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Zonahorn

Certifiably Surly
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Posts posted by Zonahorn

  1. Yes, the AZ GOP is batshit. They're also broke and Kari Lake staged a coup for control of the state party and made the previous state chair resign. The current chair went on Steve Bannon's show and begged for money for "litigation"

    • Hook 'Em 1
  2. 19 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

    Would love to see their internal polling if they were trying to bribe Kari to go away.

    image.png.1e2ee0a44bfbe488b96737b2c220756a.png

    I haven't seen her leading a single poll even with Sinema potentially fucking around. She has no shot, but the lunatics in the state party have convinced themselves it was stolen from her. 

    • Fuck Around and Find Out 1
  3. 1 hour ago, gmr548 said:

     

     

    Kari Lake was less than 20k votes from being governor all the same. It will be close.

    They have 150K in the bank and are running people who already lost statewide races. The state party chair resigned because he was recorded trying to bribe Kari Lake to go away. Arizona doesn't reward candidates that already lost, see McSally, Martha.

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  4. 37 minutes ago, gmr548 said:

    This is the map as it stands to me and honestly it is going to take a significant change in economic fundamentals or a major black swan event to change it. I think the only real hot take is I think NC is another legitimate tossup. Continues to be a leader inward migration and it's more of the garden variety HCOL market professional relocating than being a MAGA beacon like TX or FL.

    The economic fundamentals actually scream comfortable Biden reelection, but we're in a very polarized environment, he got caught holding the bag on inflation, the impossible Israel-Palestine situation is flaring up, and he's 117 years old. People really hate Donald Trump though and I buy that the electorate will start to remember that more intensely as he gets more media coverage and it becomes crystal clear to the average American that we're running it back.

    160mm voters and it probably comes down to < 100k aggregate votes in a few of these tossup states again. Democracy!

    iDgnRp.png

    The Arizona Republican Party is fucked. I doubt it will be close.

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