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Wilcox Cummingtonite

Certifiably Surly
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Posts posted by Wilcox Cummingtonite

  1. 10 hours ago, FartingMonk said:

    You don't know how many people I'm trying to get a simple answer from and they leave this little cutsie ass message.  I'm working from home today so I may be napping or taking my puppy to the park.  I'll respond when I get the chance.  I'm a lowly peon and it pisses me off.  Imagine what a c level executive is feeling 

    ^This is exactly why WFH is gonna be fucked for some Americans soon. Corps will realize they can just hire Sandeep instead who will take half the pay to do 5 times the work “remotely” from India.

    Sucks for people who actually are able to be productive working at home. I’m not one of them, but I envy those that can.

    • Fuck You 2
  2. 55 minutes ago, GreenspointTexas said:

    You guys do know about the Balcones fault and the weather, right?

    Quote

    6. Summary and conclusions

    In this study, three different heavy precipitation and flash-flood events were examined to evaluate the effect that the Balcones Escarpment has on extreme precipitation in central Texas. Each event had different synoptic or mesoscale characteristics but all resulted in flooding damage and fatalities along the terrain feature. Numerical simulations were run using ARW at a convection-allowing grid spacing to ensure that a reasonable representation of the event was produced along the Balcones Escarpment. For each case, an experiment was conducted in which the elevation gradient associated with the Balcones Escarpment was removed.

    To first order, the removal of the Balcones Escarpment did not change the precipitation characteristics of the events presented in this study. The occurrence and magnitude of the events were not significantly altered, with the overall spatial pattern and area-averaged precipitation showing little change when the terrain feature was removed. However, a shift in the precipitation to the north and west was found in simulations of all three cases. This shift in precipitation associated with removing the Balcones Escarpment, when compared to an ARW ensemble based on the parent Reforecast-2 ICs and LBCs, was much smaller than shifts associated with typical ensemble variability. Although hydrologic factors associated with the Balcones Escarpment make central Texas prone to flooding, it does not appear to cause the extreme precipitation events, of the scale analyzed in this study, that lead to flooding. Based on the results of this study, we conclude that when the synoptic to mesoscale ingredients for extreme convective precipitation are in place over the Balcones Escarpment, the terrain does not directly affect the occurrence or magnitude of precipitation in the region. However, it does appear to affect the spatial distribution of the accumulated rainfall in a small but consistent way—namely, by shifting the axis of heaviest precipitation slightly to the northwest. While the Balcones Escarpment did not seem to directly affect the occurrence and magnitudes of the extreme precipitation events studied here, the increased hydrological propensity for dangerous flash flooding associated with the terrain feature should not be ignored. Ongoing work will attempt to examine the effect of the terrain rise on smaller-scale atmospheric phenomena, such as isolated thunderstorms. Since there is a spectrum of convective processes that can produce locally heavy precipitation, it is important to fully understand the meteorological influences the Balcones Escarpment has in this flood-prone region.

    https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-15-0156.1

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