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JBJ

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  1. Unfortunately, this is the Guaranteed Rate bowl despite also being sponsored by Cheezit. They have also sponsored the Camping World / Pop Tart Bowl.
  2. The same goes for any system trying to give automatic spots to G5 teams. Stop doing this 8 champion bullshit. It only works on paper. One team shouldn't play Western Michigan while another plays Ohio State. The inclusive stuff makes no sense.
  3. The only issue with it is that 5/6 generally have an easier path than 1/2.
  4. Sam Houston is 1-0 vs the Pac.
  5. My proposal doesn't actually hurt the Notre Dame model. They played 10 P4 opponents and 6 from the ACC. My proposal punishes the ACC for losing 5 games to them AND not having a top 11 team. Basically crowning Notre Dame the champion and Virginia can f right off.
  6. Any team could already do this.
  7. An actual proposal should probably be: 1) An Independent team must schedule 10 P4 teams to be under consideration for a CFP ranking. 2) If 5 or more teams are scheduled from the same conference, the automatic qualifier for that conference will be the higher ranked team by the selection committee between the conference championship and the Independent.
  8. It should be Notre Dame OR the ACC champ have an automatic. They have a scheduling agreement with the ACC and basically play an ACC schedule. This would fix a lot short of forcing them to join or have a decent schedule.
  9. So an 18-team tourney where: Both teams advance from 3 of the first round games. If one team wins the first round, they are eliminated anyway. If one team loses the first round, they could still be in because the previous team won the first round. Selection process and season schedule does not change, so UM, Utah, USC, and Mizzou get left out for JMU, Virginia, etc. 😵
  10. Man, that's what message board rants looked like before message boards were invented.
  11. https://rolltide.com/news/2006/12/8/Statement_from_Mal_Moore_Concerning_the_Search_for_a_Head_Coach Seems luck is a huge factor in coaching hires.
  12. I'd have to dig through data specifically for BYU, but the note on the last one is that teams carry two types of uncertainty with them through the season. One is week-to-week consistency, which is deviation in the normal sense. The other is data reliability. This shrinks over the course of the season, but shrinks most when you play a team that matches evenly with you. For example, if you have a good run defense - have you played a good run team? How many and how good? It's not always necessarily indicative of overall SOS, but they are related at the higher end of the spectrum. And, at the higher end of the spectrum, data reliability is a strong predictor of an upset. You see this play out when say A&M, with the #2 offense but #100+ reliability, suddenly can't move the ball well against Texas who has a great run defense, better than any they have faced.
  13. What I'll say about BYU: - Resume is very good - Resume is still good with a loss - They are the only non-SEC playoff contender that my model thinks it has reliable enough data on to support their power ranking (i.e. they played a schedule that challenged their perceived strengths)
  14. We are moving inevitably toward a system where all the B1G and SEC teams with 7 conference wins will be in, and remaining seats will be invitational after that. Which is fine with me honestly. It would have been the top 7 SEC teams with the top 5 B1Gs this year which would be a badass tourney and rating extravaganza.
  15. It's not us that needs to change. Playoff selection needs to change, and everyone else needs to change. There's no reason to race to the bottom. No one wants this.
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