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sushihorn

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Posts posted by sushihorn

  1. On 10/6/2019 at 4:28 PM, Thetexashammer said:

    if the read isn't there he wants to pull the ball and get downhill; he pulls his eyes down. That's a big difference between he and Kyler who was always looking downfield. If Hurts makes a play behind the line with his legs then finds someone open downfield somebody blew an assignment in coverage. They'll have to be wide open for Hurts to find them.

    All those years of SECx3 QB coaching are really paying off.

  2. 23 hours ago, Js1 said:

    Besides serving, setting the middles is still a huge problem.  I think Jhenna is still figuring that part out, because all 3 require/desire their sets at different spots.  She's good with Brionne (because of last season) and still figuring out where Molly and O'Neal want it.  Shook consistently would/does set Brionne too low. 

    Timing is much harder and more important with middle attack.  You can't just throw up a 3 ball like you can to the pins.  Texas has a problem there since there are 2 first year starters at MB and the only returning player at that position missed so much practices and is still limited by injury.  Not surprising that there would be a lot of issues with that in play.  It really limits the offense and allows opposing teams' blockers to focus on the outside.  Brionne has been devastating in limited action and the freshmen have done well with their opportunities.  Jhenna doesn't use them enough because she's not confident in the timing yet.

  3. On 10/10/2019 at 10:35 AM, Pogo said:

    Here's the thing about serving - if you eliminate all the errors, you eliminate all the aces.  The receiving team gets first shot at winning the point.  If you serve underhand and get rid of all service errors (and aces), the opponent's side-out percentage is going to go way up because you're just giving them nothing but free balls.  Do tennis players do this at the elite level?  NO.  They serve aggressively to try to get ahead in the point as soon as possible.  This is the state of the game these days when you have a bunch of DSs and Liberos receiving every serve.  You have to make them work for it.

    Don't get me wrong.  It's frustrating as shit watching Micaya/Logan pound serves into the net.  The reason Elloitt is okay with those is 3-fold:  1) she's going to get an ace for every couple of errors;  2) a non-ace non-error serve is highly likely to put the opponent out of system immediately;  3)  one good pass after a service error and we side-out and are serving again.

    Would you believe me if I said Micaya and Logan are much better than they were last season and Peterson (who commits fewer errors) is the one who is serving poorly?  Here are the numbers:

    2018:  Micaya - 71 errors vs. 21 aces for a 3.4 ratio        Logan - 49 errors vs. 22 aces for a 2.2 ratio      Sydney - 31 errors vs. 23 aces for a 1.2 ratio

    2019:  Micaya - 28 errors vs. 13 aces for a 2.1 ratio        Logan - 38 errors vs. 21 aces for a 1.8 ratio      Sydney - 20 errors vs. 3 aces for a 6.7 ratio

    As a team, were at 139 errors vs. 58 aces on the season for a 2.4 ratio.  By comparison, Stanford is at 103/54 = 1.9 ratio.  Baylor is at 92/46 = 2.0 ratio.  Nebraska is at 108/50 = 2.16 ratio.  The aggies might one of the best serving teams in the country.  They're at 137/84 = 1.6 ratio

    These numbers show that we're one of the more aggressive serving teams, but we are not by any means as bad as we fans seem to think.

    TL/DR:  we don't suck that bad; don't shoot the messenger

    Texas' goal for side out % is 66%.  Any team that can win 1/3 of their service points is doing well.  In serving, that translates to anything lower than a 2:1 ratio of errors to aces being really good.

  4. On 10/9/2019 at 8:01 PM, ztejas said:

    aggy wishes they had as much success as the 3rd Reich

    Nice run of European conference championships but they got knocked out in the finals by the Allies' all-star team.

    • Like 3
  5. 52 minutes ago, Constant said:

    I’m not sure I’ve ever been less worried about Texas’ run game. 

    OU's run defense held Houston to around their per game average.  That puts them at the level of Washington State, Tulane, North Texas and Prairie View A&M.  Maybe I'm crazy but I'm not seeing a basis for your confidence here.

  6. 14 minutes ago, Valmy77 said:

    Does it? Bill suggested we only won against West Virginia because we got lucky with 4 interceptions which kind of suggested he thought all turnovers were luck.

    It's hard to tell where his model ends and his personal opinion starts.  It's very unprofessional and a perfect example of the Appeal to (false) Authority Fallacy.

  7. 4 hours ago, Walden Ponderer said:

    Okay, so first of all, Grinch's Wikipedia page has some interesting details...

    daddy.PNG

     

    Meanwhile, Grinch did have success against Stanford. I'm suspecting that anomaly has a lot to do with the fact that a more traditional running game plays into the strength of this alignment, because it pinches the gaps significantly and reduces the stress on the edges.

    MUCH less chance of overpenetration when there is only a single running threat in the backfield.  Every defender adjust their angles to the obvious ball carrier.

  8. Sam has been very good running the ball this year in action deliberately designed to limit the hits he takes.  290 yards on 42 carries (6.9 YPC), 3 TDs and a bunch of 1st downs.  Sacks are adjusted out since they properly belong to the passing game.  The obvious exception was LSU, where Sam carried the ball 19 times, including 5 sacks.  Even there Sam averaged 6.0 YPC against a supposedly all-world defense.

    I expect Sam to carry the ball 15-20 times against OU for a lot of yards.  Grinch is playing penetrating one-gap front with quarters coverage behind that.  It's very vulnerable to getting hit up the gut since it keeps 2 safeties deep while the 4 man front attacks upfield and the CBs are aligned wide and near the LOS so they have no pursuit angles on interior runs.  That puts nearly all the responsibility for stopping those runs on the 2 ILBs.  I'm expecting a lot of G/TE power with a backside keeper threat, QB lead/draw and QB counter.  Texas hasn't put much of those plays on film and I think for good reason.  Most of the play calling has either been vanilla (tight zone) or stuff we won't use that much against OU (counter trey).

    For reference Sam had 19 and 15 carries against OU last year and 21 carries in the Sugar Bowl. 

    • Like 2
  9. How vanilla was the Texas offense?

    In the first 25 minutes, they ran RB counter 3 times, split flow zone twice, QB draw once.  Everything else was tight zone.  No swing pass with TE lead that they use as an extension of the running game and that would have attacked the bail technique used by WVU in their cover 3.  No designed QB runs other than the one draw play.  No keepers from zone read looks to make the defense play honest.

    Then on the last scoring drive of the half Texas starts to mix it up and just marches down the field.  We see outside zone and it's very effective when the DL slants because their momentum is already parallel to the LOS and you can just help them keep running themselves out of the play.  Suddenly the tight (inside) zone becomes effective also.  Herman calls a bootleg with pulling lineman protecting.  It doesn't work but gives the D something to think about.  Then after successfully diversifying the offense, Texas goes back into a play calling shell after halftime.

    • Like 2
  10. 23 minutes ago, Walden Ponderer said:

    I don't know jack about OU's relative strength or weakness compared to previous seasons, but I do know you play the run first, but you don't do it with "a heavy box". 5 guys are plenty.

    Will it work? Dunno. But I ain't skeert.

    OU's most dangerous running play is the Counter Trey.  It's slow developing by definition with a huge OT pulling all the way across the formation.  That's why ISU defended OU so much better than than they did vs Texas.  The 3 defenders coming up from depth in run support need time to get there.  Counter Trey gives them that time.  Tight zone and power/iso don't.  Texas can probably play base dime with the Joker coming downhill right into the pulling guard's inside hip.  See what he's kicking out for.  In the Army we used to call that reconnaissance by fire.

    • Like 2
  11. 10 hours ago, Burt Macklin said:

    Definitely going to have to play zone and not blitz 5 very often. We don’t keep any discipline in our rushing lanes when we blitz and Hurts will run all over us if we do. We need to play stout against the traditional run game and make Hurts go through multiple progressions in the pocket and rally to him when he runs. 

    Stunt or fire zone to create inside pressure and flush him.  He's got speed but not much quickness outside the pocket so good angles by the spy and secondary should usher him out for short gains when he scrambles.  Just can't let him break straight upfield or let him out with time to set his feet and throw.

  12. 2 hours ago, Loco said:

    LSU is going down bro...  Gata @ LSU 8pm in Death Valley (2)    Players don't cramp at night, it's just science!

    To beat LSU a team probably needs 3 out of 4 from: outstanding QB play, strong running game, great secondary and good pass rush while bringing 4.  Texas had 2 of those 4 and couldn't quite get it done.  AFAIK Florida has only one, the pass rush.

  13. 20 minutes ago, texasstrong12 said:

    Missouri actually has a pretty good DL. I hope I didn't trigger anyone with Jordan Elliott. 

    Missouri did bad things to WV's OL. They had 3 sacks and 12.5 TFL. That was when WV had their best OL (Sills) still playing too. 

    MU's DL looked pretty good against WVU but that may be an indicator of how bad the WV interior line is more than a positive comment on the quality of of MU's defensive front.  Brown's actions tell us he doesn't trust his line to hold up running the ball.  Mizzou's defense has feasted on 3 pretty weak teams: W Virginia, SE Missouri and S Carolina.  Wyoming made them look really bad.  Not only did the Cowboys put up 300 yards rushing - a figure you rarely see outside of the service academies these days.  They couldn't produce negative plays.  Wyoming gave up no sacks and only 2 TFLs in 58 offensive snaps.  Mizzou couldn't stop the run and couldn't disrupt drives. 

    • Like 1
  14. A few observations on WVU.  Cross posting here since this seems to be the game preview thread:

    ............................................

    With no Texas Football this weekend, I watched the last couple of WVU games.  Posting observations here in the interests of conserving thread count and because this isn't a full-fledged write up. 

    West Virginia is going to be severely outmanned on both sides of the LOS.  They did not trust the OL enough to run inside much against NC State or Kansas.  The vast majority of runs were outside the tackles - mostly stretch and jet sweep.  The little inside stuff they ran was either draws from a pass look and a few counter plays.  This is a big problem for the Mountaineers since the Texas DL will be the stoutest front they've seen and it's not close.  Kendall is only a moderate running threat and can't hurt a defense much if they account for him.  He's accurate in the short passing game but may not have a lot of time in the pocket unless they can establish a running threat.

    On defense, West Virginia has a similar problem.  They've had trouble stopping the run and gave up a lot of 5+ yard plays so a good running game should be able to grind them down.  They're are basically playing 4-3 personnel up front with a couple of 290 lb DTs, a 250 lb DE and 240 lb stand up hybrid.  Both LBs are 220-230 and their nickel is about 200.  WVU relies on quickness to offset lack of size but they are facing an OL that is very good at locating smaller defenders in space.

    I do like what Neal Brown is doing in coverage.  He is playing a lot of zone beind 3-4 men rushing.  He's got them dropping deep quickly, reading the QB and coming up aggressively to make the hit on the receivers.  It's a good strategy for the smaller, quicker guys he's likely to be able to recruit and it was very effective against NC State - producing 8 PBUs.  Much less so against Kansas and I think that was because KU had both a greater running threat and a QB capable of delivering the ball early instead of waiting until the receivers were clearly open, thus giving more time for the DBs to react.  With the mismatch on both sides of the line it shouldn't matter much to Texas this year.  It's definitely something to watch for the future as this looks like another scheme that can give pass-heavy teams fits once it matures.

    • Like 4
  15. With no Texas Football this weekend, I watched the last couple of WVU games.  Posting observations here in the interests of conserving thread count and because this isn't a full-fledged write up. 

    West Virginia is going to be severely outmanned on both sides of the LOS.  They did not trust the OL enough to run inside much against NC State or Kansas.  The vast majority of runs were outside the tackles - mostly stretch and jet sweep.  The little inside stuff they ran was either draws from a pass look and a few counter plays.  This is a big problem for the Mountaineers since the Texas DL will be the stoutest front they've seen and it's not close.  Kendall is only a moderate running threat and can't hurt a defense much if they account for him.  He's accurate in the short passing game but may not have a lot of time in the pocket unless they can establish a running threat.

    On defense, West Virginia has a similar problem.  They've had trouble stopping the run and gave up a lot of 5+ yard plays so a good running game should be able to grind them down.  They're are basically playing 4-3 personnel up front with a couple of 290 lb DTs, a 250 lb DE and 240 lb stand up hybrid.  Both LBs are 220-230 and their nickel is about 200.  WVU relies on quickness to offset lack of size but they are facing an OL that is very good at locating smaller defenders in space.

    I do like what Neal Brown is doing in coverage.  He is playing a lot of zone beind 3-4 men rushing.  He's got them dropping deep quickly, reading the QB and coming up aggressively to make the hit on the receivers.  It's a good strategy for the smaller, quicker guys he's likely to be able to recruit and it was very effective against NC State - producing 8 PBUs.  Much less so against Kansas and I think that was because KU had both a greater running threat and a QB capable of delivering the ball early instead of waiting until the receivers were clearly open, thus giving more time for the DBs to react.  With the mismatch on both sides of the line it shouldn't matter much to Texas this year.  It's definitely something to watch for the future as this looks like another scheme that can give pass-heavy teams fits once it matures.

    • Like 2
  16. 25 minutes ago, Farkimedes said:

    This is a very fair critique and I think I agree with you, rather than my initial statement. Mentally I default to the Big XII being "down" if there isn't a serious contest for the title game, as this year it really does feel like it's gonna be UT / OU and I'd be pretty surprised if someone else even made it a contest in mid-November. Add in the fact that are 3 teams that I would be shocked if they won a league game against anyone other than themselves, and it just feels like a weird season. 

    But that's just a naive assumption, and looking at the league top to bottom, there is a glut of teams that could realistically be ranked between 15 ~ 35 by November, to go along with 2 top 10 teams. That's a damn good conference, not matter how bad the bottom rung is. 

     

    20 minutes ago, texifornia said:

    And Kansas and WVU both have wins against the ACC!

    As @texifornia mentioned two of the weakest teams have pretty impressive P5 wins even if the opponents themselves weren't that great.  One of the weakest 3rd tier team beat up on the closest thing the SEC has to a middle class.  The only real OOC disappointment is the TCU loss to SMU and the ponies are looking very solid.

  17. 11 hours ago, NeverMarryAStripper said:

    I’m no psychologist, but I’m pretty sure that if you have PTSD that it’s not healthy to obsess over the source of your PTSD

    Enjoying the misery of others is some of the best therapy available.  I think the Germans even have a word for it.  Of course they also have made us crap like zeitgeist...

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