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Starfleet Command

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Posts posted by Starfleet Command

  1. I think people greatly underestimate Diaz's ceiling.  He appears to have a well above average arm, sets up and blocks reasonably well, and calls a good game.  If his bat can prove out along with those skills and he has All Star and beyond potential.

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  2. On 4/3/2023 at 11:42 AM, idigTexas said:

    Can I get some of you Nostradamus assholes to tell me the winning lottery numbers for the next drawing, please?  

    Why are the 10 years at other schools more telling than what he has actually done at Texas? 

    What will really tell us with how things are going to go is how they actually go.  Sometimes people learn and develop new skills, and become better at their jobs.  Sometimes a situation suits a person better than a previous one.  

    And why are people talking about Terry in the Beard thread?  If you are going to continue to have pessimistic shitty takes, at least put them where they can be properly ridiculed.   

    How many college coaches sucked for years at multiple jobs only to be successful a couple of years down the line when a new job landed in their lap?  Has that happened ever?  Good coaches generally make themselves known.

     

    It's just a shitty fucking deal.  Beard really fucked Texas by doing what he did.

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  3. 4 hours ago, Hank Chinaski said:

    Fangraphs has him ranked #79 overall as a 50 FV prospect - meaning an average MLB starter. Their #39-100 are all considered 50 FV prospects, so that could be considered a tier, with the difference between any of them being very minor, perhaps negligible (but rankings get clicks).

    I think that’s fair. He’s 25…top prospect lists are always going to be dominated at the top by the young, tooled-up guys or the highly-drafted college players who are big-league ready.

    Anyway, one thing I really like about the Fangraphs prospect list is that they include a “probability of outcomes” chart for each guy, which provides more context (not sure how they’re calculated, but I’d assume it’s based on age, performance in minors across key metrics like K rate, etc). For Diaz, they have him as about a 25% chance of being a 50/55, 15% chance of being a 60/65 (all-star-ish), and about a 10% chance of being a 70+ (MVP-ish). That feels about right to me, and if you told me right now he’ll be an average MLB starter, I’d take it in a heartbeat. 

    He grades out at least average defensively (and will be above average defensively once an electronic K zone is implemented), and profiles as an above average bat who will either be in the 110-120 wRC+ range or the 130-150 range depending on how his power and patience continues to develop.  If you pair an above average bat with average receiving skills that gets you a lot more than 2 WAR even platooning at C due to the massive positional adjustment that position receives.  Shit, Maldy managed to accrue positive value last season in spite of being God awful on paper both with his bat and his skills behind the plate.

    IMO, you stick Diaz at catcher over 700+ innings in a given season and I don't see how he doesn't hit at least 3 WAR even in 2023.  At this point in his development, I would have 1-2 WAR over a full season be about his floor with his ceiling easily in the 5+ WAR range.  

  4. I don’t see how Yainer Diaz isn’t a top 25 prospect.  The guy is legit talented behind the plate in a way that he often doesn’t credit for and is simply a damn good hitter. Maybe not the most disciplined hitter, but he can hit some pretty tough shit and hit it hard. 
     

    If he simply commits himself to developing as a primary catcher I could see him putting up 5+ WAR seasons. He has that kind of ceiling. 

  5. 1 minute ago, Sal said:

    The refs were just gasoline feeding the fire that was Terry's bad lineups, lack of adjustments, and overreliance on Carr and Allen.  The offense was Timmy Allen bricks and turnovers for way too long. Dillon Mitchell got a lot of minutes in the second half, but Morris, who might have been able to spell Carr well, didn't play. We didn't call any plays (or called stupid ones) down the stretch, and Carr made mistakes on back-to-back possessions. 

    The refs fucked us but that game still could have been won with more adequate coaching in the second half. 

  6. 1 minute ago, The_Great_Hornsby said:

    Cant win a game when the other team shoots 60%, simple as that. Play better defense and you win going away. Yes the refs sucked, but you have to be able to overcome that at some point if you want to win it all. 

    You can by getting more possessions than them, which is what Texas did. They had more FGs in this game than Miami. 

  7. 7 minutes ago, Hermanator said:

    No we aren't. By who? 

    Can't take half measures. Either you want to be a winning program in the 2 money men's sports or you want to be squeaky clean and sit on a high horse. You can't have both, and if it's the latter then they went to the wrong fucking conference. 

    Imagine if the roles were reversed and Texas hired Beard following his arrest?  The media shitstorm would be exponentially larger than it has been for Ole Miss. 

    I don’t know how or why the decision to fire Beard was made. I think from the perspective of maximizing the basketball program’s chances for success and fuck everything else it did not make much sense to let him go when they did.  Maybe they knew it was likely that several of the allegations were true and they weren’t comfortable maintaining a relationship with him any longer irrespective of the irrationality of such a move. 

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  8. 59 minutes ago, Hank Chinaski said:

    Sure. Middling, fine, ok, average…whatever. Less than exceptional, greater than terrible. The meaty part of the bell curve. That’s our coach. 

    Which honestly is probably doing okay considering his resume coming into this job. Things could certainly be worse.  I am still however baffled by the decision to hire him. 

  9. 1 minute ago, closetohumping said:

    And Herman after 7-3 and that includes 3 likely wins that were cancelled because of covid. 

    Herman would have crashed hard last year though.  To his credit Texas was a tough, physical team during his tenure but I think he's dependent on having a physical QB who can play hero ball and he wouldn't have had that last year.  

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  10. 8 hours ago, GreenspointTexas said:

    He needs 10 next year 

    Not going to be easy with what they lose on defense after this season.  Offense is going to have to take a big step forward next year in spite of losing it's best player to make 10 wins happen.

  11. 3 minutes ago, Sgt Hulk said:

    Herman was an idiot and had the personality of decaying road kill. but even he was a better coach than Sark. 

    He was pretty good at winning with what he had available (also didn't hurt to have a talented, big game QB), but was horrible at roster management and ultimately left the program in a worse place than Strong.  I guess with CFB your head coach needs to be both a good GM and a good game day coach.   Herman was good at the latter but not the former and Sark may be the reverse.

  12. On 12/24/2022 at 10:25 AM, Doc Daneeka said:

    The evidence of widespread competence and improvement is why this doesn’t look like Strong or Herman. 

    Everyone on this board was fully bought in and sucking off Herman during and following the Sugar Bowl season.  I can buy Sark improving the roster after Herman cratered it, but there's still a lot of red flags regarding Sark's ability to maximize and deploy his currently available resources in a manner that translates to wins.  I could see his tenure having a similar trajectory to Strong's where things may be improving under the surface but he just can't get out of his own way enough to win at the level required to keep from being fired.

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