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horncyclist

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Posts posted by horncyclist

  1. I'd guess there was probably a discussion with Trump where he wanted to use tactical nukes and they convinced him 14 bunker busters would be the equivalent--and he'd be dropping the biggest bombs since Hiroshima. I have in mind, he had to be talked out of tactical nukes and given an equivalent toy to play with--like switching out toys with a child.ย 

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  2. 17 minutes ago, Gatorubet said:

    I think the internal polling numbers told them what was gonna happen, and the only thing you could do is try not to completely eliminate the enthusiasm so the down ballot votes would not be so horrible. ย 

    I took that prediction as more of a survival strategy once they figured out what was going to happen than ย being his actual assessment of what would happen

    My campaign connnection said the same re: internals. They were reasonably confident. Silent moron voteโ€ฆor it was rigged.

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  3. 2 minutes ago, jimmyjazz said:

    I like James Carville, but I fear he is way off base with his prediction of a Trump administration collapse.ย  Trump owns all 3 branches, he has unassailable support.

    He also was predicting Kamala would win easilyโ€ฆ.hes been around a long time and is savvy but Trump will maintain a lot of power even when things get shitty. I think Civil War (movie) outcome might be as likely as their going easily/being chastened and politically held accountable.

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  4. 11 minutes ago, immamac said:

    I've thought about this more since my last post. I keep coming to the same conclusion.

    These people are deeply unserious morons. They are failing catastrophically and absolutely flailing and lashing. There is no real threat to anyone because America isn't in a position to do much of anything right now except for be along for the ride. These guys are trying to paddle upstream in white water rapids and they just haven't hit that one rock or drop to capsize the raft yet.ย 

    No one is afraid of Trump, they are ignoring him, because he's a moron. The US has no leverage beyond small changes in the global economy, and it can't and won't be able to wage a trade war on everyone. The GDP retraction that is incoming and nearly unstoppable at this point will really start to cause massive panic and there's no help coming. Its why all the competent leaders are leaving their posts without much fight and fanfare. It seems like everyone knows the best way to deal with this is to let this admin completely exhaust itself in the deep water and even if they ask for help to let them just slowly but surely drown.ย 

    I hope youโ€™re right. Serious or not theyโ€™re going to fuck up a lot before public opinion/markets put a stop to it. And then Iโ€™m afraid of how they respond once their backs are against the wall. I think youโ€™re right on the disaster course but donโ€™t know how it ends.ย 

  5. 28 minutes ago, SubliminalHorn said:

    Iโ€™m all for addressing issues with our food such as added chemicals, preservatives, dyes, etc. if that fucking guy actually stumbles into addressing this and improving it, then Iโ€™ll absolutely give credit where itโ€™s due. But I have very low expectations any of that will actually happenย 

    My son has ADHD and a number of food dyes make him bonkers for days...dramatic mood shifts, combativeness, all sorts of issues. We were skeptical at first but the connection was so clear we've started avoiding them, and it's such a strong and uncomfortable reaction, he does too. Theres're warnings, bans on some, in Europe, and theย  foodvindustry there has removed most of them as a result. In the US, California recently banned several and the public debate around it was parents describing how harmful they are versus food industry people saying, "well, people like the colors and banning them would hurt sales."ย  The truth is a lot of stuff we consume, including approved drugs, are not sufficiently studied, especially long term effects, and maybe we need someone out there like RFK to challenge the industries. I'm just extremely skeptical it will come to fruition once our good friends at Nestle and Coca-Cola catch wind of the actual proposals. You really think Trump is going to go against the rich guys?ย 

    Something like this happened with me with before the irst Trump administration. There's something appealing about some of the MAGA idea--recapture nationalism and our ability to do things as a nation. We went to the moon, then what sort of feeling? I knowย  in reality we've advanced on all fronts but the sense of togetherness eroded tremendously. You can see the need for a radical shift. The problem is, Trump is a con man, and what we really get is authoritarianism and a vehicle for radical right dismantlement of the government and curtailment of rights. It will be bad, very bad, and none of RFK Jr's seemingly helpful ideas or anything else truly positive will happen. We get nothing.ย 

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  6. Remember when Ben Carson to HUD was thought to be bonkers? Or Rick Perry not knowing what the Department of Energy did when appointed? Either of them would probably be more competent than 90% of those that end up in this cabinet. And this is the first line of appointments, wait until what we have after 2 years of chaos and turnover.ย 

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  7. Did anyone ever answer the House outcome question? I'm still seeing NY Times showing very easy path to control for the dems. That would provide some protection for the next two years at least. Followed by the typical mid-term losses for party in the Whitehouse. It'd provide some oversight to the insanity that's about to come and block the worst of government dismantling.ย 

  8. 1 minute ago, Texasborn91 said:

    This really drives home the fact that Kamala was a shitty candidateย 

    Yes, this is the answer. I think most any of the others on the short list--man or woman--would have outperformed her. I went along with the enthusiasm but in hindsight it all felt a little manufactured--as her prior Dem primary run did--and while it was enough to get me to care, it fell flat on those that needed a reason to vote for her. The rejection of Trump wasn't enough motivation, even though it should have been. I was in favor of the open Primary and still think that could have led to a stronger candidate. We'll never know now and our goal should turn towards making Trump a 2 term president. That is not a guaranteed outcome here.ย 

  9. Also posted this on the House Thread that appeared to not have much activity, so putting here too.ย How's the House looking? NY Times has a good dashboard showing what's outstanding and bucketing expected winners.ย https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-house.htmlย If you take the "Democrats expected to win easily" and "Democracts expected to win narrowly" races with a current dem lead, you get to a dem majority. It's surprising they could pull this off given Kamala's collapse but perhaps Trump/GOP's relative neglect of down ballet led to this outcome. This would be a massive silver lining if they pull it off and provide at least some check on Trump's power.ย What's the read here from experts? Pelosi stated confidently they would take the house, though no telling if she knew what was in-store for Kamala at that point--guessing she did and factored in to her prediction.ย 

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  10. How's the House looking? NY Times has a good dashboard showing what's outstanding and bucketing expected winners.ย https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-house.htmlย If you take the "Democrats expected to win easily" and "Democracts expected to win narrowly" races with a current dem lead, you get to a dem majority. It's surprising they could pull this off given Kamala's collapse but perhaps Trump/GOP's relative neglect of down ballet led to this outcome. This would be a massive silver lining if they pull it off and provide at least some check on Trump's power.ย 

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  11. 1 minute ago, linux said:

    She lost Wisconsin, it was over before the Biden coup.

    I think Biden fucked us twice. Not stepping aside in 2023 to allow a Primary, and then anointing Kamala when he did step aside. It's easy to say this in hindsight given how terribly she performed but I do think an open Primary and convention nomination ends up with a better candidate. Probably Shapiro. He would have had more distance from Biden and probably brought more of affirmative case for himself.ย 

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  12. 1 minute ago, Yev Kassem said:

    Everyone watching this orange shitstain declare victory tonight can thank Democratic leadership for putting out the absolute worst candidate possible for this election.ย 

    I really didn't like her as a candidate andย  had hoped for the mini Primary. Pelosi apparently thought the same. It's possible it wouldn't have mattered who the candidate was. Would Josh Shapiro have won? Gavin Newsome? What's hard for me to wrap my head around is how we all convinced ourselves Kamala was doing great and running the rest campaign she could while apparently falling completely flat with the electorate. Again, considering the ledge and all, probably wouldn't have mattered at all.ย 

    ย 

  13. 8 minutes ago, ulukinatme said:

    There are some jobs like in farming that Americans are too lazy to do, or the pay is so little they'll refuse to take the job. That should be a viable path to work visas and possible citizenship for people that will take those jobs.

    Then you've got migrants shipped to Ohio that are receiving government assistance. Landlords have been kicking out poor white renters, fixing up their properties and renting them to said migrants. The migrants will then do the jobs the poor white people were willing to do, but for less. It's one thing to take jobs that no one here is willing to do, it's a bit different when we're importing cheaper labor and putting Americans on the street.

    If Trump managed to barter or force an end to the war in Ukraine, with little or no involvement, would that be a positive or negative?ย 

    Ukraine is fucked. There will be a negotiated truce and then Putin will ignore it and overtake the country. A lot of people are going to suffer and freedom will be lost.ย 

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  14. 17 minutes ago, immamac said:

    Joe Biden delayed what now seems inevitable. The American people did this to themselves. Trump didn't force anyone to vote for him.ย 

    America isn't a monolith, but it has lacked accountability and strong moral direction for a significant portion of my life. This is a sign of an eroded society incapable of accountability or collective goodwill. The American you live in isn't changing, the feeling you feel now is what brisket has been talking about. Trump is a symptom, he's not the disease. The American population is sick (unhealthy) and a lot of people thought defeating Trump in this election would turn the page and put things on the mend. After tonights result, even if a few hundred thousand people switched their votes and the outcome was different I don't believe for one second that it would heal America. There's something deeply wrong with a large majority of the country.ย 

    This is really well said and the feeling I'll be left with after tonight. It's hard because we continue to have so much potential but not enough to stop the decay. Things are going to have to get truly bad and then hopefully a leader comes forward to rebuild. It's going to be a mess because through the courts and legislation, what Trump brings about will be extremely difficult to reverse and this electorate won't realize dismantling the modern state is the cause for their suffering. They didn't realize the creep that got us to this point. I very much fear the worst, plan to resist, but mostly plan to turn inward to my family and guarding the life I have.ย 

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  15. How much control does Trump have over the commanding generals and military chains of command? Constitutionally, complete control right? Is he going to have those Hitler generals he was jealous of and what does he do with them? And I'm terrified of where this goes once the collection of bad decisions that are about to be unfold catch up to him. When things are going south, how will he respond?ย 

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