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tucker

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Posts posted by tucker

  1. 48 minutes ago, MissingInAction said:

    If you are having trouble giving your dog meds , I discovered by accident that putting it into wet food then into the fridge that the cold kills the smell and taste like it does cheap beer. Luna scarfed that shit up when I took it out of the fridge. 

    Cherry tomatoes. I squeeze an opening and stuff the pill into it. My dog loves it and doesn't even realize there is a pill in it.

  2. It is only going to get worse.

    Quote

    The Austin area’s population climbed by an average of 55,500 people a year, or 152 per day, from 2010 to 2017, according to a new analysis by the Greater Austin Chamber of Commerce.

    The Austin-area population forecast from Ryan Robinson, the City of Austin’s demographer, aligns with the Marcus & Millichap projection. Robinson predicts the area’s population will rise 2.75 percent in 2019 compared with 2018, versus Marcus & Millichap’s forecast of 2.6 percent. Robinson estimates the population of the five-county area stood at 2,215,727 on January 1, 2019.

    If Robinson’s population outlook holds true, the Austin area will tack on nearly 61,000 residents in 2019. That’s a little less than the number of people who live in San Marcos (around 63,000).

    “With the pace of overall job creation remaining near 3.5 percent in Austin, anyone would be hard-pressed to predict much of a slowdown,” Robinson says of the area’s population growth. “And anecdotally, the number and magnitude of recent office space leasing agreements with big national corporate names just blows me away. I would have never imagined that our current boom would be refueling at this point. [Get] ready for another couple of crazy years.”

    http://austin.culturemap.com/news/city-life/02-26-19-austin-area-population-in-2019-growth-rate-reports-demographer/

  3. Somewhat serious response.

    The persecution complex of Christians and White males in US society is fascinating.  As a group, it highlights their complete lack of awareness and introspection. As the majority, these groups could act with such privilege that any information/movie/show/discussion that calls attention to this fact causes basically a brain hemorrhage. The result is these groups invent a vast conspiracy narrative instead of dealing with the internal dissonance in their collective consciousness. 

    • Like 2
  4. 12 minutes ago, PilotsError said:

     

    I don't believe a word of this.

    Listen to construction firms earning calls that have major TX projects. Some of the information is publicly available if you know where to look.

    Major construction firms are already a low margin business (5% - 8%) if they are lucky. Many have had challenged projects (Texas) which has resulted in making them lose money.

  5. Ironically, it is one of the least egregious actions he has done. Also, no one should be surprised given comments prior to the election?

     

    Quote

    Former campaign staffer alleges in lawsuit that Trump kissed her without her consent. The White House denies the charge.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/investigations/former-campaign-staffer-alleges-in-lawsuit-that-trump-kissed-her-without-her-consent-the-white-house-denies-the-charge/2019/02/25/fe1869a4-3498-11e9-946a-115a5932c45b_story.html

  6. 1 minute ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

    I hear you, and yes some people would misuse the money and cause pain for their family.  However I don't think that it's the responsibility of every govt program to ensure people are living correctly and not causing that pain.  There are other law enforcement agencies that come into play to prevent abuse.   One of the most inefficient uses of govt is when multiple agencies start performing the exact same job.   

    If we give the drug addict money, and their child is starving, then the police or other local social services should step in.  It's doubtful that the UBI income made the bad parent start abusing the child.  The abuse was already there.

    Reminds me when welfare agencies want to drug test every recipient to ensure we stop funding the drug addicts even if the enforcement of that policy ends up costing more than then the actual savings of removal of the welfare funds.  Let the local law enforcement step in if someone is breaking the law in terms of using illegal drugs.

    Agree. I do believe UBI would be a more efficient use of funds but wouldn't go as extreme of eliminating all programs. It would be selective on which would not be included in UBI. 

  7. On 1/13/2019 at 9:40 AM, gmr548 said:


    It's not incompetence. It's the plan. Construction firms are just vehicles to take government kickbacks.

    Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk
     

    Many construction firms have lost significant money working on Texas road projects. While the projects are a disaster, the are even worse financially for the construction firms. Ironically, Texas residents have been receiving unbid projects and the losses have been born by the construction firms not its tax payers.  

  8. On 2/22/2019 at 1:15 PM, Nice Guy Eddie said:

    You also save a ridiculous amount of admin costs by just giving it to everyone.

    If you basically deleted the entire welfare system and replaced it with a check for that amount to everyone, how many millions or billions do you save in admin costs. 

     

    Responding directly to this proposal. A lot of government programs are to prevent people from making dumb decisions. Let's take food stamps. Who knows how many people would be responsible if given the money instead of food stamps but the number will definitely be greater than 0%. I look at programs like food stamps as not just for the direct receipts but also their families. If the drug addict parent received money, the kids may not eat. We have to balance efficiencies with the potential resulting social cost.  

  9. 1 hour ago, Parliament said:

    A major problem with "tax and spend" is government is so inefficient at distributing the revenue. So much money just gets "lost."

    You are talking about the current administration, right? The amount of graft and waste from the Republican party is mind boggling. 

  10. Foxconn deal - The Amazon deal for NYC was the same strategy. 

    Quote

    The size of Wisconsin’s subsidy quickly began to grow, as spelled out in state legislation passed about six weeks later and implemented by the Walker administration. By December 2017, the public cost had grown to include $764 million in new tax incentives from local governments in Racine County, which is just 40 minutes south of Milwaukee where the plant was to be located. Other additions included $164 million for road and highway connections built to service the plant, plus $140 million for a new electric transmission line to Foxconn that would be paid for by all 5 million ratepayers of the public utility We Energies. With other small costs added, the total Foxconn subsidy hit $4.1 billion — a stunning $1,774 per household in Wisconsin.

    THE TOTAL FOXCONN SUBSIDY HIT $4.1 BILLION, A STUNNING $1,774 PER HOUSEHOLD IN WISCONSIN


    Back when the subsidy was $3 billion, Wisconsin’s non-partisan Legislative Fiscal Bureau estimated that it would take until 2043 for taxpayers to recoup the subsidy. This long payback period was due to Walker and Republicans effectively cutting the state’s corporate income tax for manufacturers to zero in 2011. This meant the subsidies to Foxconn would not be a tax write-off, but billions in cash that would be paid back by state income taxes paid by Foxconn workers. At $4.1 billion, the payback date for the state was likely 2050 or later.

    Some doubt the subsidy will ever actually be recouped. “Realistically, the payback period for a $100,000 per job deal is not 20 years, not 42 years, but somewhere between hundreds of years and never,” wrote Jeffrey Dorfman, an economics professor at the University of Georgia, in a story for Forbes. “At $230,000 [or more] per job, there is no hope of recapturing the state funds spent.” And this was before the subsidy had risen to $4.1 billion, or about $315,000 per job.

    https://www.theverge.com/2018/10/29/18027032/foxconn-wisconsin-plant-jobs-deal-subsidy-governor-scott-walker

  11. 2 minutes ago, tjhooker said:

    That is absolutely wrong.

    Cuomo's office said when the HQ2 project was announced in November that it would bring in $27.5 billion in new tax revenue over 25 years, largely based on an economic-impact studycommissioned by the governor (another was commissioned by the city but not released). Of that amount, $14 billion would go to the state, and $13.5 billion would go to New York City.

    Given that figure, Cuomo said the Amazon investment would bring in $9 in tax revenue for every $1 of revenue forgone because of the incentives.

     

    https://www.businessinsider.com/amazon-hq2-leaving-new-york-city-would-mean-tax-revenue-loss-2019-2

    Over 25 years, I can make any math work in my favor. 

  12. Instead of derailing the AOC thread.

    In addition to the Foxconn disaster, another example of why cities / states should not be providing corporate subsidies. 

    Quote

    A few weeks before Amazon.com Inc. reversed its plan to establish a major presence in New York — a plan that would have brought at least 25,000 jobs to the city — the Swedish appliance maker, Electrolux AB, announced that it would be shuttering its Memphis, Tennessee, plant. Unlike the reaction among progressives to the Amazon news, no one in Memphis was cheering the departure of Electrolux and its 530 jobs.

    The news wasn’t entirely a surprise. Employment at the plant had been gradually falling. The Electrolux chief executive, Jonas Samuelson, had acknowledged in earnings calls that business in North America was slowing. The U.S.-imposed tariffs weren’t helping matters, he said.

    But the death knell for the Memphis plant came in October, when Sears filed for bankruptcy. One out of every 10 appliances Electrolux sells in North America is sold via Sears; the bankruptcy made the Memphis plant suddenly superfluous.

    City and county officials understood this reality. They were grateful that Electrolux was giving the city two years’ notice; the plant closure wouldn’t take place until 2020. And they were pleased that Electrolux had agreed to begin paying property tax that had been previously waived.

    But that doesn’t mean they weren’t upset. “It’s fair to say that the community and the city and the county are really disappointed and angry about what happened,” said Reid Dulberger, the chief executive of the Economic Development Growth Engine for Memphis and Shelby County. Tennessee had staked a lot on bringing Electrolux to Memphis; the business realities notwithstanding, they couldn’t help but feel abandoned.

    They were angry at Electrolux, yes, but they were also angry at themselves, or more precisely at their predecessors. The city and state had cut the deal to lure Electrolux in 2010. It was, they now acknowledged, probably the worst such deal in Tennessee history.

    The Memphis economy was in bad shape in 2010. The unemployment rate that January was close to 12 percent. Foreclosures were sky high. The Great Recession had not yet begun to abate.

    So when Electrolux — which already had a facility about 200 miles away in Springfield, Tennessee — came calling, promising 1,240 jobs if the government would help it build a plant, the city and state thought that it was an opportunity they could not let slip away. Their desperation led them to give away the store. Of the $190 million it was going to cost to get the plant up and running, various government entities agreed to pay $150 million. In cash! The state was in for $97 million, $55.3 million of which dedicated to the purchase of factory equipment. Shelby County’s share was $20 million, and the city of Memphis put in another $20 million, mostly for infrastructure. Electrolux would also get all the usual subsidies — payment in lieu of taxes, property tax relief and so on. Electrolux’s contribution to its own facility amounted to a mere $40 million.

    “This was a struggling community,” said Dulberger. “They thought landing Electrolux was a grand slam.” In one presentation, Electrolux rolled out plans that called for the creation of a “supplier park,” with Electrolux-linked companies setting up shop in Memphis. Those plans, however, never came to fruition.

    The plant opened for business in 2014, but from the start, it never employed the 1,240 it had promised. Employee headcount topped out at a little over 1,100, though for most of time, it was well below 1,000. In other words, having received an extraordinarily generous package from Tennessee — a package based on 1,240 jobs coming to Memphis — Electrolux wasn’t holding up its end of the bargain. Yet there was nothing the city, county or state could do about it. The memorandum of understanding with Electrolux had no protection for the taxpayer in the event the company fell short of its promises.

    Now that Electrolux is pulling out, the deal looks even worse. When it leaves in 2020, the company will have operated in Memphis for just six years. The incentives it got, starting with that $150 million, were “way out of whack” for the jobs it created, said Bob Rolfe, the head of the Tennessee Department of Economic and Community Development. And there is no way to get any of that back from the company. The deal “was excessive and unrecoupable,” Rolfe added. In two years, all Memphis will have to show for the money it spent on Electrolux is an empty plant.

    When I mentioned to Rolfe the idea — much favored by academics and journalists — that perhaps communities should stop offering subsidies to lure (or keep) companies, he laughed. “That would be unilateral disarmament,” he said. Maybe New York can afford to turn its back on subsidies — as Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has suggested — but if you’re Memphis, and you’re competing with Jacksonville, Florida, and Charleston, South Carolina, and a half-dozen other cities for a plant and the jobs it will bring, subsidies are an important weapon in your arsenal.

    There is some good news, however. In Tennessee, and many other states, economic development officials have gotten much better at cutting deals that give some protection to the taxpayer. Tennessee officials now include “accountability agreements” as part of any package they put together for a company. It gives governments the ability to claw back money in the event the company fails to deliver on its promises. “If you promise to create 100 jobs, and you only create 33, you would have to reimburse us for two-thirds of the money,” Rolfe said. If such a clause had been included in the Electrolux deal, he told me, “the state would have recouped $38.8 million.”

    It’s foolish to think that subsidies for corporations are going to go away. It doesn’t even matter that most companies, from Amazon to Electrolux, don’t really need the subsidies. Executives who are looking to expand will always pit one city against another to get the best deal possible.

    The best taxpayers can hope for is not that their city will refuse to offer subsidies — and lose the jobs a company could have brought — but that it will offer deals that make sense given the benefits the city expects to receive. And that will allow the city to recoup some of that subsidy if the company underperforms. For all the furor about subsidies, the good news is that cities and states are getting smarter about it.

    https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-02-22/electrolux-in-memphis-offers-lesson-about-government-subsidies

  13. 6 minutes ago, tjhooker said:

    Amazon was taking away no revenue from the city or state.  It was going to be positive in the billions in collected tax revenue.

    But they wouldn't have collected almost any tax dollars from Amazon which was the issue. Additionally, the terms allowed AMZN to change the agreement at will anytime. It was a bad deal. Cities like NYC do not need to give incentives to companies. Foxconn is the perfect example of what happens when politicians provide tax give aways to companies.  

    • Like 3
  14. 7 minutes ago, ChickenSandwich said:

    an opposing point of view = losing their minds.  So afraid the echo chamber may move more towards the middle and away from the radical

    what a sad lot

    If you actually read, the author addresses that exact concern.

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