-
Posts
1444 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Store
Downloads
Recruiting - 2020
2019-2020 Football Season
Football
Entertainment
Sports
News and Business
Cloak Room
Transfer Portal
Recruiting
Events
Posts posted by softlynow
-
-
Michael Lewis did a chapter on Trump nominating Barry Myers, CEO of Accuweather to be the Under Secretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere in The Fifth Risk. Good read, if you want to freak yourself out more about Trump 2.0. The potrait he painted of Trump 1.0 was bad enough.
-
2
-
2
-
-
1 hour ago, troph said:
Takes three consecutive months of negative growth for a technical recession I think. So depends on this month. If it starts now then in May it would be recognized.
Recession: When Bad Times Prevail
QuoteCalling a recession
There is no official definition of recession, but there is general recognition that the term refers to a period of decline in economic activity. Very short periods of decline are not considered recessions. Most commentators and analysts use, as a practical definition of recession, two consecutive quarters of decline in a country’s real (inflation-adjusted) gross domestic product (GDP)—the value of all goods and services a country produces. Although this definition is a useful rule of thumb, it has drawbacks. A focus on GDP alone is narrow, and it is often better to consider a wider set of measures of economic activity to determine whether a country is indeed suffering a recession. Using other indicators can also provide a timelier gauge of the state of the economy.
In the United States, the private National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), which maintains a chronology of the beginning and ending dates of U.S. recessions, uses a broader definition and considers a number of measures of activity to determine the dates of recessions. The NBER’s Business Cycle Dating Committee defines a recession as “a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in production, employment, real income, and other indicators. A recession begins when the economy reaches a peak of activity and ends when the economy reaches its trough.” Consistent with this definition, the Committee focuses on a comprehensive set of measures—including not only GDP, but also employment, income, sales, and industrial production—to analyze the trends in economic activity.
-
1 minute ago, Brisketexan said:
Do what Americans used to do -- fight back.
Now they just grift, like Rick Wilson in that video above, or most of the posters touting the newest worst thing evar! on Twitter/BlueSky.
-
1
-
-
4 minutes ago, 'stache said:
I honestly don't know the answer at this point.
-
3
-
-
9 hours ago, TwiceHorn said:
Wonder what would have happened had you been caught getting a beej? Or in flagrante delicto.
-
18 minutes ago, High Plains Drifter said:
As usual, Democrats are fucking this opportunity up.
Dems need to make sure people know that while these are dOTarD's policies, the R's in Congress are just letting this shit happen. Dems need to be hammering that message- Congressional R's are just as culpable as DOtarD.
9 minutes ago, Al Bundy's Napoleon Hand said:Here's the simple concise message Dems to deliver-
Fuck Elon
Fuck Trump
Fuck Russia
Fuck The GOP
They need Crockett on TV, FB, Tiktok, etc. every day doing her thing.
-
3
-
1
-
-
- Popular Post
1 hour ago, TexArcher said:I'd rather have Omar as president.
-
7
-
4
-
3
-
32 minutes ago, David Dennison said:
They say it's happening.
They're also losing in court.
Dismantling the federal bureaucracy is going to be much harder than they think. They can put up as many numbers as they want. That doesn't mean they are accurate or that they are achieving the goals they set for themselves. We won't know how much they actually shrink the government for quite some time.
-
2
-
2
-
-
47 minutes ago, David Dennison said:
Quietly, probably not.
But he's going to go. I have no doubt about that.
Way to go out in a limb.
-
4 minutes ago, wildcat09 said:
Dennison is low-key one of our worst posters.
Has anyone ever seen him and bad teammate in a room together?
-
1
-
3
-
-
1 hour ago, David Dennison said:
So it's the left wing version of stop the steal.
No, it's realized that for them, every accusation is a confession.
You really think the piece of shit who tried a coup on 1/6/21 (and all this other shit) is going to go quietly this time?
But go ahead, ana2, both sides this.
-
1
-
-
2 minutes ago, David Dennison said:
What does this even mean?
It means there are a number of scenarios where, if we actually do have elections, the result will be predetermined or won’t actually matter.
-
1 minute ago, troph said:
I actually fuel my preparedness with hope. I protect myself from trauma with strategy and action. As a trans woman that has out kicked my coverage in every aspect of my life and then some…. I think I’ll stick to my innate methods that have served me well.
that’s not to say I expect republicans to just turn on Trump. I think we are in a devastating trap of populace having brain worms and the oligarchs can money whip if needed any elected official. But if there is a way to break this, it will be because Trump goes too far beyond his support. If 5% break ranks on him and 5% more show up at the polls he’s toast…. If we have elections…
We won’t have real ones.
As someone way down the potential state’s enemies list, I should be more sanguine about my personal situation. I just can’t be. My hope is I slowly get numb to it all. My children are still young and I need to keep myself going for them. Kudos to you for keeping your chin up.
-
4 minutes ago, troph said:
I am too, but we had been recording her show and I decided to watch the latest.
Pitzker speech was her lead, he was good.
Polling is declining for him, over 90% of Americans don’t trust Putin, Trump does. That will impact him.
Some republicans are starting speak out - focused on Ukraine push back, people are protesting, and news papers all over the country including in rural-ish areas are blasting Trump based on headlines she showed.
Don’t do that to yourself. They’re “concerned.” Nothing more. Hope is gonna drive you crazy. All that’s left to do is watch the train wreck and figure out how to make it through to the other side a couple decades from now.
-
15 hours ago, BrickHorn said:
Business schools are such a fucking joke.
Law schools are behind the times, still teaching that the rule of law, precedence, and stare decisis matter. I bet they still cling to the antiquated idea that no one is above the law.
-
3
-
2
-
1
-
1
-
-
1 hour ago, Chuckie Finster said:
r/Conservative is normally one of the bleakest locations on the internet, but reading the comments here - even they aren't buying Trump's bullshit on this.
Not yet. But they will very soon.
-
2
-
-
1 minute ago, Brisketexan said:
Dude.....you haven't been paying attention to how genuinely shitty this timeline is. At this point, a preseason unranked aggy stumblefucking their way into a national championship seems like a certainty. Every roll of the dice these days turns up snake eyes.
I will never lose all hope that some things are immutable. I didn't lose that hope when Charlie botched a coin toss, when Arky held us to one Watson in Houston, when our HFC cried on the sidelines and when aggy landed the "best recruiting class EVARRR," and certainly won't now.
Now, democracy? That's done. Every other decent thing about this country? Yeah, America is shit just like all the other countries to exist. The very idea that we'll go down swinging before handing almost literally everything of value over to New York and South African conmen and a Russian autocrat? No, looks like we'll just type out our grievance then trudge willingly into proverbial boxcars.
But, my good man, aggy will always be aggy. See, box score aggy at Texas, 1/25/2025.
-
Just now, Brisketexan said:
These days, reading any history book covering around 1900 to 1945 IS "doomscrolling" due to parallels and shit.
Except 1939, if you're aggy.
-
3
-
-
1 hour ago, kevwun said:
Or it causes a new arms buildup like the one that helped start WW1.
I may re-read of The Guns of August instead of doomscrolling for the next couple weeks.
-
1 hour ago, Bozo_Casanova said:
Also nonsense. Good local candidates live off the land. This is one area where politics is distinct from product marketing. Contesting every race with good candidates is 100% accretive. And if it isn’t accretive, they aren’t good candidates.
You're simply being obtuse at this point. They aren't going to run without some support. You know better, but your framing of this holds out the Demcratic Party as a corporation with agents in every county and district. They're simply choosing not to run people in Montgomery County, for example. It isn't that there are plenty Dems there who would think about running for something, but understand the futility of it. Instead its DemCo simply choosing to sit it out.
"Contest every race." Requires candidates, right? Where there is local support they do run. Where there isn't, they'll need outside money if you're going to run the touchdown play.
Contest every race either requires money that isn't there or a shift in ideology that shifts the entire landscape. It requires an entirely different big tent. Running better national and statewide candidates out there, ones who seem genuine, but are simply warmed over centrists, will also do nothing in giving it a run in 3144 counties.
Your point that the party as constructed is spinning its wheels is sound. The bullet point "contest every race" is not. A better party might get there organically.
-
46 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:
Nonsense. Money is cheap nowadays. Attention is precious. Having the most money has never been less important in our lives. What’s important now is being interesting.
It is for the specific thing you were talking about.
-
1
-
-
16 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:
I don’t think so.
I actually see positive signs at the grassroots and donor level. This thing is really close. It’s not as though Republicans have some massive dominance or anything. Democrats have finally lost the luxury of self-deception. I’m open to the idea that they might change the way they do business. I haven’t seen it yet, but at least right now when party apparatchiks discourage a good candidate from entering a race people are outraged about it.What you're quoting is focused on your "contest every race" comment. That only happens organically, absent gobs of money. I think it only happens organically with a dramatic idealogical shift in the party. Until then, you're relying on what you abhor - the savior candidate that connects despite the party still only offering something incrementally better, or at least less bad, than the other guys.
-
13 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:
The top three issues in my community are the cost of living, homelessness and traffic, but addressing them is much less important in an election than connecting to how people feel about them.
I agree that this is the area Dems need to examine and shift. However, questions abound. Coming off as genuine on those 3 will require a dramatic shift in party messaging. A candidate here and there who "feels your pain" won't cut it anymore.
Is the electorate ready for what will be derided as a return to mid-20th c. liberalism or an even further left shit to social democracy? Pubs only need to dust off "tax and spend" and the "nine most terrifying words" pablum. So, do you keep enough of the current base in the fold as you, hopefully, pick up non-voters looking for real expansion of the safety net? Can you peel away folks from the GOP with an economic focus? How do you peel them away when they're disinclined to side with people they see as satanists and n-/gay lovers?
Considering their performance in 2024, we've probably entered "worth a shot" territory. Obama was wrong. It was not he but Trump that ended the Reagan era. That era was marked by 2 major parties much closer in ideology than either would want to admit. I think the usefullness of the Third Way has passed.
The problem remains, though, in getting Dem-aligned special interest groups to see it that way, too.
-
9 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:
Oh to be clear- it’s not a proposal I’m stating the nature of the problem which is that the institution is currently constructed is built to lose.
I didn't miss that thesis. But framing the problem the way you have, you're actually stating that it's an intractible one, that's it's one requiring enormous and unavailable resources to overcome.
-
2
-
DOGE: America Fucking Around
in Cloak Room
Posted
That's the facial hair of a combo bait shop and used tire store owner . . .
Or of the kind of sex offender who tells their attorney "if I did it, it was so she'd know what boys her age are all trying to do to her," while maintaining his innocence after being shown extremely damning DNA test results of swabs from a rape kit and from multiple bedding articles found in the child's room as well as from a half dozen used condoms found in a corner of the garage. Said condoms he claims he only used to masturbate in because he has rough hands and needs to jerk it frequently because of how much the child arouses him in ways that clearly make it her fault, if he did it, but he definitely didn't.