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Mantis Toboggan, MD

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Posts posted by Mantis Toboggan, MD

  1. Part of why I like Tom Clancy books so much is the extensive research he does on stuff.  A lot of his stuff is scary accurate.  I remember some of his books scared the DOD so much that they thought he was leaked.classified info that they asked him to show him the book before it got published.  The amount of access he got to the military was insane.

    Sum of All Fears had a disclaimer that his detailed explanations of the inner workings of a nuclear weapon were intentionally wrong for obvious reasons. I’m sure the government was involved in that one. I think it was probably a give and take relationship for him and the govt/ military. They gave him access and insight, he let them edit things that were too sensitive, and the military got books that people loved and made them look like badasses. Good propaganda.
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  2. The hardest part on developing a nuclear weapon is getting the enriched plutonium.  There's an old saying if you got the plutonium you're 90 percent there on a nuclear weapon.  The rest of that 10 percent is a few calculations that a dude could do and spec the delivery system.

    I read the Sum of All Fears and stayed at a Holiday Inn Express and agree.
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  3. To a point but dead is half of what russia wants. Leaderless Ukraine is worse than him getting out when he has to to keep leading from elsewhere.

    I really doubt Putin wants to kill him. He would far prefer he run and Putin can install a puppet because their president abandoned Ukraine to save himself. He would make much more of a difference to the Ukrainian cause being a martyr that Putin had murdered than a president in exile that ran to safety
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  4. My man, it was but a few years ago when our president was actively jockeying to pull us out of NATO. If the cornerstone member of an alliance is rattling the cages about leaving, there's justifiably some question in the international community as to if NATO (read: US) may not respond in force.
     
    Also as an aside, you really gotta build a fucking bridge and get over that Brisket used some hyperbole. Stop bringing it along into every fucking discussion that includes him as some lazy way to discount what he's saying that has NOTHING to do with what you're constantly bringing up.

    Brisket doesn’t think it is hyperbole. I mentioned it twice. He spent a week seriously advocating for it over and over again over a dozen posts or more. He is absolutely serious about this silly idea.

    I’m no great expert on Eastern European geopolitics. But it isn’t hard for me to figure out that someone who was fixated on this is not a serious person to listen to about this matter.

    This is clearly a very serious situation. I feel very badly for the Ukrainians. Innocent people…women, children are going to die. Vlad deserves to burn for this. I hate him.

    But I also believe we should be pragmatic.

    We can argue about this, but I don’t know what alternative options Brisket, you, or anyone else spouting unrealistic doom and gloom propose that we do. So, outside of whatever sanctions we can come up with, what is it that we should do stop Putin?

    If you are think we should go to war in Ukraine against Russia, I find that equally silly.

    So help the Ukrainians as we can, supply them, do every sanction we can come up with to hurt Russia and Putin’s cronies, and defend our NATO allies. This is what we are doing and what I think we should b doing. I don’t know what else you think is appropriate.
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  5. “It’s just the Sudetenland.”
    “How could a piddly shooting in Sarajevo start anything?”
    Fires in Europe spread. History doesn’t lie. Maybe it won’t this time. Hope that’s the case. But it would be fucking brain dead to not plan for the contingency of a larger conflict. You trust Putin to play it cool? I sure don’t.

    I don’t trust Putin but he isn’t invading multiple NATO countries to get to Germany of all places.

    Keep turning up the pressure on Putin. It is the right approach for now.

    Also, it is hard to take your predictions seriously after you spent a week repeatedly saying Ukraine should consider blowing up Chernobyl.
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  6. Not to be melodramatic, and I know its a weird thing to offer an internet stranger with a Baerbock kink on a college football board, but if God forbid shit did get dicey in a "worst case scenario" type situation, there's a safe place in Bavaria should anyone/anyone's family ever need it. We've got a weekend place in the far south of Bavaria that has plenty of room to ride things out in the worst case, and Texans should ultimately look out for other Texans in times of stress.

    Good to know for when Russia invades Germany.

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  7. First, based on what people in Norman are saying, I'll be surprised if Williams comes back. OU should be tampering the hell out of Dillon Gabriel.
    I've asked you all for other serious ideas as to where he'll go, and the options you've presented illustrate the point that staying at OU makes a lot of sense for Williams. There are about 120 schools he could transfer to and start immediately. But only about 2-3 that make sense for him. This is because the other teams are significantly worse that OU or have unstable coaching situations. If he goes to somewhere other than ND, Wisconsin, or I guess Ole Miss (is Kiffin stable anywhere, ever?), it will be a big departure for a family that, heretofore, has made logical, calculated decisions.
    If there ever was a plug and play new head coach and staff, this is just about as close as it gets. The offensive coaches (though I don't like all of the hires) are all from OU or OU alums. Venables history at OU is known, and the new coaches on defense it appears will all have ties to OU. Even if Venables is terrible, OU isn't going to fire him soon.
    No doubt that OU underachieved this year, but they still finished 11-2 and will have about 7 starters returning on both sides of the ball at present. If Williams comes back, that number could go up to 9 on offense (only losses Hayes-OG, Hall-FB). Based on several factors, Williams returning next year will mean OU's offense next year will be significantly better:
    - Simpler scheme
    - OL that keeps 4/5 starters and won't be ridiculously fat
    - Williams own year 1 to year 2 improvement
    - Better RB (Brooks, surprisingly, may stay; but they'll get 1-2 top 10 RB coming in for the 2022 class regardless; they worked on RB pass game a little for the bowl game so maybe they'll work on blitz pick up for next yr?)
    - WR only loses Hazelwood, who wasn't good at OU. Simmons didn't develop the room. Gundy will get a chance to see if he can coach them up.
    There is scuttlebutt that there is about to be some massive portaling from OU. Just looking at the depth chart, I'd imaging there will be some high upside DBs in the portal. Some above average LB could also look to move. OU is left with bread on the DL, and could lose 1-2 there too. On offense, they could push out a couple of non-factor OL out from an already depleted OL room. The biggest losses would be from the WR group. Woods has said he's coming back, but Mims has been non-committal, and Mario Williams could leave too. OU would be need a big name portal QB to be considered a good spot for portal WR.

    OU’s offense is not going to be better without Lincoln Riley. No chance.
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  8. Do not want the Bronny circus. He isn’t an elite player and you will have Lebron and his sycophants breathing down your neck about his playing time and blaming you for him not being that good.

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