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tucker

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Posts posted by tucker

  1. Biden is basically an 80's Republican. While that may excite some (e.g. the olds), it won't excite the passionate voters who drove a lot of the increased engagement during the mid-terms. The established D (e.g. Pelosi, et al) seem to actively hate the left wing of the party.

    Voters need to realize that if the top of the ticket does not excite and drive voter turn out, it will be a terrible outcome even if Ds capture the presidency as down ballot won't result in voting out Rs or shitty Ds.

    I doubt Biden can drive that excitement and don't understand anyone that has Biden in their top 3 choices. 

    • Like 1
  2. 1 hour ago, Goofyboy said:

    Define changes, please.

     

    Also, stick tanked because Fluor finally booked $35 million screw up on a job.

    I bet it isn’t the only project write down. Investors have been patient but most E&C firms have been pushed to grow via M&A or forced to sell themselves due to financial challenges (CB&I). The new CEO will have to give a compelling growth strategy or firms will start circling to buy Fluor. 

  3. 7 hours ago, Bozo_Casanova said:

    What I want is the government managing the guardrails of a competitive and robust free market that puts price discovery in a central position, where we use market forces to achieve the outcomes we want (like UHC, a growing middle class, and a clean and verdant environment) rather than force majeure central mandates.

     

    But I can't get that, so I'd settle for not Trump. 

    So why not Warren in the primary?

  4. 47 minutes ago, Js1 said:

    Why is there a tide of sentiment to pick up senate seats in 20? 

    A)  The tide was in favor of Democrats in 2018 and 3 incumbents in Trump states lost, but some other closer than expected races in Trump states for Democrats (Sherrod Brown, Joe Manchin, Debbie Stabenow) - Democrats only topped 1 GOP incumbent in a Clinton state and picked up an open seat in a Trump state.  We could easily have another huge disparity between the House and Senate all over again.

    B) In 2020, Democrats need 3 (with the Presidency) or 4 overall.  They already start basically down 1 with Doug Jones up in ALABAMA in a presidential state.  Then they need to knock off 3 (or 4) incumbents - Gardner, Collins, Tillis, Perdue, McSally, Ernst.  Slim pickins and they can't lose any others, such as New Hampshire (barely a Clinton state) or Minnesota or Michigan. 

    C) Potentially 2016 all over again - lots of "winnable" races for Democrats that followed presidential coattails.  Could happen again. 

    A deeply unpopular president will turn out voters to vote against him and help carry down ballot candidates. 

  5. 2 hours ago, MAROON said:

    I've applied to renew as by GE expires in June.  My application has been "Awaiting Review" for weeks now.  TSA better not fuck this up.

    I submitted mine 3 weeks ago and still awaiting review too.

  6. 49 minutes ago, Bozo_Casanova said:


    Just to be clear, I’m not saying Harris is going to win (I think Biden will win). I’m saying that she would be my choice from this field at this particular moment.

    I probably have less well defined thoughts about this field than I have in any previous cycle. All the top candidates are deeply flawed. At this moment I’m sort of defaulting to Harris.

    That being said, unlike 2016, I don’t see a potential nominee that turns my stomach the way Clinton did so I’m not starting this process planning to vote for a Republican, which is where I was at this point in 2015 before it became clear that I wouldn’t have that option either.

     

    37 minutes ago, Js1 said:

    I'm in the same boat.

    I waffle between Warren because she gives me a policy boner - I know what she wants do in very concrete terms and Harris because I think she's the most likely to put together the Obama coalition and put a few more states into play (GA, NC). 

    So you both want the same corporatism policies of the Obama years but maybe less naivety? 

  7. 11 hours ago, happyfunball said:

     


    Was quoting myself as I still think no trade deal is done. No trade deal will be bad for markets. China market is already on edge and US market is looking for any reason to sell off.

    The Fed won’t raise rates but not cutting either.

     

    Well, today this came out so your trade war fears may not matter.

    Big beat on *ADP. 275,000 jobs in April vs. 180,000 expected, up massively from the 129,000 last month.

  8. 3 hours ago, henrygandorf said:

    yeah, it's exactly the same.  pete's the poorest candidate maybe in history, and he married a middle-school teacher.

    Pete’s rent or mortgage was less than $500 a month. 

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