Jump to content

BradInATX

Certifiably Surly
  • Posts

    8514
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    6

Posts posted by BradInATX

  1. Just now, Huckleberry said:

    Not even Greenspoint has posted a take as dumb as "Texas was turned down by Art Briles and all these other names." You're one of those idiots that actually believes that every time an agent leaks to a reporter that their client has withdrawn his name from a candidacy that he genuinely withdrew interest versus didn't get the job. You're not very bright.

    You obviously don't follow Texas football very closely. It was very well known that we reached out to all three of those guys (Mora, Briles, Patterson) and were shut down.

    Imagine thinking Charlie Strong was our first choice.

    michael jordan laughing GIF

    • Fuck You 3
  2. Remember when you came on here and told us about conspiracy theories that you read about on your Q message boards?

    muh stolen election!

     

    There was a discussion about which of the low-information DT posters are Q types, because there's obviously a lot of you here who don't want to admit it publicly on a message board that skews educated. The first two that came to mind were you and dcar00. He'll out himself eventually too. Can't wait for the military to throw Biden out and put Trump back in in August!!

    • Fuck You 1
  3. 3 minutes ago, formermav43 said:

    You think Nick Saban was available to poach?

    Yeah, that’s the point.

    Charlie Strong was our fourth or fifth choice that we know of. Sarkisian, we don't really know because CDC keeps things so close to the vest, but we know he wasn't our first.

    Chris Beard was our guy and we got him.

     

    We've been turned down by Gary Patterson, Jim Mora, Art Briles and lord knows who else. Comparing those guys to Coach K and Mark Few is one of the stupidest takes on the basketball board in awhile. Two of those chumps aren't even employed at the college level anymore.

     

  4. I'm just in shock that we managed to separate amicably with a coach without a huge buyout and shit show following, and then got our first choice coach almost instantly. I thought Texas coaching searches were supposed to be very public dumpster fires that make our AD look stupid in front of the whole world. 

    • Hook 'Em 3
  5. 4 minutes ago, Huckleberry said:

    This is a terrible take (you can tell by who liked it first).

    We didn't get Mark Few, we didn't get Coach K, etc. Those are the equivalents of the guys we've gone after in football that you're talking about striking out on.

    Chris Beard is a basketball world equivalent of Tom Herman in terms of Texas roots, moving from a Texas school, and being the hot shit name that others (LSU) wanted at the time. Now there are reasons to believe he will succeed where Herman bombed, but that's the reality.

     

    You think Mark Few and Coach K are available for programs to poach? LMAO. Yeah, I'm definitely the one spouting off dumb shit here. While we're at it we should have called Gregg Popovich!

    Chris Beard was easily the top guy out there that was reasonably available.

  6. So football strikes out on every elite coach they go for over the past decade.

    Basketball gets the top candidate and the consensus best "available to a big program" guy in the country.

     

     

    We basketball school now?

    • Hook 'Em 6
  7. Questioning STATA is strong move for a data analyst operating in the epi space. Clarence's parents have a real nice marriage. 

    Being an insecure, humorless pussy is a strong move for, well, you. It's kinda your thing.

    What kind of Longhorn gets mad at an aggy joke? Stop crying. Take a deep breath and remember that tomorrow you get to go to work and figure out more ways to charge poor sick people exploitative amounts of money to stay alive. Feel better?
  8. Lol. Anyway I have the study. There's an appendix I want that has the actual details of the model that is probably worth looking at, asked for that piece too.

    Won't post the whole thing since its paywalled but their study shows that the excess deaths per the model they used jumped substantially in summer of last year when Florida removed Covid restrictions

    a0e9b006f376888d4c4fee03951a9afc.jpg

    They also mention a couple of times that they believe their conclusion is conservative

    31eed15b9dbd1e4c2b1b4a57f7d98042.jpg

    They do acknowledge the potential unaccounted for increase in deaths from disease etc as discussed. As well as the reduction in accident-typs deaths which none of us touched on.

    44fd7411b7bed9dda422e73f7550c88b.jpg

    All in all their conclusion was more "look how dramatically excess deaths jumped up after Florida started ramping restrictions down" than "here's the exact number of unreported Covid deaths". The article originally linked seems to have missed the spirit of the study to focus more on raw death numbers.

  9. Lol at Austin. Really? Comal County of all places had a simple link to remove myself from the vaccine which I did. APH wants me to remember my username and password, go link hunting, then fill out a form? Pretty sure it's gonna make me find all the squares with crosswalks too. Maybe send a blood sample. Fuck outta here with that.

    Y'all's property taxes pay for this. Lulz. cb353152c58a8bc48cc97698899247cb.jpg

    • Like 1




  10. LOL.  That time where you know that Brad still hasn't read the article that he bases his arugment on. It's OK. I am truly sorry for relying on the numbers you were citing erroneously before I pulled the shit myself.  You probably also see the trend in month over month, assuming that you have actually read the article? I hope that by whatever means, whether out of obligation or pity, I care not which, somebody takes it upon themselves to coach you up from a back bench data analyst. 


    giphy.gif?cid=349c9dd7qrujqtdsnlc8xdtlxlyhw1ltj565ycbkvdr9knys&rid=giphy.gif

    Maybe one day you'll find the talent to be a business owner instead of a soulless, devastatingly replaceable shill for a pharmaceutical company. I'm rooting for you and I'm happy to give you tips on getting started and coach you up when you're ready.

  11. Well if I can’t make fun of the Lake Charles bridge being about to fall apart, fuck this bill.
    If they fix and expand the I-10 bridge over Baton Rouge I'll put a goddamn Biden statue in my yard.
    • Hook 'Em 1
    • Like 1








  12. Seems like maybe you should read the studies that you are basing your arguments around. They attributed the 14k to COVID based on the state reporting of COVID data. But you already know that even without actually reading the study. Or you should.
    We used monthly officially reported
    COVID-19 death data from January to
    September 2020 provided by the Johns
    Hopkins University’s Coronavirus Resource
    Center, which compiles data
    provided by the State of Florida
    Department of Health based on decedents
    who tested positive for COVID-
    19.1

     
     
     


    I missed that.

    Just like you missed that the 5k number was over six months, not a year when you did you your back of napkin analysis on an annual basis instead of the correct time period. They stopped in September which means they missed peak pandemic and that 5k is probably closer to 10-15k over the entire year of Covid.

    The article also isn't clear whether the 14,000 has overlap with the 33,000.

    I'd say you already know that but you obviously don't. You miss a lot for an alleged data guy that's allegedly above the partisan fray (lmfao)

  13. 1 hour ago, Anastasis said:

    I'd like to see the actual write up of the study, but I doubt that they adequately accounted for impacts of deferred care on excess mortality.  They acknowledge the limitation as a partial explanation of the finding in the STAT piece, just like the AJPH authors did in the Orlando Weekly write up. 

    And CV is just one example...we are seeing deferred care across most chronic medical and psychiatric conditions. 

    But let's work with the numbers a bit.  5k unaccounted for excess deaths, compared to expected in a 2019 usual care environment. In 2017, there were ~45k CV deaths, 12k stroke deaths, 12k deaths due to chronic respiratory disease, 6k diabetes, 3k suicide, 3k renal disease.  Those are all conditions that could be fairly sensitive to deferred care seeking behaviors, esp CV and stroke in shorter term. So limit to CV and stroke @ 57k or basket them all, let's say 80k total.  You can get to a good chuck of that 5k with relatively small increases in the mortality rates.  Again, certainly there are COVID deaths being undercounted, particularly in rural areas where you might not have professional medical examiners coding death certificates; but I think that deferred care during 2020 is playing a meaningful role in the excess death counts. 

    Yep, that all makes sense, especially if I take your word for it about the numbers you're seeing via your work, which I'll go ahead and do. It's too bad reporting on those deaths from CV, stroke, etc. lag, or else we'd be able to inform the discussion even better with March to March numbers.

    But sure, I agree that there could be a bump in deaths due to people not being able to get care, or even avoiding it. So does the study, as they didn't assign all 19k excess deaths to Covid. I asked my brother who is in academia to see if he has access to that report. I'm curious as to how they took 19k excess and attributed 14k to Covid, but I'm assuming they did it similarly to the way you did with more tangible data behind it.

    Whether it's 3k or 5k or even 10k of the 19k attributable to other stuff (put my money on about 5-7k), in the least shocking development ever, Florida definitely seems to be underreporting their numbers.

  14. 8 minutes ago, Kyle said:

    I am not going to pay $38 to buy the actual study, but the Orlando Sentinel story is a perfect example of today's lazy, agenda-driven journalism.

    1. It assumes that deaths must also follow models without consideration for causality

    2. We at least read that covid panic caused many to forgo other medical care as well as the increase in suicides, domestic violence, etc.

    So one might argue that covid panic not covid drove the delta. Causality is important. Guessing the average grievance study major does not understand correlation vs. causality much less p-values.

     

    michael jordan laughing GIF

     

    Ya'll need to stop using words that you don't understand. Let Anastasis carry you. Maybe PM him some points that you think you want to make and filter it all through him. This shit is word salad that someone who googles "how do stats work" vomits out.

  15. 4 minutes ago, Kyle said:

    Read the text of the bill sweetheart not the summary. And learn what the word "dumb" means. It makes you seem stupid. 

    And for the record, I find your texags/QAnon conspiracies endearing and entertaining.

    You're right. About 20% of the funding went to hospitals with high Covid caseloads. It doesn't pay for those insured privately or via Medicaid. It's just a Medicare replacement. It's not a financial incentive. Not a single hospital has been caught faking Covid numbers. No data supports it. Logic doesn't support it. It's a viral Facebook conspiracy spread by stupid people like yourself that has been debunked repeatedly.

    • Hook 'Em 1
  16. Just now, Kyle said:

     

    Holy fuck you are dumb. It literally says right there on the link that the Covid relief amounts are determined based off of prior year revenue. It has nothing to do with how many Covid cases they have.

    "These funds are allocated proportional to providers' share of 2018 patient revenue. "

    image.png.89407e8e5c5d734130336c3fa39b9e73.png

  17.  

    4 minutes ago, BabaYaga said:
    I'd like to introduce Brad to the hundreds of sworn election affidavits that he most certainly summarily dismissed about election tampering.  But THIS ONE, we can trust because she said so.  Jesus christ you really are Covid Derka.

     


    Haha. I knew your dumb ass was a Q guy.

    Muh stolen election!!!

    Its Not Fair GIFs | Tenor
     

     

    @DenverHorn @TtomTerrific your boy needs some help here. It's the back 9 of the Masters!

  18. 5 minutes ago, BabaYaga said:

    Exactly - that was an unsubstantiated rumor that conveniently fits the narrative of the king of the Branch Covidians, aka Covid Derka

     

    Fired for insubordination after she publicly stated that the state was manipulating data.

    We now know that Florida is drastically underreporting their data.

     

    "Definitely not fired because of that!" -super rational objective thinkers

    • Hook 'Em 1
×
×
  • Create New...