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TwiceHorn

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Posts posted by TwiceHorn

  1. 2 hours ago, Brisketexan said:

    The land. I forgot about that part, when Venezuela stole all that land from the US. I mean, I have no idea what land this is or where it is, but yeah, they totally stole it from us.

    The only thing that's even remotely close to that is I believe Chevron or Conoco (C company) had actual leases on Lake Maracaibo.

    Chavez nationalized that, but Chevron still operates there although I'm sure it's on lower margins.

    Nice to know that Chevron is us and we are Chevron (or Conoco).

     

  2. 1 minute ago, atomheartbevo said:

    Yeah, Rubio is young and knows Vance will be tainted by Trump in 2028 and will lose.

    Although if this little war with Venezuela is the cluster fuck we are expecting, Rubio is going to be fully tainted as well.

    Well, yeah, assuming the unpopularity of Trumpco holds, he'll be tainted among the rationals.

    He also has I think about zero appeal to the base.  They. Have. To. Have. The. Base.

     

    Just now, 956 Worldwide said:

    Because our best hope of non-fuckery in that election is a contested GOP primary. 

    How so?

  3. ·

    Edited by TwiceHorn

    2 minutes ago, 956 Worldwide said:

    Part two, where there is speculation on another DJT run (Wiles says no).

     

     

    Why is this troubling?

    I get that Vance is a) a lot smarter than Trump and b) apparently in the thrall of YarvinThielco, which makes him very dangerous indeed.

    I also think he's unelectable.

  4. 6 hours ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

    Sounds like the son was violent in the past. I'm unsure if there was evidence that he physically hurt his parents or not.

    I have a couple of extended family members with drug and/or mental health issues. If I had an unexpected knock on the door from one of them, I would hesitate to let them inside. There will be a money request and I don't know what would happen when I refused. I know there has been violent or destructive behavior from them toward others in the past.

    I'm a believer in tough love. If someone isn't actively getting better for an addiction issue then they're actually getting worse. And if you're not getting better, then they need to be on their own. The Reiners had substantial resources but I bet it's not easy to take the step of hiring full-time security for protection from your adult son.

    "Tough love" or loving from a distance is the approved way to deal with active addict family members.  Anything else risks enablement of the addict, not to mention safety and property of the family.

    Still, it's incredibly hard to watch a close family member self-destruct.  Many times, that leads in fairly short order to a rock bottom for the addict and the necessary realization that they need help and acceptance of it and recovery.  Other times, it's going to lead to long term homelessness, jail, prison, and mental institutions.

    I had seen an article in connection with the film About Charlie where the Reiners had used this approach for many years, but Nick remained incorrigible and they gave up and began enabling him again.

    Fucking brutal.

    I've spent a lot of time talking to and listening to the stories of addicts and the worst things I have ever heard inevitably concern their addict children.

  5. 7 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

    When I was a kid, I thought Andy Griffith show and happy days were made contemporaneously to the periods in which they were set.  Kids are dumb. 

    I have this persistent thought that real life before color tv and movies actually occurred in black and white.

    Like, my parents grew up in black and white.

  6. 11 hours ago, atomheartbevo said:

    Yep, these people used to be confined to the back rooms of bookstores or student unions or some cheap restaurant late at night. They very clearly knew their views were not mainstream, and it was not easy to spread them around.  Here in 2025, they can blast it out to all of their relatives at no cost, within seconds, not to mention around the world.

    Also, thanks to a con man, they started to vote and thereby try to impose their batshittery on the rest of us.

  7. 3 minutes ago, Captainant said:

    I've been "encountered" by border patrol a few times going to/from and on my wife's family's ranch down near Presido. Once was on foot while hiking on our land - he looked at our boots and made note and kept on doing his thing. Another was driving to the ranch, and we got stopped by BP because they didn't recognize my car and wanted to ask why we were in the area. Have more BP, get more encounters. That's just how their job works. 

    It's funny to see GRUhorn or whichever troll sock it is come in and so successfully stoke the false victimhood of """unfair thought policing""". Must be nice to never have to change your playbook

    Those aren't actually encounters.

    Encounters are detentions and expulsions.  Now, a detention might later result in expulsion, or release pending asylum or other grounds for legal entry.

  8. ·

    Edited by TwiceHorn

    7 minutes ago, Foosters said:

    Obviously the only answer is then to detain Brown American citizens. Genius 

    That article does nothing to explain what those costs might be and how they are calculated.  The sources cited are highly political. the Committee on the Judiciary being headed by notorious straight shooter Gym Jordan, backed up by the wonderful Darrell Issa and Andy Biggs.  FAIR was founded by a white supremacist. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Tanton

    There are more sanguine estimates that they cost us very little if anything at all.

  9. 4 hours ago, Vato Macho said:

    In this case, she's actually quite right, no matter how much you try to say she isn't. It's like some of y'all are trying to speak that into existence. Piss on my leg and tell me it's raining. Sorry, not working.

    This is true. The numbers bear it out. 

    Lived experience bears it out. Ask anyone that lived anywhere near the border if there was a perceptible change in 2021. Spoiler, there was. It was overnight. 

    The policy changes helped it happen. Just say you're glad it happened or that it's good it happened. That has more credibility.

    Encounters on the SW border have plummeted without the benefit of any legislation. You can just be committed to enforcement and it's amazing what can happen. Or, you can do the opposite. Open floodgates something something. 

    Tell us, then, what is an "encounter"?

  10. 8 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

    I'm only a keyboard expert on labor trends but something sure looks different for the data points starting in the 2025 spring/summer time frame and not just the color of the chart bars. Has anything major happened with the economy or jobs in the last 6-9 months?

    I think the tariffs and threat of same created huge uncertainty in a lot of sectors such that business plans were scaled back and put on hold.

    Certainly true of many of my clients.

  11. 2 minutes ago, wildcat09 said:

    This kind of shit is so fucking funny.

    Immigration law hasn't substantively changed since Reagan was President. Illegal immigration peaked under Bush II. But for the last ~30 years, probably ~50% of Americans have thought most immigrants suddenly showed up within just the immediately preceding 2-4 years. 

    Nicole, you live in Texas. Does that sound anglo to you? We've got a state literally named New Mexico. Brisket has been talking about how long his family has been here for three fucking generations of these message boards. Why the fuck do you think "the floodgates" have opened just the last couple of years?

    Probably important to note that the only real substantive changes Biden made to immigration were to permit asylum claims while remaining in US and not treating first unlawful entry as a crime (also closely tied with family separation policies).

    The real difference is the perception that Biden policy was more lenient than Trump's, driving people to the border.

  12. 1 minute ago, atomheartbevo said:

    I feel like there are recordings of her interviews.

    I always love how they say he's done more in 11 months than any President in 8 years.  I feel like FDR probably accomplished more in the 8 years leading up to his death, but that's just me.

    Well if by "done" you mean "fucked shit up," then yeah maybe, probably.

  13. 8 minutes ago, Pancho said:

    Is she trying to get fired?

     

     

    She is a complete mercenary and this is another indication that there is life after MAGA/Trump.

    In other words, at this point she doesn't give a shit about alienating Trump because she can find other gigs.

     

  14. 6 hours ago, C-Man said:

    I did a quick google (really duckduckgo because fuck Google) when ana brought that up and read the Biden (mis)quotes.

    Unfortunately, my skepticism meter was on low sensitivity, so I didn't dig any further.  I didn't pay a great deal of attention to Biden's campaign because voting for him was a foregone conclusion for me.

    This is the kind of thing I look out for, usually, on #bothsides, and why I tend to be skeptical of many "interpretations" of what someone says.  I like to see it straight from their mouths, or text, or whatever.

  15. 7 hours ago, Surly Bevo said:

    I've read some stuff in the last day where it sounds like the Reiners carried a lot of guilt about the way they had handled their son's addiction and mental issues.  They clearly had taken hard lines (with the support of professional opinions) in the past with tales of him living homeless across the country, etc so maybe they were trying a different, more inclusive/softer approach....it is strange though.  

    Yeah, that is a terrible awful thing to deal with.  The answer is almost always the hard line.  I'd say always, because it's probably correct.  But absolutes make me nervous.

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