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Old Freak Nasty

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Everything posted by Old Freak Nasty

  1. I wonder what Trump's going to do if NC isn't called tonight? I think if it is called for him that's when he's going to come out of his bunker saying stop the counts.
  2. I think there is a lot of truth to this (especially the educational erosion which in turn limits personal mobility within the country), but the electoral college system exacerbates the perception of this divide. Give this moron 4 more years and he will work like hell to bring perception closer to reality.
  3. As far as the polls go, people are actively, intentionally lying to pollsters to distort results. I think the profession of polling is yet another Trump cancer victim. This is not a case of having to develop better models to address blind spots. They have zero value anymore.
  4. Accounting for the courts, Trump's got to be an odds-on favorite now. Did not think I'd be typing that tonight.
  5. It's probably not likely AZ is going to look good for Biden based on the non-white enthusiasm so it's going to come down to the blue wall.
  6. If Trump pulls this out, it's going to be fucking idiot MEN (educated or not, colored or not) that are going to deliver it to him. It's a fucking gender thing. Women leaders (both parties) are really the only hope this country will have to regain its footing.
  7. If things are looking dicey, we’ll know early with NC, GA, and FL first results. At that point I doubt I will have bought enough beer to calm the nerves the rest of the night.
  8. Early voting and the unknown Election Day turnout made it more difficult to assess the strength of the Clark firewall. This will at least be interesting. Still confident in NV.
  9. She's done a quality job. I thought Emmett was an unfortunate casualty of straight ticket voting but Hidalgo has been at a minimum competent and more accurately very good.
  10. I'm surprised it's not higher. Early and mail vote totals means exit polls are going to be Trumpistan skewed crap.
  11. I know, stupid anecdotal evidence, but I grew up in suburban Philly and have a number of good friends in the area still and they all are expressing mild surprise to shock at the depth of in person ED vote. Mostly everyone they know mailed in.
  12. Any reports of Proud Boys gridlocking parades or fake tough guy pollwatcher acts today? I haven't seen.
  13. Like a Trump loss today means anything in regards to the Trump political future. The 2024 GOP candidate will be Trump Jr. 4 years of Trump news network is going to be shouting it to base. A polished turd like Tom Cotton has no fucking shot at it even though he thinks he's in prime position once Cheeto endorses his son (if he's still around, that is).
  14. So if by dumb luck someone wants to hire Shaka from us because of this late run, would the hiring school be on the hook for any buyout? I assume we would graciously waive such buyout, if it exists? Alternative, could we pay a bonus (some number less than the remaining guarantee) to a school willing to take him?
  15. I think it's hard to see at the time that there was really no Warren/Sanders fight over voters. Now that we see that Sanders has a cap to the percentage of support he has it's easy to say in hindsight. The Bernie bloc is more a personality cult rather than voters who would deliberate over subtle policy nuances between the two of them. Warren obviously thought there was a significant section of those voters she could woo with her strategy since the campaign started. And since she had a formidable organization I'm sure a lot of other intelligent people within thought it was the right plan. It turned out to be wrong. I hope she's not too old to run in 2024 if disaster strikes and Trump is re-elected and makes to full term (death, impeachment, 25th amendment section 4).
  16. My theory is pretty simple and sad. I think Donald Trump and the Pocahontas moniker was a factor to a lot of voters when looked at in terms of elect-ability (the whole concept of which is actually total bullshit, but whatever) . Her Medicare for All messaging was a fumble too but in post-mortem I think the orange shithead's branding of her had an affect. I think she would have annihilated Trump in the election but Democrats are scared of Trump and it impacted our voting in the primaries. It's resulted in Biden.
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