Posts posted by TwiceHorn
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16 minutes ago, 'stache said:
People will not know or will ignore that it happened and when their premiums don’t go up they’ll say the librul media lied about the premiums and that Trump saved them from evil Obamacare. That is how stupid people are now. I’m leaning towards let all the bad things happen. There’s no reversing this shit. Let it fucking burn and rebuild from scratch with whatever’s left.
The deadline to sign up is January 1, and was really December 15, so anyone that has attempted to sign up has seen their premium double, at least.
At this point, the lack of subsidy is baked in. Not sure how it changes anything for 2026.
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1 hour ago, satyanash said:
Something of a belated heads-up - if any of you guys live near a Ross Dress for Less outlet, they've been selling Zodiac watches (including the Super Sea Wolf) at dirt-cheap prices over the last month. With Fossil Watch Company's recent bankruptcy they're trying to clear out old stock ASAP. You can get a new Zodiac Super Sea Wolf with a STP 1-11 movement for as low as $125. Might have to do a bit of hunting though.
Haha went to three because that is a deal I just could not pass up. Saw lots of Fossil, but no Zodiac.
Little surprised these would sell out as for non-fanatics, they're kinda uggo and it's an obscure brand.
How belated is this?
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2 hours ago, TexArcher said:
Yes, Trump has charisma that Vance lacks. But a lot of people really didn't like a lot of the things Trump said -- about immigrants, about women, etc. They bit their tongues and voted for him because he got the things they wanted done, and to a large degree because they are so conditioned by their families, pastors, etc, that they could never not vote for the R. But part of them really didn't like doing it.
This does not describe his base. This describes something else entirely, maybe the persuadable middle or something.
I have been told repeatedly that everyone voted for Trump because of his racism and otherism. And I certainly don't disagree with that as pertains to the base.
I concede that Vance has the potential to appeal to a more rational class of voters. But I don't think there are enough rational Trump supporters to get him elected.
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2 hours ago, hookemATL said:
This is an older incident, but goddamn I wish he’d flung some fish guts at this caustic and evil bitch’s face.
She sounds drunk, or mentally handicapped.
Must be rough for her living in Clearwater, where 1 of 5 is Hispanic. And that whole Florida name must be a constant reminder.
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1 minute ago, WhatTheBuck said:
If Donald Fucking Trump is electable then anyone is electable. ‘It can’t happen here’ is never a true statement when it comes to Republican politics. There are a lot of self-proclaimed “Christian” voters in this country who would vote for Lucifer himself so long as he had an “R” next to his name on the ballot. Most especially if His opponent were either non-white or non-male. But the “D” alone would be enough to turn most of them off.
I’d like to believe that Vivek Ramaswamy could never in a million years be elected governor of Ohio but I won’t be the least bit surprised if he is. His opponent is a woman. Smart, experienced, qualified, and capable, but a woman. There will never again be a Republican candidate so vile and unlikable that I’ll doubt his chances to win an election.
I mean maybe.
We have often discussed that Trump is sui generis and I think that's very true. That 30-40% base he has maintained is almost solely attributable to his peculiar traits that no one else can duplicate.
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9 hours ago, heso said:
What Cuban misses in his post, I think, is that he and people like him are incapable of thinking like a true creative, because all he is able to think in is sellable units. How can I move more widgets, how can I sell tickets at a higher profit margin, how can I get more eyes, more clicks, more conversions? How do I get more iteration?
And he completely fails to understand that the joy of creating, genuine creativity, comes in part through loving the process. The musician, the artist, the writer, they do the thing because they love doing the thing, and they’d do it if there was money to be made or not. The brilliance in the true creativity is born out of a love of the process. But all he can consider is “if I offload the process to AI, I can sell more creativity.”
Excellent post. I meant to extend that out to a criticism of Cuban, but neglected to.
I think you're absolutely correct.
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10 hours ago, Superhero said:
It's amusing that one of the "exhibits" of that display was paid for by a government agency, created by the most socialist president we ever had and no doubt created on the government dole by a drunken layabout artist.
At least he was white.
Well, sorta. Alexander Dux was born in Austria-Hungary in 1898 and immigrated here with his family in 1910.
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18 minutes ago, Orange-4-Life said:
Does it trouble you at all that drug smugglers, common criminals like Juan Orlando Hernandez or El Chapo, are being murdered on the high seas without the due process accorded to at least Hernandez? Or that the actual victims are just ordinary people trying to get by, maybe a bit compromised?
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2 hours ago, Brisketexan said:
The land. I forgot about that part, when Venezuela stole all that land from the US. I mean, I have no idea what land this is or where it is, but yeah, they totally stole it from us.
The only thing that's even remotely close to that is I believe Chevron or Conoco (C company) had actual leases on Lake Maracaibo.
Chavez nationalized that, but Chevron still operates there although I'm sure it's on lower margins.
Nice to know that Chevron is us and we are Chevron (or Conoco).
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1 minute ago, atomheartbevo said:
Yeah, Rubio is young and knows Vance will be tainted by Trump in 2028 and will lose.
Although if this little war with Venezuela is the cluster fuck we are expecting, Rubio is going to be fully tainted as well.
Well, yeah, assuming the unpopularity of Trumpco holds, he'll be tainted among the rationals.
He also has I think about zero appeal to the base. They. Have. To. Have. The. Base.
Just now, 956 Worldwide said:Because our best hope of non-fuckery in that election is a contested GOP primary.
How so?
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Edited by TwiceHorn
2 minutes ago, 956 Worldwide said:Part two, where there is speculation on another DJT run (Wiles says no).
Why is this troubling?
I get that Vance is a) a lot smarter than Trump and b) apparently in the thrall of YarvinThielco, which makes him very dangerous indeed.
I also think he's unelectable.
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6 hours ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:
Sounds like the son was violent in the past. I'm unsure if there was evidence that he physically hurt his parents or not.
I have a couple of extended family members with drug and/or mental health issues. If I had an unexpected knock on the door from one of them, I would hesitate to let them inside. There will be a money request and I don't know what would happen when I refused. I know there has been violent or destructive behavior from them toward others in the past.
I'm a believer in tough love. If someone isn't actively getting better for an addiction issue then they're actually getting worse. And if you're not getting better, then they need to be on their own. The Reiners had substantial resources but I bet it's not easy to take the step of hiring full-time security for protection from your adult son.
"Tough love" or loving from a distance is the approved way to deal with active addict family members. Anything else risks enablement of the addict, not to mention safety and property of the family.
Still, it's incredibly hard to watch a close family member self-destruct. Many times, that leads in fairly short order to a rock bottom for the addict and the necessary realization that they need help and acceptance of it and recovery. Other times, it's going to lead to long term homelessness, jail, prison, and mental institutions.
I had seen an article in connection with the film About Charlie where the Reiners had used this approach for many years, but Nick remained incorrigible and they gave up and began enabling him again.
Fucking brutal.
I've spent a lot of time talking to and listening to the stories of addicts and the worst things I have ever heard inevitably concern their addict children.
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7 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:
When I was a kid, I thought Andy Griffith show and happy days were made contemporaneously to the periods in which they were set. Kids are dumb.
I have this persistent thought that real life before color tv and movies actually occurred in black and white.
Like, my parents grew up in black and white.
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11 hours ago, atomheartbevo said:
Yep, these people used to be confined to the back rooms of bookstores or student unions or some cheap restaurant late at night. They very clearly knew their views were not mainstream, and it was not easy to spread them around. Here in 2025, they can blast it out to all of their relatives at no cost, within seconds, not to mention around the world.
Also, thanks to a con man, they started to vote and thereby try to impose their batshittery on the rest of us.
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14 minutes ago, Vato Macho said:
Libertarians are retards.
I bet you were one before Trump. Libertarian that is. You've apparently always been a retard.
Interesting factoid from the Migration Policy Institute, which is credible.
Biden Administration let in a little over 5 million immigrants.
It also naturalized a record 3.4 million immigrants.
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3 minutes ago, Captainant said:
I've been "encountered" by border patrol a few times going to/from and on my wife's family's ranch down near Presido. Once was on foot while hiking on our land - he looked at our boots and made note and kept on doing his thing. Another was driving to the ranch, and we got stopped by BP because they didn't recognize my car and wanted to ask why we were in the area. Have more BP, get more encounters. That's just how their job works.
It's funny to see GRUhorn or whichever troll sock it is come in and so successfully stoke the false victimhood of """unfair thought policing""". Must be nice to never have to change your playbook
Those aren't actually encounters.
Encounters are detentions and expulsions. Now, a detention might later result in expulsion, or release pending asylum or other grounds for legal entry.
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Edited by TwiceHorn
7 minutes ago, Foosters said:Obviously the only answer is then to detain Brown American citizens. Genius
That article does nothing to explain what those costs might be and how they are calculated. The sources cited are highly political. the Committee on the Judiciary being headed by notorious straight shooter Gym Jordan, backed up by the wonderful Darrell Issa and Andy Biggs. FAIR was founded by a white supremacist. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Tanton
There are more sanguine estimates that they cost us very little if anything at all.
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4 hours ago, Vato Macho said:
In this case, she's actually quite right, no matter how much you try to say she isn't. It's like some of y'all are trying to speak that into existence. Piss on my leg and tell me it's raining. Sorry, not working.
This is true. The numbers bear it out.
Lived experience bears it out. Ask anyone that lived anywhere near the border if there was a perceptible change in 2021. Spoiler, there was. It was overnight.
The policy changes helped it happen. Just say you're glad it happened or that it's good it happened. That has more credibility.
Encounters on the SW border have plummeted without the benefit of any legislation. You can just be committed to enforcement and it's amazing what can happen. Or, you can do the opposite. Open floodgates something something.
Tell us, then, what is an "encounter"?


Twelve killed in shooting targeting Jewish community at Australia's Bondi Beach
in Daily Texan
I think pops had the guns while junior was investigated.