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Loop 1604

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Posts posted by Loop 1604

  1. 1 hour ago, Sandbagging Steve said:

    The bluebloods let him go. Ohio State giggled and laughed and made fun of Texas for taking him. Marcus Washington went to camps early in the process and got a very high ranking. Teams "recruited" him until they found out he wasn't the real deal. He didn't have talent.

    And then they let Texas win the recruitment. The coaching staffs kept their mouths shut and hoped he ended up over-ranked. It just helps them negative recruit Texas.

    Rinse and repeat.

    Why do you think Saban recruits everyone across the country?

    1. He wants to be in a good spot if the kid blows up and becomes an actual freak athlete. It really doesn't matter here because he's going to pay top dollar at the end of the day.

    2. He can eventually weed out the busts without necessarily letting you know he doesn't want that kid.

    Saban isn't a great coach. The NFL would kick his ass left and right. It took him over a decade just to bring his schemes to the modern era. He just pays the most for the 5-star type recruits. It's not any different than the NFL. That's the entire history of college football from the beginning of time.  Most winning coaches across college football history have the intelligence of a chimp. 

    (It I'm not mistaken, the Fat Ketchup over on the other site once witnessed Saban offer Charles Rogers and another top athlete a huge amount of money (over the phone) back in the 90's while Saban was at Michigan State. Weirdos playing journalist aren't allowed to report this kind of stuff to the public. Anyone with skins on the wall can sniff it out all over the internet today. You can also just go read a number of books on college football history and witness the old time coaches brag about it in interviews.)

    Saban is big buddies with the current and long time NCAA President, Mark Emmert. Emmert, Saban and Jimbo Fisher know each other well from their days at LSU, who has actual immorality issues beyond your wildest dreams (paying players is not a moral issue).

    TEXAS ISSUES SINCE 1984 (actual issues started a few year's earlier)

    Development is an issue, but the talent deficiency is the bigger issue. It's not hard to figure this out.

    Talent wins.

    Five star talent wins.

    Bums like Polonsky spread through the culture like a disease. They've brainwashed our big money boosters over the past 30 years to believe in the administration's way of doing (athletic) business. It's a catastrophic failure.

    Back to Marcus Washington

    He did drop in the rankings (that's not always the case; many overrated recruits stay highly rated but the losers who attempt to rank them), but was still way overrated. Texas wasn't willing to pay the price that it takes to land top recruits. The result is reaching for too many overrated 5.8/5.9 4-star recruits that none of the other bluebloods want on their roster, all in the name of perception. If the staff doesn't take them, our recruiting ranking drops out of the top 10 and they get fired in short order.

    Rinse and repeat.

    Rinse and repeat.

    There's a false perception that big, bad Texas recruits out of this world talent and the coaches can't develop them.  That's false. Development isn't rocket science. Schemes and organization are a different matter. But if you aren't sending boatloads of players to the NFL, then you're not landing the right recruits. Period. The administration at UT makes the job an uphill battle.

    Legitimate 5-star talent scattered throughout the roster win championships. It needs to somewhat consistently spread thru the roster, typically. Add in a bunch of top 150 talent and some well evaluated raw athletes with high ceilings. There will be many busts. And there just aren't that many actual blue-chips coming out of high school. 

    TCUs and Oklahoma States of the world can outperform Texas because they don't have to live up to the perception. They don't have to land the overrated 270th ranked recruit. They can recruit a high ceiling raw athlete who fits their scheme. And if the talent on both rosters is close, who's going to usually win? The team full of 20 year old kids that don't have any pressure on them? Or the team full of 20 year old kids with a huge amount of pressure on them? Not hard to figure this out. Go land the 5-star talent. You must invest money in order to make money.

    Coaches can't pull miracles out of the bag. Saban has a long list of top ranked players who were busts. You must have the talent in order to develop the players.

    Last year was a good start in recruiting, but we must do much better.  The 2021 class, and the transfers,, was the best in ages for the Horns.

     

    Episode 2 Waiting GIF by The Bachelorette

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  2. 6 hours ago, Pancho said:

    Neither is green but alas, those are the color of seats at DF.

    point being, who gives a shit.

    Fair point. They prob would have fucked up the orange anyway.

  3. 39 minutes ago, MuellerHorn said:

     

    If this is the case, barring injuries to the WR or TE rooms, Texas is going to see widespread production at these two positions for the first time in years. 

    X, JW, Neyor, Washington, Hall?, JT'S, JB, and then the running backs on routes. Man, it's hard not to get excited about this offense. If Texas has even an above-average offensive line, this offense is going to fuck

    high quality GIF

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  4. 25 minutes ago, VirginiaLonghorn said:

    … and has anyone noted Daly’s left knee is on the ground in the baseline?  Yet, he’s untouchable according to the Orange Tinted crew?

    I think we have a pair of mouthy middle IF who need to play more and talk less.

    Sounds like the majority of this team honestly.

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  5. 3 hours ago, LTtxfan said:

     

    Link to article on Top 25 :  https://247sports.com/LongFormArticle/College-football-top-25-rankings-ESPN-releases-preseason-FPI-for-2022-186155270/

     

    AUG 2016:      What goes into the preseason ESPN FPI ratings?

    Preseason ratings historically have their flaws, but ultimately they allow for an opponent adjustment after Week 1 and are a great tool to preview the season. As noted, there are four components to the preseason rating: prior performance, returning starters, recruiting rankings and coaching tenure.

    -- Prior performance is built off the framework of expected points added. The most recent year’s performance is by far the most important piece of information powering preseason FPI, but three more years are added to measure consistency and account for outliers in performance. The most recent year counts almost twice as much as the three years before it.

    -- Returning starters on offense and defense, with special consideration given to starting quarterbacks or transfer quarterbacks with starting experience, is the second piece of information powering preseason FPI. Because starters interact with other inputs, it’s not as simple as saying an extra returning starter is worth one point. Nonetheless, a starting quarterback is worth about 3.3 points per game to a team returning an average offense (all else equal), and a transfer quarterback is given half the weight of a starter.

    -- FPI uses four recruiting services -- ESPN, Rivals, Scouts and Phil Steele -- to measure the talent on a team’s roster and add an additional piece of information about which teams are on the rise. The addition of recruiting has been a controversial piece of FPI, but it’s worth noting that it is a very minor component that helps with prediction accuracy.

    -- Coaching tenure is primarily a way to capture the addition of a new head coach. With all else equal, a team’s predictive offensive, defensive and special teams ratings will regress slightly to the mean with the addition of a new coach.

    Preseason FPI debuted in 2014, and you can read more about how it performed in these recaps of the 2014 and 2015 seasons. In short, if preseason FPI, which was run retroactively to 2005, had been used with no update to predict every game over the last 10 seasons, the FPI favorite would have won 72 percent of FBS-versus-FBS games (Vegas closing line was 75 percent accurate). 

         What is ESPN's College Football Power Index? 

     

    Michael Jordan Reaction GIF

  6. On 4/11/2022 at 10:16 PM, Fudge Nuggets said:

    Quite a few deepwater wells in GOM have cased hole frac pack completions these days.

    Frac pack is typically used for reservoir sand control, not exactly “reservoir stimulation” in the same sense as a “traditional” slickwater frac. But point taken.

  7. 5 minutes ago, longhornmatt said:

    People hero worshipped Garrett Gilbert for an entire offseason after he shit the bed with explosive diarrhea in the national championship game against Alabama.  And then after we went 5-7 in 2010 primarily because he was awful (including such virtuoso performances like his 0 TD 5 INTs shutout to KSU), I still remember arguing with people on these boards who insisted Mack made the right call to give Gilbert the job again the next year instead of trying to get Russell f’n Wilson when he grad transferred to Wisconsin.

    Garrett Gilbert is a pretty good example of how tame our fanbase is compared to a lot of other big football schools.  At least choose Simms as your example.  He actually had a good record and was drafted in the 3rd round. 

    here we go again GIF

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