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berlinerbaer

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Posts posted by berlinerbaer

  1. I’ve warmed to Crockett as a candidate since she came on the scene this week. She has a unique political talent of being able to hit hard without coming off as a nag. Think of a friend or big sister rather than your mother.

    She has to walk a tightrope, sure, but she seems capable and so does Jimmy. We are lucky to have two good candidates this go around. I hope someone good challenges Abbott so we can have a solid ballot top to bottom.

  2. On 12/8/2025 at 1:04 PM, Nice Guy Eddie said:

    great point. Trump is a fan of wrestling and would think himself clever to script a heel turn by pardoning a dem politician. Keep Cuellar in his back pocket until he's needed. Perhaps even after the '26 elections.

    Cuellar won’t matter by 2027. Dems are going to net 20 - 40 seats in the midterms. The House then won’t be like the Senate was in 2021.

    2 hours ago, atomheartbevo said:

    Trump won by 12, Dems flipped it.  State House election, but still, interesting. 
     

    G7xc4vsa8AAmjb6?format=jpg&name=large

    14 point flip, almost the same as last weeks election in TN.

  3. 4 hours ago, TheStoicPaisano said:

    Pardon + filing for reelection, busy morning.

     

    Fuck it. He’s tarnished now. Primary his ass. Who was it who almost beat him back in 2020? Where’s she at? 

    If he loses he’ll run as an indie to try to throw the seat to the GOP but at least he won’t win.

  4. 32 minutes ago, wildcat09 said:

    All Johnson does is what Trump wants. This feels more like Stafanik trying to position herself for leadership once Trump is gone. 

    Isn’t she running for NY governor?

  5. 6 hours ago, linux said:

    Here is per state polling of Trump

    https://www.newsweek.com/map-donald-trump-approval-rating-each-state-10-months-11127534

    Texas -6

    Florida -6

    Ohio -6

    Iowa -8

    Based on this polling and if we extrapolate to open senate seats what is the number expected?

    Every R outside New England runs behind Trump, and that’s with him carrying them across during presidential elections. In off-year/midterms we should expect them to do even worse.

  6. 13 hours ago, Zhorn96 said:

    Ahhhhh feels so good.  Lot of money guys refused to give because they thought Wilcox sucked and it was wasted $.  Tosh Lupoi is the likely choice to replace

    Don’t know who I want at Cal, but Lupoi hasn’t impressed me. Bama and Oregon have him on as an ace recruiter, less as a manager or Xs and Os guy (Saban and Lanning or others seem to have handled that). Cal needs a HC that can do 2 out of 3 by themselves.

    I want an OC that has succeeded under a defensive minded HC or vise versa.

     

  7. I’ve been to Target several times this year and the employees were still majority minorities as they always have been. Clearly their anti-DEI policies aren’t apparent. They seem to have appeased Trump with nothing but lip service and shed maybe 20% of its customers in the process. 

    Good job, idiots.

     

  8. 17 hours ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

    If he vetoes, they have to vote to override. But when the majority is veto proof they almost never veto … because of the implication.

    I don’t think he figured when he gave his blessing to vote for it that nearly every single Republican was going to do it. He probably thought maybe 20 or 30, giving him an out to veto. What a dumbass.

  9. 1 hour ago, Snake Diggity said:

    It’s 11+ months until midterms and 3+ years until the next presidential election.  This is not bad for Democrats but the risk of the trough of Trump’s approval coming too soon is very real.  It boggles my mind that after how the last decade has gone there is anyone left who is willingly stating “oh yea this is it, Trump’s finished.”  That fucking piece of excrement isn’t finished until he’s all the way under the ground and his grave is soaked with my urine.  And even then there will need to be a lot of care to make sure the remaining roaches don’t start a new infestation.

    He can’t pull out of the tailspin without an assist from the courts tossing his tariffs aside and working with congress to undo much of the OBBB crap. That’s really the only way the economy improves to get him back up to 42% approval before the midterms.

    I really think this dude is cooked.

  10. On 11/18/2025 at 8:56 PM, Left Coast said:

    He can’t do anything. Prop 50 won in a landslide, and the map is set. The only entity that could stop the redistricting would be the courts.

    The CA law is on much firmer legal ground but there is a clause in what the voters approved that it only goes into effect if TX goes through with their mid-decade re-districting. I’d like to see it stand if FL tries to screw around, but I think GOP shenanigans aren’t in the cards after their electoral drubbing earlier this month.

  11. 2 hours ago, Chuckie Finster said:

    It's been touched on in this thread, but what gets me even more than the caving is the complete messaging failure.  EVEN IF it was predetermined that Dems were going to end the shutdown, there is a smart way to communicate it.  "Democrats are ensuring that nobody suffers during the holiday season but will renew the fight for your rights in January" or some shit.  Instead we get "standing up to Trump didn't work."

    Pathetic.
     

    It’s impossible to message the shutdown because the Dem base is screaming something completely different. This isn’t a win if the base thinks it’s a loss. That’s not the base’s problem, it’s Dem leadership’s. They have lost touch with their own voters over the last 10 months.
     

    Fucking 70-year old grannies that voted for Hillary in 2016 are laughing at the fact that Charlie Kirk caught a bullet with his carotid. You guys who I know voted R until 15 years ago are talking about maximum pain and throwing out the old norms of politics. Because you are normal left of center voters living in the real world. Senators aren’t that. They don’t know what’s going on and the have no means of messaging that will make their voters happy.

    They wont learn until a few of them end up on the wrong side of a primary challenge. That is where we are headed. It’s 2010 all over again, just the blue version.

  12. 39 minutes ago, Hank Kingsley said:

    Do you think those margins would have been as big if Dems weren't showing some fight and a spine during the shutdown?

     

     

    To play Devils advocate, we’ve been asking for the Dems to play for naked political gain for awhile now and looks like they are finally executing the plan. I’d lump prop 50 in with this.

  13. 1 hour ago, The Dog said:

    They were not "peeled off" but rather were selected by Schumer and the caucus to take the fall since none are up for re-election or are retiring. 

    Yes. The actual number of Dems who wanted to end the shutdown was greater than the 8. I’d even wager at least one of the 8 voted against their own beliefs but were compelled to vote the way they did.

    The notion that these were rogues is false. This was the work of Dem leadership and why Schumer needs to go.

     

  14. 9 hours ago, Ghost of LL said:

    Counterpoint: these type of things will sometimes be leaked by the subject candidate around this time in an effort to innoculate him against the issue later.  It could be that Talarico's team saw that he's following a bunch of porn stars on the Gram and decided to get out ahead of it.  Had this come out two weeks before the primary . . . that'd be bad.  Two weeks before the general election--catastrophic because of the aforementioned reality that we hold Democrats to a ridiculously higher standard than we hold Republicans.

    Let this come out a couple weeks before Thanksgiving, and it's completely forgotten by Christmas.  But if anyone tries to bring it up in February, it just gets dismissed as "old news" and Talarico's people would say "this came out months ago and nobody cares."

    Certainly true, but the Plattner stuff has me thinking that even Dem voters are beginning to recognize that the perfect candidate doesn't exist, not that this particular issue with Talarico had any legs to begin with.

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