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BehoId, The Underminer!

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Posts posted by BehoId, The Underminer!

  1. 3 minutes ago, Sawbonz said:

    Fuck off with that shit. Everyone knows it’s possible. 
     

     

    I want you to list the states he lost last time that you honestly believe he will win this time and why you think he will

    with margins that small, rain in the wrong location can change states.  beyond that, line in the sand posturing is dumb.

  2. 2 minutes ago, Sawbonz said:

    Show me where trump gets to 270

    you have a lot of degrees and can't figure out how a guy that lost by decimal percents in multiple states can win?

     

    Georgia 2,473,633 49.47% 16 2,461,854 49.24% 62,229 1.24% 1,013 0.02% 1,231 0.02% 11,779 0.24% 5.37% 4,999,960
    Arizona 1,672,143 49.36% 11 1,661,686 49.06% 51,465 1.52% 1,557 0.05% 475 0.01% 10,457 0.31% 3.81% 3,387,326
    Wis. 1,630,866 49.45% 10 1,610,184 48.82% 38,491 1.17% 1,089 0.03% 17,411 0.53% 20,682 0.63% 1.40% 3,298,041
    Pa. 3,458,229 49.85% 20 3,377,674 48.69% 79,380 1.14% 1,282 0.02% 20,411 0.29% 80,555 1.16% 1.88% 6,936,976
    Nev.[q] 703,486 50.06% 6 669,890 47.67% 14,783 1.05% 17,217 1.23% 33,596 2.39% −0.03% 1,405,376
    • Hook 'Em 1
  3. 4 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

    he will be polling within 1 point of where he is polling right now.

    what you say is tiny might very well be outcome determinant in november.  this is going to be white knuckle.

    • Hook 'Em 1
  4. 20 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

    I really don't think it does.  Because Joseph R. Biden is getting nearly zero attention.  "Biden!" is getting all the attention -- "Biden!" being a mostly fictional character as covered by the media and as turned into a caricature by the propagandists who dominate half the media and most of social media.  If it wasn't "Biden!" it would be "Whitmer!" or "Newsom!" or whoever -- who would not be the actual person, but rather would be the straw man manufactured and then destroyed by the media and propagandists.

    image.thumb.jpeg.0c7f872f69f1211834e697e1b633b0a1.jpeg

     

    • Hook 'Em 1
    • Haha 2
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  5. 10 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

    What you need to grasp is that American politics is about two personalities: the psychopathic cult leader that is Trump, who is boosted and given free press by every media outlet, and the generic "demon-rat" who runs against him.  IT DOESN'T MATTER WHO TRUMP'S OPPONENT IS.  The propaganda machine will characterize them as a communistsocialistSorosfascist America-hater who is woke and trans and hates eagles and freedom.  Whoever that person is.  It doesn't matter.  The uninformed voters don't dislike Biden.  The dislike the character with the name "Biden" who is constantly hammered in the rightwing (and even supposedly left-wing) press and propaganda-sphere.

    in an election that will be decided by a point, it doesn't matter who the candidate is, says very serious poster (ad nauseum).

  6. 12 minutes ago, Chuckie Finster said:

    There was no secret bullet.  Biden is old, sure, but every other candidate has something that would have been their "thing" as well.  Hoping that rust belters suddenly become cool with the governor of California isn't nearly enough to give up the incumbency advantage.

    In 2020 I said Biden was the right choice upon nomination because he was the most certain of the candidates to win, and winning in 2020 was existential for the country.  I knew though at the time that it was a real concern for 2024 for all the reasons we discuss all the time of having Skeletor as your standard bearer.  I hoped for providence to intercede and remove Trump from public conscious some other way.  Since he didn't, yeah, we gotta roll with what we've got.  Newsome imo has a far worse likelihood of winning in a full blown campaign, let alone as a sudden last second substitute.

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  7. that was way less extreme than what the tweet made me think.  a couple wants people to have more babies.  want to forego material stuff.  it isn't full of hatred or misogyny or whatever.  just dudes marching to a different drum.

  8. 30 minutes ago, Chuckie Finster said:

    i think there's room for improvement, but I think the biggest issue is that we live in a country that cares about vibes over facts. 

    Exactly correct.  that is why Biden is the worst possible person -- he is the least persuasive and least charismatic person in the chief office since mass media.  He has no ability to move public opinion.  So I disagree that "it wouldn't matter" who was up there.  Bill Clinton would be winning this thing by 10 points.  Ronald Reagan would be winning this thing by 10 points.  

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  9. I wish the wordlebot would score on a combination of steps and time.  I feel better about a four if I get it quickly than a four I have to struggle to work out, especially when you find out there was only one word possible at the end.  You should get rewarded for figuring that out quickly or penalized if it takes forever. 

    • Like 1
  10. i'm becoming a bit sanguine about this election season.  i've decided there is no such thing as information that will give any insight into the 2% margin either direction that this will end up being, so no use continually mining for it.  my next six months just really opened up.

    • Hook 'Em 8
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