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sushihorn

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Posts posted by sushihorn

  1. 48 minutes ago, TreatyOak said:

    Well, I can't believe I'm posting this, because after A&M had one the most embarrassing season in college football HISTORY, Florida State University may have TOPPED them in the stupid and embarrassing department!

    1. Whining that they got left out of the CFP playoff 
    2. Threatening to sue the NCAA
    3. Having state politicians promising state money if they wanted to sue (that's a good use of public money in a state with low education levels)
    4. Suing their conference to break away without any landing place but will cost them untold millions  
    5. Claiming they had "no choice" but to sue
    6. Having their coach ill-prepare them for their bowl game
    7. Having an untold number of player opt out
    8. Suffering from the ALL-TIME WORST LOSS BOWL GAME - 60 points!!!!!
    9. Having their coach claim that they are a championship team AFTER suffering the worst bowl loss of all time

    TAKE-LOSS-INNA.jpg 

    Unlike FSU, Pussy is still undefeated. 

    • Hook 'Em 2
  2. 15 minutes ago, F250 said:

    How did a creation science diploma mill make it to a New Years bowl game? This isn't even a real university.

    As a diploma mill, I don’t think it’s any worse than OU or Mississippi State. I realize that’s a low bar but…

  3. 28 minutes ago, ApocalypseTexas said:

    There is nothing greater than reading about ou fans complaining about current legal roster contacts, and payments, that they did when it was illegal, but now that it is legal…. they are unable to compete!!!!

    Organizations built to operate under Black Market conditions rarely maintain their position as that market sector is legalized. Free markets require very different skill sets. 

    • Hook 'Em 5
  4. 1 hour ago, alphahydro said:

    I think a lot rests on the Texas LBers to shore up the run-alternatives in the short/screen game.  I'm sure the UW coaching staff spent a lot of time trying to scheme up a run/short passing game using motion/redirection/shifts to get the right matchups and leverage against the Texas edge/slot DB and LB.  UW did an excellent job last year (against a different Texas lineup), and it was a huge factor in the outcome.  If the UW RB are breaking tackles tomorrow, it's partly because they are good players and partly because their OC did a great job in getting them matchups and angles.   (Of course some of this depends on the Texas gameplan and how Texas adjusts over the course of the game).  Frankly, not knowing much, I'd probably do what Texas did last year and devote less resources to the short game and hope for the best (at least as my "base" strategy). 

    2) Will the athleticism and size of Texas make a significant difference in the game?  This especially relates to #1.  If UW goes with what worked in the pac 12 this season (or what worked in the Alamo bowl), it may not work in the Sugar Bowl, because the leverage that works against smaller, slower teams may not work against this Texas team.  It's what Oregon always discovers when they play better teams.  I don't think it's a matter of being pac12 soft.  UW is a very physical, scrappy bunch on both sides of the ball.  It's more about team speed (and size) of the opposing defense.  If Texas' athleticism allows it to handle short/underneath stuff with fewer resources (using some dime, dropping nickle into coverage etc) because the solutions that worked for UW all year don't work against Texas, it will allow Texas to devote extra resources to the pass at low cost.  

    Similarly, how will the depth and quality of the Texas DL factor into this game?  I think you can put this into 3 categories: 1) it won't matter; UW will move the pocket, get the ball out quickly, and scheme the run game away from the interior DL. 2) it will matter indirectly.  The UT DL won't dominate in a way you can see, but their efforts will severely limit what plays UW can run successfully; UW will be running a limited playbook, which will allow Texas to devote extra resources to the plays UW can run. 3) massive pressure up the middle all game.  And we all know Penix is a different QB if you can get pressure with 4.  The extremes of 3 and 1 are not super likely, but 1 is more likely early in the game and 3 is more likely toward the end of the game, imo, given Texas' depth.  But we don't really know how this is going to play out because UW didn't play UCLA this year, and a lot of this depends on flow of the game, who scores early, etc. 

    I don’t see UW having any consistent running between the tackles. Their off tackle runs are going to require their OL to get good movement against our edges and combo up to the LBs. If our play side DE and LB can force the run wide, I like the odds of pursuit and safety support stopping Johnson from turning the corner. Remember Reggie Bush bounced stuff outside and turned it up for big gains all season in 2005. When he faced the speed of Texas he couldn’t do that and Lendale White became the bigger threat. I expect that sort of effect if our defensive front can avoid giving UW a soft corner in the run game. 

  5. 39 minutes ago, troph said:

    Dunno. But analogous to a salary cap. With real enforcement. 

    Salary caps can only exist under a true cartel arrangement. Those arrangements are only possible in pro sports because the league structures sit above the teams and have special antitrust exemptions granted by Congress. 

    1) The big boys of CFB aren’t going to let anyone dictate to them, much less impose parity. 

    2) The NCAA created NIL to organize a system that already existed as a Black Market. It’s recognition of reality rather than an exercise of power. 

    3) Lack of parity is one of the things that makes college sports so great. Low expectations and high upside incentivize Have Not programs to take risks. Think 1970s BYU, Air Raid at Kentucky and Texas Tech or the Spread rushing attack at WVU. 

  6. 9 hours ago, DixonHur said:

    Most of their "playmakers" played last night too...they had a good year, but they are not a good team.  Not worried about them at all.

    My stepdad, who died earlier in the year, was a Mizzou grad, and a close friend's daughter started there this year, so I was rooting for them, but as much as I want them to be good (as long as they are not playing Texas), they just aren't.

    It’s a return to their glory days of the Chase Daniels years. 😂

  7. 38 minutes ago, longhornmatt said:

    And for all the hype about how their passing game is bad matchup for our secondary ... go look at Penix's game log.  If you take out the games where they ran up the score on a terrible OOC schedule, his last 10 games of the year against Pac 12 opponents was good but not great.  This was his stat line in those 10 games:

    223/353 (63%), 2,886 YDS, 21 TDS, 8 INTS,  146.9 QB Rating   

    Ewers actually has better numbers against real opponents than Penix.  In 9 games against P5 opponents (the 8 games Big 12 games that Ewers played in, plus the Alabama game) here is Quinn's stat line:

    218/300 (73%), 2,770 YDS, 16 TDS, 6 INTS, 163.8 QB Rating

    Half the board was bitching about him until the Big 12 Championship Game, and yet we're supposed to be scared of the guy who was markedly worse against Pac 12 teams?  The guy who, btw, despite supposed 1st round hype from the Mel Kipers of the world, is still in college for year 6 instead of the NFL?

    Quinn is definitely underrated as a passer but he’s not better than Penix. The Longhorn receivers’ superpower is YAC and our coaching staff creates a lot of favorable matchups and coverage busts. So Ewers gets a lot of receiver running (especially screens) tacked on and easy pitch and catch to wide open men. Penix gets help from his guys but he’s having to get the ball downfield with high accuracy just to create the jump ball situations. 

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  8. 7 hours ago, Juicy said:


    LOL.

    The reason Michigan is the number one D in the country is their DL. Saying that their line is slow is like saying Texas has shitty DTs. It’s just not true.

    They are statistically #1 after facing dog crap offenses week after week. Michigan has a good defense that looks other worldly against their schedule. We can all point to very low scoring offenses on your slate. Tell me how great the top 3 offenses are that Michigan has faced. 

    Mizzou held the Buckeyes down more effectively. Ole Miss was mot quite as good vs Pedo State. But those are the statistical comps vs your best opponents. 

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  9. 37 minutes ago, Juicy said:


    Michigans front may be slow?

    I swear the shit some of you say makes me wonder if you actually watch football.

     

     

     

     

     

    Did you watch your own video? The guy gets pushed towards the runner by the block while the RB is stumbling. DTs need to be explosive and this dude takes 4-5 steps to really get going, even with a push start in the right direction from the OL. I’d hate to see how slow he would be if forced to change direction or accelerate on his own. USEFUL Speed for linemen is measured in the first few steps, not at the end of a 40 yard dash. 

  10. Some of the bowl games have been so dull, I watched some Washington regular season games on my tablet during them. A few observations to add re: their Defense. The D-Line plays pretty straight up against the run. They try to control their gap and hold their ground - not a lot of penetration. They are honoring their gap responsibilities and eating up blocks.

    Because they don’t penetrate much it’s much harder for them to transition from run defense to pass rush. I suspect that is a major reason why they have such a low sack total: 19 in 540 Attempts or 3.51%. That compares to 6.45% for the Horns. I’m fact, the Texas D-Line alone has more sacks than the entire Washington Defense.

    Because of their difficulty transitioning, play action tends to be more effective slowing their pass rush. Not only do they have to switch from holding their ground to penetrating, they also lose a lot of the games they use to generate an effective pass rush: stunting, looping, fake pressure and zone drops. They are limited to pass rushing in the gap they are assigned for run defense. Their pass rush is a completely different animal when they have to play the run first. 

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  11. I’m struggling to control my optimism. CFB is largely confined to regional cells, isolated from each other. It’s hard to compare records, stats or even SoS when there are virtually no common opponents and few second degree comparisons until the end of the year. Now we are getting data  

    Frankly, Texas’ opponents have performed much better than Washington’s have. The difference has been so great that it’s tempting to regard UW’s season stats as fools gold. I’m more focused on the defensive results which are less likely to be severely skewed by a few opt outs than offenses. And frankly the PAC-12 slate plus Boise have looked bad. 

    Arizona smacked Oklahoma’s scout team but they gave up over 200 rushing yards and 350 passing yards to a Freshman quarterback seeing his first real action and a 3rd string tailback playing behind a salvage yard O-Line. 363 yards passing and 111 on the ground doesn’t look that impressive now, does it?

    Boise faced UCLA which UW did not this year. The Bruins had slightly lower offensive output than Washington but with a hugely different distribution. UCLA had 280 rushing to (78) for UW and 230 to (478) passing. Oregon St gave up 110 rushing 162 passing to UW vs 232 and 236 to the Domers. Cal surrendered 256 passing to Texas Tech vs to (389) for UW and 128 to (140) rushing.

    Utah v Northwestern: 225 (332) passing, 65 (125) rushing

    USC v Louisville: 141 (256) passing, 220 (316) rushing

    Oregon vs Liberty TBD


    TL;DR - With a bunch of decent teams matching up, UW’s offense looks pretty comparable to their schedule’s bowl matchups. Their offensive results are clearly superior to Louisville and Northwestern but inferior to ND. Running results are very similar to TTU and OU’s replacements but way below UCLA. Not suggestive of anything more than an average ground attack.

     

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  12. Casual fans and shallow analysts focus on offense and especially on spectacular big plays. The long jump balls by Penix and company are tailor made to appeal to this crowd. Same for the over focus on the 2 games against an undisciplined UO making people think Washington will run the ball well.

    When we look at line play and running game, those less understood aspects are definitely against UW. No one has run on Texas other than OU and they needed to get most of their rushing yardage from the QB position. Even the most optimistic see Penix as a borderline serviceable runner, not someone who is going to require a dedicated spy. 

    The UW DL plays very conservative in run defense. It’s gap sound but tough to convert into a pass rush if there is play action. There’s a good reason why they get relatively few sacks and TFLs. Considering the number of pass attempts they have faced, 19 sacks is a very small number. 

    Their OL will try to run enough power and inside zone to keep our DTs at home. But they will probably rely on runs outside the tackles to produce drive sustaining yards. We all saw how easily Oregon surrendered the edge at the line and how often Arizona did the same in the Alamo. That Husky O-Line is going to face a totally different challenge trying to kick out DL who are already shooting gaps. 

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  13. 6 hours ago, Reynolds Woodcock said:

    In somewhat fairness to Penix, I believe he was responding to Sweat saying that Washington is just another offensive line to him despite them winning the Joe Moore award. I’m sure their fans are all jerking each other off to that quote just like this board.

    Washington’s OL is good because of coaching, precision and teamwork. If they get angry because of bulletin board comments they are likely to perform worse, not better. That’s especially true if they try to get aggressive with bigger, stronger, better athletes on the Texas DL. 

  14. 23 hours ago, Bama Llama said:

    My dream: Bama front seven bottles up M ground game and keeps M offense behind the sticks, pressures and sacks McCarthy on third downs, maybe get a pick or two. Bama O line buys time for Milroe, run bolcks enough to average 4 or 5 yds per run. Milroe protects the ball, hits a few nice deep passes, RBs keep down and distance manageable. Bama in control all day, wins 30-14.

    My nightmare: Michigan demon db (forgot his name) in Milroe’s grille all day, causes poor passes and hinky fumbles, turnover Milroe looks like 9/9/23. Michigan O line wallows Bama off the ball, doubles and neutralizes edge rushers. Michigan offense channels Penn State game, run after run, Corum and company stsy shesd of sticks, play action opens pass game to tight ends, ball control anaconda Wolverines. Michigan 27-10.

    Reality: somewhere in between, unexpected shit happens, I can only pray we have the ball last within 6. Bama wins, 19-18.

    Hook ‘em, my Surly brothers and sisters. It’s been a helluva year. We ain’t dead yet.

    If you’re checking out Bourbon Street and some dude walks up and says, “Bet you $20 I can tell you where you got your shoes,” don’t take the bet. Just say “On Bourbon Street, motherfucker! Where you think? Hook ‘em!”

    Milroe will make plays off schedule and convert multiple 3rd downs with his feet. They need to at least threaten to use him in the running game even if it’s a called handoff from a zone read look. Michigan’s front may be slow but they are tough in confined spaces and Bama needs every edge they can get in the running game  

    Milroe will also make some head scratcher throws. You have to hope they aren’t game changing. As with Texas, Bama has better athletes which creates the opportunity for a blowout. Michigan is well coached and tough but I’d like the matchup of slot receivers and RBs on the Wolverine LBs if I was a Tide fan. 

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