
someguy
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Posts posted by someguy
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1 hour ago, closetojumping said:The Texas offense of 2024 produced 357 receptions across 16 games for 4,460 yards and 40 TDs. 12.5 YPC is middling (45th) and 279 YPG is solid (14th).
Here are the individual receiving stats from last year (Receptions/Yards/YPR/TDs):
1) Gunnar Helm - 60/786/13.1/7
2) Matthew Golden - 58/987/17.0/9
3) Tre Wisner - 44/311/7.1/1
4) Jaydon Blue - 42/368/8.8/6
5) DeAndre Moore - 39/456/11.7/7
6) Isaiah Bond - 34/540/15.9/5
7) Ryan Wingo - 29/472/16.3/2
8 ) Silas Bolden - 23/267/11.3/1
9) Juan Davis - 9/54/6.0/0
10) Johntay Cook - 8/137/17.1/2
11) Amari Niblack - 5/33/6.6/0
12) Jerrick Gibson - 3/25/8.3/0
13) Ryan Niblett - 3/24/8.0/0
Bold is returning. 118 catches/1,288 yards/10.9/10.
We know Sarkisian loves to throw to backs and TEs as part of the passing game. We know that last year wasn't the best showing for a receiving corps under Sarkisian. We know that many here believe that the passing game this year, with Manning at the helm, will be more productive than last season.
So, put some numbers to it. All of the shittalkers about Jaggy McJaggerson having a big year can now let the rest of us know what they really believe. I've listed the eligible WRs, TEs, and TBs on the roster for 2025 below, with my thoughts on production.
QB - I'm betting on 17 games, 5,200 yards and 45 TDs for the QB room. That's all divvied up below.
WR:
-DeAndre Moore - 48/570/11.9/5
-Ryan Wingo - 60/1,200/20.0/11
-Emmett Mosley - 40/550/13.8/6
-Jaggy McJaggerson - 9/145/16.1/1
-Kaliq Lockett - 24/460/19.2/4
-Daylan McCutcheon - 14/210/15.0/1
-Jamie Ffrench - 20/350/17.5/4
-Michael Terry - 0/0/0/0
-Aaron Butler - 0/0/0/0
-Ryan Niblett - 0/0/0/0
215/3,485/6.2/32
TE:
-Jack Endries - 50/600/12.0/6
-Jordan Washington - 14/195/13.9/1
-Spencer Shannon - 0/0/0/0
-Will Randle - 0/0/0/0
-Emaree Winston - 5/55/11.0/0
-Nick Townsend - 8/120/15.0/1
77/970/12.6/8
RB:
-Tre Wisner - 37/333/9.0//2
-Cedric Baxter - 20/240/12.0/2
-Jerrick Gibson - 13/91/7.0/0
-Christian Clark - 9/81/9.0/1
-James Simon - 0/0/0/0
-Rickey Stewart - 0/0/0/0
79/745/9.4/5
I see a big year for Wingo and diminishing snaps as the seasons wears on for Moore due to drops and the freshmen gaining traction. RBs are going to be occasionally banged up, so plenty of touches for the top 4. Maybe the freshmen TEs also show flashes while the Endries fella is a very good. I expect almost nothing from Terry as a freshman, and Butler will remain in the doghouse while Niblett continues to have one foot out the door.
Anyone else want to take a shot at the numbers or offer their thoughts?
Great post. I'm not going to go player by player and offer a projection, but using your projections as a baseline, I'll offer a few thoughts.
- I like the yards and TD's for Wingo, but I think he'll average more than 4 catches a game. Put me down for 80ish. Wingo is gonna be lethal on downfield crossing patterns.
- I think more highly of Moore. He does have a tendency to get banged up and did have drop issues last year. He's also one of the best culture guys, works inside and outside, doesn't take plays off, and has good rapport with Arch. I think he and Wingo complement each other well and will have less of a gap between their numbers.
- I'm a believer in Livingstone. I think he and Mosely will actually be fairly close in numbers by the end of the season. This takes into consideration Trey Owens getting backup reps, as I think Owens will find Livingstone.
- I like McCutcheon most of the freshmen. His all around game will get him on the field more. I like Ffrench, and I'd fade Lockett in your projections.
- I don't have many thoughts about TE. Endries will be awesome. The freshmen are freshmen. Hopefully Washington is a quality 2nd TE.
- I'm fading the RB numbers as a whole. I know Sark likes using them, and I expect them to continue to be part of the offense. I also think Ewers reflexively dumped the ball to RB's, to the detriment of the offense. Arch is more downfield oriented and Sark will adjust the offense accordingly. This will, of course, open up space for RB passes and Sark will scheme them up. But in the aggregate, I expect RB numbers to go down. There is no Keilan Robinson or Jaydon Blue type high end speed receiving back this year.
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The first page of this thread isn't aging well.
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Vance Luther Boelter - appointed by Waltz to the Governor's Workforce Development Board.
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flip from Miss St.
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It was hilarious how they had to edit the finale to try to have even a pretense of drama. Tristan just dominated the season in a Paul Qui-esque way, and crushed the finale. Definitely a first ballot Top Chef hall of famer. The others were very good, but Tristan was just next level.
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4 hours ago, Scholz said:
Stopping a fake punt would also rock.
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early returns on Miller are very strong. I'm excited to see where we will be in 2-3 years.
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for the credibility of the sport this simply can't be obstruction.
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10 hours ago, Xminus6 said:
I want to bring my family (and my younger daughter who played her first year of club) to a combo FB and VB weekend. I know Moody would be a unique experience but I’m wondering if Gregory might be worth it for more of the regular home scene. We have been to a couple of the Stanford games here at PA but I’d love to do a combo weekend.
I need her to get hyped on Texas volleyball because right now her favorite player is *gasp* Harper Murray despite me telling her the awesomeness of Maddie Skinner. She asked to watch a Nebraska game on YouTube the other day and you can guess which game I chose to play. Haha.
This is championship level parenting.
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4 minutes ago, avidhornslurker said:
Our lineup should also improve tomorrow as it's now obvious that Cimusz should be in the lineup.
I agree. The fact that it is obvious should comfort to me. Somehow I do not feel it is obvious to the one person who matters.
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2 minutes ago, mrhorn said:
Eh, I feel like White was coaching like he had house money. I don’t agree with it, but he must feel confident with our chances with a semi rested Kavan vs a hopefully tired Canady. We hit her better today, but need that dog mentality all game tomorrow. Felt the team let up with these BS coaching moves.
you can never feel confident when the other team has the better pitcher. Kavan is wonderful, but Canady is a clear tier above her. We have the much better lineup, but you simply cannot manage Game 2 from the vantage point of feeling confident of your chances in Game 3. Too much variance can happen in any game. You play each game to win. White treated this game like a midweek directional school game.
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Cimunz needs to be the DP tomorrow. @Js1 is leading the charge, and I have my pitchfork right behind him.
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Cimunz battled well there
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Grady Little is like "whoa Mike, not sure about your pitching decisions there".
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White is just trolling us all at this point. Utterly incoherent. Why not let her start the inning if you are willing to bring her in this game?
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2 minutes ago, Hermanator said:
It doesn't increase your odds if she loses game 2 and she's gassed for game 3.
The Texas hitters are only seeing this one pitcher for 3 straight games. You have to find a way to time her and jump on her pitches in that scenario, no matter how talented she is. Especially when she's gassed in game 3.
You should watch more softball. It is very different from baseball.
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3 minutes ago, dcar00 said:
He's managing it like Kavan can't go 2.5 games in 3 days. She can't be that fragile.
that is what is so infuriating - the other freaking team is just throwing the same girl every pitch, every inning. You already stole some innings off Kavan's workload. Found money, the strategy worked! Put Salmon on a super short leash and then close the door with Kavan if there are any base runners.
YOU SURE AS HELL DO NOT LET YOUR FRESHMAN THROW BASES LOADED AND THEN PULL A SHIFT MEANING YOUR PITCHER LOSES HALF THE PLATE. For crying out loud, you make it so your true freshman can't miss outside and can't miss inside and can't miss down the middle.
I'm as pissed about this as I was about that garbage obstruction call.
You could have asked someone to make the absolute worst possible decision in that moment and been hard pressed to equal White there.
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I am absolutely speechless - like, what is the possible justification for leaving Salmon in like that? Someone wake White up.
Indefensible move. Absolutely indefensible. He is managing this game like he is up 3-0 in a 7 game series.
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For what it is worth, the Lauren Burke experience led to a locker room implosion. I’m not going to opine as to what, if any, impact that should have in the future and White’s role in needing to manage that. I’m only saying that there are very real factors affecting real team dynamics when it comes to players getting NIL in large part due to looks. To be sure, Pickens is a better player than Burke. You can say the players need to accept the way the world works blah blah blah, but petty jealousies exist and need to be balanced and taken into account.
A moot point (unless Kavan unexpectedly goes elsewhere), but something to consider.
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5 minutes ago, ATXbronco said:
When they mentioned that, I immediately wondered if ACL therapy might have been how she and CJ Baxter became an item.
nope
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1 hour ago, Gut Wagon said:
Absolutely. Mia will go down as one of the best and toughest ever to take the field at McCombs. She's saved us so many times, whether with her bat, her glove or her legs. To think she's doing all this with a torn ACL is stunning. Maybe she'll change her mind and play some pro ball, but even if not, she's an undisputed Longhorn legend.
https://www.si.com/onsi/softball/injuries/texas-softball-mia-scott-reportedly-playing-with-torn-acl
journalism is funny - there's no actual information. Indirect statements from the broadcast booth, Coach White plainly saying he isn't talking specifics, Mia herself not giving interviews - yet speculation as to when it happened and that it is stopping her from playing in the future.
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Gary Sanchez did the intentional walk hit thing almost 10 years ago (ended up being a warning track sacrifice fly).
I figured @Helobious would be all over that.
https://www.mlb.com/video/sanchez-refuses-intentional-walk-c1155475783
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6 hours ago, Js1 said:
San Jose FB/Stanford VB weekend
UTEP FB/ASU VB weekend
Baylor VB/SHSU FB weekend
Vandy FB/Kentucky VB weekend
Football will spend all of October away from home so not too many opportunities to double dipThe Stanford VB match will be at the Moody Center - should be a fun scene.
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gutless
Texas Passing Game 2025 - Personnel & Production - Jaggy McJaggerson FTW?
in Football
Posted
I'm not going to claim that Wisner is an elite back. I do not believe he is. But you are too harsh in your assessment of him, and focusing on the last 4 games of the season is foolish. Say what you want about the guy, but he answered the bell when he needed to. He also kept his mouth shut, didn't complain, didn't make excuses, and did everything his body would let him do. At the time Blue had a hurt ankle and Gibson apparently insisted on greasing the football between the snap and the handoff. Wisner didn't have the luxury of healing because the team needed his steady, albeit diminished, presence. To use those games as a measuring stick of his ability is absolutely ridiculous if your goal is an honest assessment.
This team's ceiling is with a healthy Baxter. Heck, Gibson or Clark may even prove to be a more dynamic runner as a backup this year. But there is no need to minimize Wisner's abilities or contributions to last year's team.