I assumed that as well. No reason Oregon and Washington should get less than $50 million while Purdue and Rutgers are close to $100 million or whatever the escalators end up at.
The remaining 9 teams (Zona included or SDSU) would have to take a haircut from $20 million/year down to roughly $17.5 million to get Oregon/UW to the Big 12's $31 million. It is worth it to the non Big 12 invitees but Utah/ASU/Arizona would be stupid to agree to such.
This probably tells more about the Oregon/Washington smoke being real.
The PAC will have 4 teams left over after this to merge with the MWC's 11. Does a 15 team PAC/MWC get closer to the $4 million MWC deal or $20 million PAC deal?
The big 10 isn't adding those schools if/when Oregon/Washington make the jump. Kansas was speculated because of the basketball side when the Big12 was rocky and nothing ever came of it for the same reasons.
FSU and Clemson leaving won't kill the ACC. The reason the PAC is dying is that they're losing their 4 biggest brands and Colorado. The ACC will have to backfill with a Sun Belt raid or Memphis/SMU but they'll still be the clear 4th in the new P4. A P4 makes the most sense in the expanded playoff era for potential auto bids and scheduling with the top 2 conferences.
Of all the names flying around the only schools that don't crater the Big10 and SEC tv value are Oregon, Washington, Clemson, and FSU. Every other team (Stanford, Cal, UNC etc.) are ranked outside the top 40 in average viewers last year while Washington is the lowest of the big 4 at 34. Taking in those 4 may not add full media share value to those conferences but it does help offset the negative values of the Vanderbilts and Rutgers of the world.
Networks need these games to survive so they will always value them much higher than streamers who can live off of content they produce/d. Keeping this sport on networks/cable is the only way for it to survive and continue to grow.
I would love for them to come to the 12 if possible. Then add Uconn/Gonzaga for hoops only and that is #3 in football, #1 in hoops, and #2 in baseball. Hard to beat that.
Probably a no for now with a huge buyout to leave the Big 12 for 10-15 years. Oregon just needs a commitment to cover that from Knight and I bet they'll move quickly. With the Big 10 and NBC now in bed that makes ND (who just joined the AAU last month) a real possibility in '31. Oregon would be the best match for them to pair with at that time.
They would have to blow up the conference. With the Big 12 going west and not enough spots left in the Big 10/SEC to take in the powers that seems unlikely.
More than likely because they have no partner like UCLA/SC and UT/OU. If they ever get ND to join the Big10 then Oregon would be the only worthy partner of the remaining gettable schools.
RE Oregon not moving the needle for the Big 10. They were 12th in avg viewership per game last year above all current and future Big 10 teams outside of Michigan, tOSU, and Penn State.
The Pac is officially dead. SDSU not leaving the MWC should have been a good sign this was coming. The Big 12 adding Colorado, Utah, and the two Arizonas to get to 16 seems like the most logical at this point