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Catdaddyhorn

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Posts posted by Catdaddyhorn

  1. On 4/17/2024 at 8:34 AM, HookEm said:

    Like I said, if a player was a contributor on a winning program, that is also a positive sign.  Tramon Mark checks a lot of boxes and he is exactly the kind of player we have been missing.  I would rather he had some accolades, but it isn't a deal breaker.

    And the portal rankings are always imperfect.  Some sites do a better job than others.  Max Abmas was the #2 portal player last year (On3). Kadin Shedrick was #43.  Tramon Mark was #78 player. Weaver was #272.  Onyema was unranked.  

    At some point, I'll put together a comparison of the top-35 portal players from last year and we can see who did the best job.

    Go check out where Dalton Knecht was rated in last year's portal. I believe he was in the mid 30s and he turned out to be easily the best transfer this past season. Also we were in on arguably the 2nd best transfer last season, Cam Spencer, but he waited so long to jump into the portal that we had no chance of getting him due to Hunter coming back.

  2. 5 minutes ago, Sawbonz said:

    I see that as careful handling of a guy with tremendous upside. He may never achieve that level but you want to give him every chance within reason to get there 

    That's definitely what it is, as well as managing relationships in a new recruiting terroritory we don't have much history in. Nonetheless the point remains that Brooks was the better player from the jump.  And I believe Blue is as well, but I'm admittedly making this judgement off of what I saw from an injured Baxter last season. So we'll see. 

    • Hook 'Em 2
  3. On 4/9/2024 at 12:10 PM, NoName said:

    so just to be clear, you have a situation where a guy quits his HS team, then his his freshman year gets 15 total carries and averages 2.2 yards, then says he's going to enter the portal, then decides not to when Texas tells him goodby, then gets so outclassed by a true freshman RB that he is a very distant third on the depth chart (for comparison Keilan Robinson had 3 rushes vs Bama and X and Mitchell both had the same # of carries as Blue in that game), then ends up only getting snaps for the year because the starter tears his ACL and it moves him to 2nd on the depth chart.

    ...does Blue have really nice wiggle? absolutely. but his stats are bumped up a ton by the fact he had 26% of his yardage for the year on 2 carries (3% of his total carries) - that is not sustainable nor is it a real perception of his skill.

    if you drop the one 69 yard carry it drops his YPC an entire yard per carry (6.12 to 5.14)

    this isn't that complex. the imbalance in usage between the two is because of skill and skillset differences between the two. even now, how many articles have been written about how Blue is expected to be the starter for 24 (i haven't seen any) - maybe he takes a huge jump forward, and i hope he does. but the reason for the imbalance is clear if you pay any attention

    again, Texas saw fit to start a true Freshman against Alabama, give him the most touches on the team in that game 15 touches (same as Brooks) and give you guy 1 and you are confused as to why the imbalance exists? clearly they and everyone else under the sun think one guy is significantly better than the other.

     

    Say what you want, but despite starting Baxter over Brooks it was clear as day that Brooks was the more impactful RB. And once again this offseason Baxter is getting outshined by the RB who will surely back him up to start the season.  

    • Hook 'Em 3
    • Like 1
  4. On 4/9/2024 at 2:34 PM, HookEm said:

    I think it is entirely possible that RT will end up being the 2nd most successful coach we have ever had, in terms of what he accomplishes.  But....

    That is incredibly misleading because the environment is now set up for winning in a way that hasn't existed in our entire history.  NIL, the transfer portal, an awesome new arena, the move to the SEC, favorable Texas high school talent improvements, increasingly rich alumni and media deals, etc. are all set up for us to dominate, not just win at the old rates.  If he simply holds serve, then that is a major failing in my view.

    This is a great point.  People truly don't understand how much Texas high school basketball and the overall infrastructure for building and developing talent has changed over the course of the last 30 years.  As a state we essentially went from Steve Jobs amd Wozniak in a garage to 2010 Apple. When it comes to high school basketball talent, the state of Texas is easily the best in the nation.  Now add in NIL, the transfer portal, Moody, and the changing paradigm of removing pro options for high school talent and we couldn't be more suited to actually win a national championship.

    Within the last 10 years damn near every worthwhile university in the state sans us and A&M has found some level near their peak success in college basketball. The right coach would have us approximating  what Connecticut has accomplished over the last 25 years.   

    • Hook 'Em 4
  5. On 4/6/2024 at 7:49 PM, Spider2YBanana said:

    It's not good hearing Baxter losing a fumble. I assumed that would have been fixed afrer the Washington fiasco. Kid needs to get it together. Plenty of time to get it fixed. 

    I read an article today that the author (I have no idea who it was) was adament that Blue would end up being the #1 back due to him having another gear and he's running between the tackles. I wish I would have saved it. Fml. 

    I felt Blue should've gotten the larger share of opportunities behind Brooks last year and never understood why he didn't.  It seemed to me that Gerry Hamilton went out of his way to downplay Blue's qualities in favor of Baxter. I guess he was getting that view from his contacts on the staff because the imbalance in usage between the 2 last season never made sense to me.  

  6. 19 minutes ago, SL Xpress said:

    And in this particular instance your favorite money person was instrumental in Terry getting the job.

    Okay.

    All I can tell you is the basketball people I know were not excited about the whole circumstances surrounding Terry getting the job, but feel like he deserves a chance. Which he is getting. 

    And then there are other people who are not money people who feel like this is a good example of why Texas will never be great in basketball. Because this wouldn't have happened in football, the argument goes. Which I don't agree with. If a situation analogous to what happened with Beard and Terry occurred in football, I think it would have been very difficult to make a change. Even in football. 

    We just have to let it play out. Hopefully Terry ends up being a home run hire. 

    Yeah let's trace out an analogous situation with football where Tom Herman goes on a bender and gets booked for beating his wife. Todd Orlando then leads us out of the desert to the College football playoffs. There's no doubt in my mind that we'd be sitting here looking towards year 4 of Todd Orlando's tenure at UT (provided he didnt completely shit the bed in the intervening years). And yes the elite 8 out of 350+ division 1 basketball teams is analogous to the CFP with 120+ teams. 

  7. 47 minutes ago, jimmyjazz said:

    I don't follow recruiting and I missed the McD AA game last night.  What are the expectations for Tre Johnson?  Is he a point guard who can shoot or is he "just" a shooting guard?

    It sure would be nice to have a true point on the 40 Acres again.

    He's a shooting guard in the vein of Devin Booker. Really efficient in terms of scoring and the limited amount time it takes him to get a good shot.  In other words, he scores without being a ball stopper. 

    • Like 1
  8. 4 hours ago, Pancho said:

    And they have Nate Oats as their coach.

    Yet this is their first time making the elite 8 with him, despite being a 1 seed and a 2 seed in two other tourneys.  Tommy Floyd has the same issue. A lot of regular season success without the tourney success to show for it. 

    • Hook 'Em 2
  9. 20 minutes ago, Herpa Derpa said:

    I don't think the portal claims to be anything. The folks that think the portal is a simple pick and win endeavor that only fails if you don't "work it" hard enough are the fools you're looking for.

    *basketball portal rankings**

  10. 3 hours ago, shadow_operative said:

     

    Where was Dalton Knecht on this list last year?

    Heading into last year's portal I really wanted Grant Nelson,  but his time at Bama proves that,  although he's a decent player,  he was no where near the difference maker that I thought he'd be.  The basketball portal isn't necessarily the exact science it claims to be. Counterintuitively the college football portal rankings seem to be much more predictive than its college basketball equivalent. Typically predicting football player quality is more of a hit or miss excercise than basketball,  but not in this area. 

  11. Speaking of a player I wish we had on this past season's team, Jaylon Tyson might have fucked around and played himself into a first round pick out at Cal. Players like him are why it's at times ok to be patient with a players growth curve. 

  12. 4 hours ago, shadow_operative said:

    i haven’t followed recruiting super closely in forever. who is a good tre johnson comp? keyontae george? rob dillingham? someone else?

    Jordan Hawkins of last year's UConn team.  Super compact game (ie doesn't need a lot of dribbles to get off a short), highly efficient scorer. 

    • Hook 'Em 1
  13. 22 minutes ago, shadow_operative said:

    dude. you’re seriously going to make me post this for third time in the thread? really? and you’re thumping your chest when you’re wrong? bold strategy. but here we go again:

     

     

    AdjD during the kenpom era

    first number is AdjD which is points given up per 100 possessions weighted for sos, the second number is the national rank

    2024- 100.3 (61)

    2023- 92.1 (13)

    2022- 91.6 (14)

    2021- 92.8 (31)

    2020- 92.6 (24)

    2019- 94.4 (26)

    2018- 94.1 (12)

    2017- 93.7 (21)

    2016- 96.8 (40)

    2015- 93.4 (14)

    2014- 97.3 (53)

    2013- 95.5 (54)

    2012- 97.0 (64)

    2011- 89.6 (4)

    2010- 93.1 (30)

    2009- 92.5 (20)

    2008- 95.5 (42)

    2007- 100.3 (92)

    2006- 91.7 (15)

    2005- 97.1 (61)

    2004- 94.1 (22)

    2003- 95.8 (58)

    2002- 98.3 (74)

    2001- 90.1 (11)

    2000- 87.5 (11)

    1999- 91.6 (36)

    this year’s Texas defense was tied for the worst defense of the kenpom era (so, since rick’s first year here) with the 2007 team that that was all skinny, tiny freshmen and basically only played six guys. a quick scan of the numbers and you can see that 100.3 is a number that is wildly high for the standard that’s been set here at Texas. 

     

    a final note to drive home how bad of a coaching job this defense has been:

    D-1 experience:

    2007 Texas: 0.37 years, 333rd in d-1

    2024 Texas: 3.23 years, 4th in d-1

     

    so not only has Terry had a shaky season with his mercurial, volatile team, he’s done so with as much as d-1 experience as he will ever have on any roster he coaches the rest of his career. 

    the more i post, the more i can’t believe we still have people who want RT to be our HC.

    Wait a second,  Im starting to get it now.  You're under the belief that the more frequently you rant about it here, the more likely it is that RT will be fired.  

    • Haha 2
  14. 1 hour ago, JGrayDBU said:

    since T. J. Ford left, imo

    No love for DJ Augustin or Isaiah Taylor?  Or are you unfamiliar with who they are. 

  15. 24 minutes ago, shadow_operative said:

    in the end we had our worst defense since the KD year. that’s a fact. barnes, shaka, and beard all fielded good-great defenses routinely. RT just fielded the worst defense since our roster was six 155 lb teenagers. taking the warped final kenpom ratings after our last two games and trying to act as if that proves that we had a “good” defense this year is…….wait for it…….

     

     

    disingenuous. if you guys hate me using this word so much you should probably start being honest with your arguments. as if you’re going to sit here and post one screenshot and it will suddenly erase everyone’s memory to the fact that our defense was not good this year, and in fact the worst it’s been in a very long time.

    All things being equal, I kinda like having  good offense vs having a good defense.  I'd much rather be a fan of a team that plays like Arizona or Gonzaga as opposed to UofH or Tennessee. 

    • Hook 'Em 3
  16. 1 hour ago, ztejas said:

    Goodfellas GIF

    This is quite the reversal.  15 months ago you inundated me with a wall of text claiming that Mitchell  would unquestionably be a 1st round pick in LAST YEAR'S DRAFT.  

    • Hook 'Em 1
  17. More than any other sport, a true home court advantage can add multiple games to the win column.  Beard understood this and worked harder than any other Longhorn coach in my collective fandom to develop and facilitate it. Too bad he went dumb that one night. Barnes probably adds 3 or 4 more top 4 seeds to his Texas tenure with a true and consistently intimidating home court advantage. 

  18. 2 hours ago, Horn of Gabriel said:

    Gerry is 100% right that RT waited far too long to get Hunter off the floor and off of inbounds.  That's just low-IQ bad coaching.

    Abmas had 4 TOs and 2 early fouls.  We were sort of running out of options as far as taking Hunter off the court.  

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