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Posts posted by Ghost of LL
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21 minutes ago, Vegas64 said:
Isn't this the screaming red flag of a capital K, K-shaped economy?
If that GDP number is right, then yes. And it would probably indicate that we're on the eve of a revolution.
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1 hour ago, David Dennison said:
If that were true, then we'd have a real fucking problem with this economy. You'd be telling me that at a time when the economy grew by nearly 5%, it didn't create a single new job and payrolls remained flat. You'd be telling me that pretty much every dime of that increased economic activity went to . . . not anybody with a job or looking for one.
IF that were true, then you'd have a real structural problem on your hands.
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9 hours ago, Gil Bang said:
They still have the plague. THE PLAGUE JERRY!
Eh--man up and slap some penicillin on it.
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51 minutes ago, kevwun said:Sure is naming a lot of stuff after himself. I hope it's because he's worried about how much longer he's going to to curse us with his presence.
People need to stop saying that. We should all hope to the very core of our beings that Trump lives out his term for exactly one reason: 2028.
A mentally declining Donald Trump will be little more than his malignant narcissism. People may explain to him why he can't have a third term and that he has to smooth the transition to a new Republican standard-bearer, . . . but this is Donald Trump we're talking about. The notion that the Republican Party--much less the United States--could move on without him is more than he can possibly bear. There is simply no way he can gracefully hand over the Party and his support to someone else.
So starting in 2027, and in ways small and large, he will undermine and diminish whoever is leading the Repubican primary--essentially trying to position himself as the only only possible nominee. If it comes down to a contest between Cruz and Vance, for instance, he will switch his supposed support at least a dozen times. Someone will come into the Convention with enough delegates to secure the nomination, but it probably won't happen until late. And even then, it will be after a bitter primary contest.
And even after someone gets the nomination, Trump will subtly (and not so subtly) undermine the nominee. Until somewhere around October 10 he'll drop the idea that people ought to write him in. And a bunch of his idiot supporters will. It won't be a huge number. But it will be enough to make a material difference in anything approaching a swing state.
And ultimately, that's what Trump wants. He wants to be the last Republican president. Because the notion that the party can exist without him is noxious to his ego.
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2 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:
SCOTUS will save us, unless those projects are owned by friends of Trump in which case the gvt will voluntarily pay without court action.
Nah--this won't get to SCOTUS anytime soon. By the time it gets to the, it'll be the Newsom Administration's problem.
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And I'm going to tell you--the measure of the compensation due is really interesting for those of us who do this kind of work. The government is aboslutely going to argue that the loss is just the value of the lease, which is to say the lease payments that the lessor doesn't have to make.
The problem with that is that the government is depriving businesses of the entire value of the business. And there is a (somewhat obscure) line of cases starting with Kimball Laundry, which holds that when a taking results in the elimination of a going concern, the just compensation is the going-concern value of the business. When we're talking about a wind farm, that's going to be in the billions.
So congratulations, Mr. and Mrs. Taxpayer--the Trump Administration not only deprived you of a bunch of government revenue, but is going to cost the government billions in takings liability.
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12 minutes ago, Hank Kingsley said:
What are the other options? Staying the course which ends up validating and normalizing this stuff?
The potential cancellation of 60 Minutes and downfall of CBS News is gonna set off more alarms than a continued Trumpified version of it.
I agree. When the enemy has boarded the ship and you have no hope of retaining control, you scuttle her.
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1 hour ago, bolverk said:
Not a lawyer, but it does seem to amount to a "taking."
I am. And I happen to be a lawyer who does a lot of takings work.
And it is a taking.
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Aggy roller coaster was late in arriving, but boy did it.
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But but but but—I thought Kyle Field was an impenetrable home field advantage. Was I misled?
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Jesus, finally.
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This is the worst football game I have ever seen, and I can’t forgive the committee for doing this to us.
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1 minute ago, lemonandaturd said:
I did not realize what a lard ass Elko really is until this interview. That dude is on the Mangino plan.
I also just realized how focused he is on Texas.
He’s so perfect for aggy.
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12 minutes ago, bolverk said:
Just watched that again earlier this week for the first time since the 1980s, after Reiner's passing. I was 22 when that Belgium story occurred, so just add 10 years to that quote. But it would also apply to when I was 12. In fact, my best friend at that time was of Flemish heritage, and we had the same kind of adventures with the same types of bullies and older brothers messing with us in the neighborhood. We never found a dead human body, though.
You need to watch your wife, because this story sounds eerily similar to the one you told about meeting that lady in New England not too long ago.
I think the implication is that he very much wants to watch his wife.
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1 minute ago, Bozo_Casanova said:
Gen X is not millenials. Both of you guys should read and not skim - the essay is not about Gen X or Gen Z - it's about what happened to millenial males over the course of a very specific decade.
And I would also say to both of you - you're lawyers and in one of the most gatekept professions there is, and one which exercises more aggressive cultural hygiene and self-protection than any other, with the possible exception of police.
In other words, you're part of the power structure. Of course things are mainly the same.
The essay is about GenX from the standpoint that it's writing about how GenX white males didn't pay any price in connection with the implementation of DEI hiring policies. The people who are in power among GenX are disproportionately white males. And we didn't throw ourselves out of power.
That's a bit part of the thesis of the essay, and it's a part with which I strongly agree.
I'm not even disagreeing with the author's observations about the impact on his cohort of Millenial white males. I'm just saying I don't care.
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7 minutes ago, 956 Worldwide said:
I honestly think I’d have a hard time finding a better explanation for why Trump has appeal to a new group of voters than this:
“We (white men with power) benefited from an unfair system but we can balance the books in a way that protects us and further handicaps white people who didn’t have much power or an advantage to begin with.”
“I love the poorly educated” indeed.
Good--then I've expressed myself clearly.
We have managed to carry out some significant societal changes. I think a lot more societal changes are needed. And I don't think we've carried out the changes that have been made with just a whole lot of grace or foresight.
But we're fucking GenX, man. What do you expect from us?
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3 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:
At ACL this year, my wife and I ended up befriending and hanging out with a couple about our age. They were French, but lived right on the border in Luxembourg. She was super cute, and she and my wife were very much vibing together, and talking about what to do after the music shut down, and where they were staying. And, I mean, cute little blonde french gal with a great accent. Come on.
Was there a chance to go back to the hotel with a cute French/Luxembourgish couple and set up a story that I would only tell people in person, never post in writing? I choose to believe that there was, we were all just too tired to make it happen when everything wrapped up. That's what I'm going with, because that narrative makes me happy. Don't take that away from me.
My take-away from this is that Brisket is just too lazy to be a swinger, and I just think that's about (1) the saddest, but also (2) most Mexican thing he's ever written on this board.
And he writes a lot of (1) sad and (2) Mexican things on this board.
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44 minutes ago, 956 Worldwide said:
From my personal experience, the impact did fall mainly on millennial men at the beginning or early middle of their careers. The mandates and decisions were frequently passed down by established white men in leadership.
As a GenX man, I think that's largely true. But it's also not something I'm going to apologize for.
As someone noted up-top, white men are only 28% of the population. But as I look around my peer group, white men are waaaaaay more than 28% of the GenX lawyers in this town. Or any town, for that matter.
At my firm at at others, we've tried to increase diversity among the firm's lawyers and within the profession more generally. We haven't done anything illegal--we have a very good employment-law section that makes sure of that. But we have done things like sponsor programs at UT and Houston-Tillotson that encourage undergrads who are from diverse backgrounds to consider the legal profession. After all--it's real tough to hire a diverse workforce if all of the lawyers graduating law school are white.
And let's just be real clear--it makes good sense to have a diverse workforce. Because we have a diverse client base. And juries and judges are often not white men.*
I'll tell you--our current cadre of associates is still well more than 28% white men. And the primary beneficiaries of a lot of those efforts in the legal profession have been white women, which doesn't really address all of the issues we were trying to deal with in our various DEI efforts. But still--I'm not going to be too concerned about the fact that white males are slightly less over-represented in the legal profession than they used to be.
17 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:Still deciding whether or not to read the piece. But from my perspective, if previous opportunities were only or primarily afforded to white males, and those opportunities suddenly (or even gradually) opened to others such that the makeup begins to look more like the general population, there is a price to be paid for that.
But the point is that it's a price that we--i.e., GenX males--didn't pay.
I think that maybe dovetails with the other thread on population reduction. These decisions maybe hit a whole lot different when it's your sons that aren't getting the opportunities because of the decisions you're making. But a lot of GenX males (and elder Millenial males) who are in positions of power don't have sons. Or if they do have sons, they have one or two who are so well-off that they're not terribly concerned about them getting an entry-level position.
In the high-investment/low-number model of childbearing in which you have a small number of children in whom you invest a greater amount, do you really care if white males have relatively fewer opportunities if you're in the class of people who are making the decisions about DEI hiring? Not really. If you're in that class of people, your son(s)--you probably don't have more than one or two--are going to be very well educated. They're ahead of the game, irrespective of who else is playing.
It's not that white male Millenials were handicapped. It's that white male Millenials who didn't come from an upper-class background were handicapped.
* I have been in a number of CLEs with various women judges--some white, others not--in which those judges explicitly state that they prefer to hear from lawyers who "look like me." The context is that they're encouraging us GenX white men to let our female (or female non-white) associates argue in court more frequently. And I will tell you that there have been a number of hearings or appellate arguments in which I have sat there at counsel table and let a female colleague make the argument because I had heard that speech from that very judge.
On the one hand, I don't really care--I've had plenty of appellate oral arguments; I've argued dozens of summary-judgment motions. They're no longer new or exciting.
On the other hand, I've had plenty of appellate oral arguments; I've argued dozens of summary-judgment motions. So I have a lot more experience and can probably make a better presentation (particularly if it's going to require some on-the-fly improvization). In a vacuum, the client might be better served to have me argue. But in front of a judge who doesn't want to hear from someone who doesn't look like her, we have to make a different tactical decision.
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2 hours ago, Vegas64 said:
Agreed. It's Benelux with the capital seat in Amsterdam. No need for provincial areas trying to claim sovereignty.
Ok--and as someone who is another quarter Luxembourger (no shit--my maternal grandfather's four grandparents all emigrated together from Luxembourg in the mid-19th Century) . . . fuck you! Luxembourg doesn't have just a whole lot in common with those Dutch herring-eaters.
Now if you want to combine those three countries into a Greater Luxembourg with its capital at Luxembourg--a "Grousslëbuergesche Räich," if you will--perhaps we can talk about that.
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22 hours ago, speed817 said:
I do not mean to imply that there was anything behind Trump's statement beyond the fact that Trump is a complete and total idiot who doesn't understand math.
I do mean to say that from a purely communications standpoint, Luttnick is on to something.
If prices were to go up from $100 to $1,000, we'd (correctly) say that prices have gone up 900%. And in a world with the inflation we've seen over the past half-decade, people are pretty used to hearing that prices have gone up by high-double- or even triple-digit percentages.
But if prices go down from $1,000 to $100, that's just a 90% decrease. Anybody with the least little bit of understanding of math understands that the 900% increase and the 90% decrease both denote a difference of $900. But what percentage of the American people do you think have that least-little-bit level of mathematical knowledge? 50%? Not a chance. 33%? I mean, maybe if you're lucky. It's probably less than 20%, if we're being realistic. Remember that most Americans read at or below a sixth-grade level.
So purely from a communications standpoint, it makes sense to communicate it has a "700% decrease," even though that makes no sense at all as a mathematical proposition. Because you're dealing with a nation populated by morons.
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3 hours ago, Parliament said:
I am 1/4 Belgian (from back in the 1840's) and I hereby renounce my Belgian heritage.
That is honestly a really weird way to put this. Belgium wasn't a country until 1830. And even after 1830, it's hard to say that there was a coherent Belgian national identity. That didn't really come until World War I; but even now I know plenty of people would dispute that there can be a national identity in a country that low-key shouldn't really be a country.
So the real question is this: are you a quarter Flemish or a quarter Walloon? This is an important question, because it determines whether I quarter-hate you.
By the way--I kinda have the same conundruum. My grandmother would tell me that I was a quarter Czechoslovak--probably because it was easier to explain to a kid when Czechoslovakia was the political entity that had sovereignty over the village whence her grandparents came. But ummm--no. We're Czech. And if you want to get more accurate, we're Moravian.
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Oh my god yes.
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2 hours ago, Anastasis said:
Sometimes wearing no pants.
I have worked my whole career remotely. I don't know how people go to an office. So much wasted time and resources involved in commuting.
Honestly--and I mean no disrespect by this--but the fact that you've worked your whole career remotely answers so many questions about you and your posts.
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Trump’s America
in Cloak Room
Posted
Wait, what?