
sushihorn
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Recruiting - 2020
2019-2020 Football Season
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Posts posted by sushihorn
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34 minutes ago, TwiceHorn said:
We hit better in the last two sets than in weeks or even months.
Night and day. I don't recall the exact numbers but late in the 4th set, the LHN commentators said the hitting % was below .200 with Shook and .440-something with Gabriel in the game.
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When the head of the DNC, Tom Perez say "we always knew it was going to be close" is he part of a right-wing conspiracy? Do you think the SF Chronicle is shilling for Trump?
QuoteWith the midterm elections just days away, there’s little indication that California is seeing a “blue wave” of Democratic votes, at least in the early returns of vote-by-mail ballots — and in some key races that will help determine control of the House, Republican voter response has been strong.
Could it still happen? Yes. Is there any evidence that it is happening? Not really.
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20 minutes ago, TwiceHorn said:
Bizarre. Even the block came alive.
I almost buy the theory that the team just low-key hates her setting.
Good setting keeps the other team scrambling and out of system. A lot of those blocks are out of system sets by TCU or tight sets that trap the hitters against the block.
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1 hour ago, NameWithHeld said:
Tell me where I’m wrong?
TN/AZ/NV should hold
IN/MO/ND/MT and possibly NJ flip.
W.V. Mancin is in trouble too
MI is also possible and who knows maybe MN since Keith Ellison is free falling.
I’m not even counting FL
52 seems pretty easy. ND is just about a done deal. One of MO and IN probably goes as well but it's possible that either AZ or NV goes the other way.
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Jhenna put the ball right on point. And suddenly, TCU had trouble organizing. They were out of system and the block party started.
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46 minutes ago, Longhorn_Fan68 said:
the fact that the state is still pacing around 90% of the 2016 turnout is still impressive.
30.15% of all registered voters in the state of Texas have already voted early as of yesterday. That's way past the 19.11% turnout for the entire EV period in 2014. We won't get to 46% like 2016 but it's impressive as hell.
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8 minutes ago, Js1 said:
"My name is Longhorn_Fan68 and I Don't know how percentages work"
"Just be glad you didn't 'graduate' from Oklahoma State."
- Dexter Manley
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Texas SOS numbers are out for 10/30. Top level is that daily turnout continues to drop in both absolute terms and relative to 2016. Might be the partisan bases have already turned out their most energized voters. Mean turnout for the top 30 counties has been: 5.98%, 4.19, 3.61, 3.36, 3.57, 2.83, 1.29 (weekend), 2.85, 2.68. As a percentage of the same day turnout in 2016 the top 15 have been 97.90%, 94.02, 82.31, 82,00, 85.68, 91.30, 101.69 (weekend), 89.35, 83.18.
Winners in daily turnout have been the usual suspects Mon & Tue: Denton, Travis, Colin, Comal. Best turnout relative to 2016 for those 2 days: Dallas, Travis, Hidalgo(!), Tarrant, Bexar.
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Dallas Observer has an analysis of the EV population in Texas.
https://www.dallasobserver.com/news/texas-early-voting-data-deep-dive-11310956
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2 hours ago, G650 said:
Every time I read something like this, I think how amazing it is how many people dont get it. The manufacturing is the worthless bit, the IP and financial control are the real wealth on this planet. Anyone who doesn't want all low skilled manufacturing either offshored or done by robots is fucked in the head
US exports of goods are DOUBLE exports of services. California is focusing on the virtual world while their real world crumbles around them. The state is ranked 2nd worst in infrastructure (#49 out of 50) by the American Society of Civil Engineers in 2017. This it embarrassing for a state that once had a model road system. We've seen similar declines in the public schools of CA over the last 30-40 years. California is a state that is consuming its accumulated capital and failing to replace it.
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15 minutes ago, FondrenRoad said:
Especially when nearly the entire national economy is sitting in Dem hands.
This part is just wrong. Cali's economy is based on financial bubbles, inflation and the resulting speculation in real estate now. NY's is based on politically-enforced control over our financial system. There is a reason that Texas alone exports more than CA and NY COMBINED.
CA and NY produce a lot of paper and vapor. Foreign countries are not compelled to buy those because they lie outside the US political system. Texas produces real wealth, which other countries wish to purchase.. Top level, Cali has 9.9% of manufactured exports YTD. That is less than their share of the population. Same for non-manufactured at 9.8% of the US total. Texas OTOH exports 16.5% of all US manufactured goods - nearly double our share of the population. Texas exports well over a quarter of all non-manufactured goods, which is more like triple what our population would indicate.
https://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/Press-Release/2018pr/08/exh2s.pdf
Even in areas that CA prides itself on, like electronics and communications equipment, Texas produces and exports more than they do. California looks rich but that per capita GDP advantage is largely illusory because the cost of living is so ridiculous due to the inflationary factors I referred to earlier. Also the tax burden is so high that the avg CA household has considerably less disposable income than Texas families. To top it off, the wealth inequality in California is just about the worst in the country.
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1 minute ago, berlinerbaer said:
It's a purple state with a few competitive House districts, a Democratic governor, and an out-of-control Republican dominated state legislature. The Ds want blood but will be met with a strong R turnout.
I've seen indications that Cali politics is about to turn into internecine warfare between Democrats in Northern and Southern California. Take a look at some of the LA area media's resentment of the Bay Area domination of elected offices. Just goes to show that human beings will always be able to find differences to fight over.
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21 minutes ago, Gil Bang said:
CA early voting isn’t really a thing. For example, there are only 10 early voting locations for all of Los Angeles County. Pomona to Pacific Palisades. Torrance to Tijunga. Big fucking County with 10 places.
All of O.C. has 8 locations. That’s Buena Park to San Clemente. 8.
San Bernardino County is only THE LARGEST FUCKING COUNTY in the entire country. They have 6.
Ontario to Arizona. 6.
OK. But is EV less of a thing now in CA than it was 4 years ago? Their EV ballots are mostly mail-in anyway.
1.62 million of those ballots have been returned out of over 11 million that were requested from 19 million registered voters. I think we can all see a problem here. They've had almost a month to complete the process at this point.
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10 minutes ago, berlinerbaer said:
The senate and gubernatorial races in CA are in the bag for the Dems. Unless they live in one of the swingy congressional districts, there aren't any reason for the non-partisans to show up.
All true. But look at NC. There isn't even a senate or governor's race to not be interested in. And they are already above 2014 EV turnout with a week to go.
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19 minutes ago, gmr548 said:
That is the trend not just here, but nationally. Nearly Presidential election turnout.
Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk
Maybe 1/3 to half of the nation, including TX, FL and GA are within 20-25% of 2016. Another group is well above 2014 but still far short of 2016. States like OH, MT, WV,.. But there are a surprising number of laggards that are little if any higher than 2014. IA and CO but most notably CA - which is surprising since they have both a senate and governor's race at the top of the ticket.
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30 minutes ago, Message Board User said:
Tennessee early voting numbers.
Comparing to 2014 isn't really helpful. We all know the GOP wont get 250 House seats this year. That's where a 2016 comp is more useful.
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16 minutes ago, bolverk said:
Hey! Some of us watch for the plotlines and character development.
Is that what they call
a boob jobbreast enhancement these days?-
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1 minute ago, Voldemort86 said:
I don’t know much about it as well, but I’d say she’s underperformed because she’s black ( this is Utah people), she’s not Mormon ( I think?), and this district has utah’s Major city ( SLC).
The reason this race is close is because her opponent is white, Mormon, and the mayor of SLC.
Race matters a lot in red states. Hate to say.
Mormons have special (as in short bus) issues. They taught that black skin was the Mark of Cain until a sudden "revelation" in 1978. The cultural attitudes persisted well past that date too.
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1 minute ago, Bruh Man said:
Yeah you are probably right.
It's crazy after all of this, 2 out of 5 registered voters will sit out. What is wrong with these people????
Somebody pointed out that Motor Voter was implemented in 1995. You can register people automatically but that doesn't make them any more likely to vote than before. It does make turnout (measured as a % of RVs) look worse.
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14 minutes ago, Bruh Man said:
This is the pace we're on for the early vote. If we sustain this trajectory then approx 6.2M votes will have been casted before election day. Add the election day vote, I believe 8.5M at the minimum is very doable.
Don't think we can draw conclusions from Sunday but we did see some signs of exhaustion on Saturday. Some counties that had shown very high turnout during week 1 fell below the daily mean (2.83%) for the top 30 counties. Travis came in at 2.82%, El Paso 1.52, Williamson 2.60 and Lubbock 1.93. We'll see if the partisan bases can sustain this pace through next week. I'm beginning to doubt it.
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3 minutes ago, RDCanecutter said:
On this forum, at least half the posts appear to be the writer's own thoughts, so, agree or disagree, it's better than the FWD>FWD>FWD of FB.
Just so long as nobody on Surly starts doing threads of "I am interested in seeing who really reads my posts. If you do, reply with one word that explains why I am a tedious bitchass for doing this same schtick as every other weepy goob on Facebook."
muledick
(am I doing this right?)
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22 minutes ago, Hugo Stiglitz said:
Everything not required is strictly forbidden.
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3 minutes ago, babysdaddy said:
52 week low on the stock today and down where it was in April 2017.
You mean April of 2018, right? The S&P was around 2350 in April 2017.
The Fed tanked the S&P on 10/3. We're very oversold now and also got a good volume washout over the last 2 days - comparable to the late January lows. I'm expecting a rally to begin soon. Might reach new record highs after the holidays.
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5 minutes ago, Bateshorn said:
The National Voter Registration Act (aka Moter Voter) kicked in on January 1, 1995. States are required to offer voter registration with a license request or renewal.
Thanks. That makes a lot of sense. It got a lot more people registered but hardly changed actual voting behavior at all. Turnout as measured by eligible voters (2/3 of the population) didn't change much.
Early Voting 2018 thread of doom
in Cloak Room
Posted
That's true. It's also true that it's the best predictive data we have until the votes are actually counted.