Index has become more negative, triggering the recession signal.
Basically, if you were hoping for inflation, you are likely to be disappointed. Tariff-flation isn't showing up. But good news if you hate Trump, this is because the economy is decelerating and appears to be headed towards (probably mild) recession, barring any animal spirits.
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1 hour ago, PTINS said:
I agree with this. Watch the first 3 minutes of Argo.
The world has changed a lot since 1979. America does't have anywhere near the influence, and a lot of countries have a lot of money = influence.
I'm not offering any endorsement or criticism of anybody, but Iran migrating towards a Qatari/Emirates mindset would make the world a much better place. As Charliie Wilson opined, "You think they might be a lot happier over there if they could just get women and booze in the same room at the same time?" -
On 6/8/2025 at 8:15 PM, Hornius Emeritus said:
Freakin' Pogo AGAIN!
That was some of the most insane racing I've ever seen.
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34 minutes ago, Sawbonz said:
Fuck Iran
The people are great. The government not so much.
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Texas Recruiting Notes 2026: Boulevard of Broken Bagmen
in 🤫$9.95🤫
Posted · Edited by Thetexashammer
Paying $5 million to one guy is not how you build a program. Even if it's a few guys you overpay for, and I get that the only way you can get them is to overpay, it's not how you build a program. Losers are gonna loser.
Drama drama. Brought to you by the idiots who fired Mike Leach.