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Ghost of LL

Burnt Ends
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Posts posted by Ghost of LL

  1. 2 hours ago, The Dog said:

    more details on what HJ posted:

    I hope this woman prosecutes every case for the DOJ in their witch hunt. She's wonderfully incompetent.

    Three things on this:

    1) You generally don't get disbarred for gross negligence as a lawyer; it requires intentional and willful malfeasance.  That being said, incompetence of this level can result in some form of discipline from either the Court or the Bar.

    2) Lindsay Halligan is really kind of hot, and as an officer of the Court I am willing to offer my services in carrying out whatever punishment the Court may deem appropriate for her.

    3) At the risk of being presumptuous, I might suggest a year or two in my sex dungeon (which, we we have established on another thread, does not bear any resemblance to Sei Less in Manhattan) as the appropriate sanction for Ms. Halligan (that naughty and incompetent little minx).

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  2. 9 minutes ago, Vegas64 said:

    I've commented-- I have also stayed at that Moxy and it made me feel weird like a sex dungeon. You must be a live one!

    Huh--I guess I don't have enough experience with sex dungeons.

    Mine has a very different vibe from the vibe at the Moxy.

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  3. 14 hours ago, Bullneck said:

    THAT'S IT!!   THAT'S THE BLUE BMW.  HE'S GETTING AWAY!!!

     

    There's definitely a "Texas sketchy" and a "NE urban sketchy" and it takes some recalibration to know the difference.  When you're walking around Philly or NYC at first EVERYWHERE seems dangerous.  You have to acclimatize to the run down nature of the Northeast.

    This seems pretty decent:

    image.thumb.png.c920cf39610ec34a08a6c13c7b8eec1d.png

     

     

    Sei Less is really good.  I went there the last time I was in New York (stayed at the Moxy at 36th and 7th because I was going to a show at MSG).  It is definitely not a rough area.

    Admittedly, I was not getting into fights at 2 AM.  But still--the whole area seemed pretty damned safe.

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  4. 33 minutes ago, The Dog said:

    attempting to flood the zone.

    I don't think it's flooding the zone.  I think it's more a function of seeing that the Dems are going to just drip-drip-drip out emails every day from now til next Christmas, and they want to get it all out in one big dump.

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  5. 6 hours ago, Nivek said:

    I appreciate you trying to apply logic and reason.   The failure of the Democratic Party thinking is that they can use the Republican votes against funding the ACA as a wedge issue in the next round of elections, as if people will remember who voted for what.  How many times have we seen Republican politicians take credit for things they voted against, and barely any political pushback is observed or media attention is given?   Too many to count.  

    An indefinite shutdown which would harm big business, would create the political pressure that Republicans would not be able to ignore.  They jerked themselves off at the thought of starving families and uneducated children, and climaxed on special education being destroyed.  But they cower in fear of their base losing share value.  

    I don't think they think they can use Republican votes for anything.  That would be stupid.  As you rightly say, nobody will remember who voted for what.  You're dead correct that we have waaaay too many examples of Republican officeholders taking credit for shit they flamboyantly opposed (e.g., the Biden Infrastructure Act).

    They think that without the ACA subsidies, the cost of healthcare will go up both this year and, importantly, next year.  The premiums for 2027 are going to come out right before the midterms, and they're going to be catastrophically awful.  Trump and the Republicans will be rightly blamed--not because of anything anybody voted for/against, but for the far more basic reason that a Republican is in the White House.

    That's why I say it is a cynical play.  And I love a cynical play.  Because those are really the only plays that work.

    6 hours ago, wildcat09 said:

    My complaint about their behavior in this shut down is almost entirely that they fucked this part of it up. Hell, the easy message right now would be "they threatened to starve people and we weren't willing to let Americans starve" and they can't even consistently say that. Durbin is whining about nobody understands senate procedure, others are talking about how if the GOP doesn't vote for the ACA subsidies at an unspecified later date then people will know the GOP doesn't like the ACA, and King and Fetterman have basically just said "I am personally a pussy." I'd say it's stunning how inept their messaging has been, except it's entirely consistent with what we typically see from elected Democrats over the age of 40.

    This is what happens when elected officials try to play pundit.  They just can't help themselves.  They love to tell you how much more they understand about electoral politics than you do.  But playing pundit gets in the way of effective messaging.  

    So you're right.  They need to cut that shit out.  The message is the Republicans were going to starve people, and we couldn't let that happen.  Period.  Then shut the fuck up.

    How's that going to play in the next election, a CNN reporter might ask?  "I don't really know, and it really doesn't matter--the Republicans were going to starve people, and we couldn't let that happen."

    Are you concerned that your base is going to be angry that you didn't get more, an MSNBC correspondent might enquire?  "I's hope not, but it really doesn't matter--the Republicans were going to starve people, and we couldn't let that happen."

    But these people are all fucking assholes who are super-eager to let you know that they know more than you do.  Dumb fuckers.

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  6. There is more and more chatter that Mary Peltola is going to run against Dan Sullivan for that seat in Alaska.  And a number of recent polls show her tied or ahead of him.

    As a reminder, she won the at-large House seat in 2020, but was narrowly defeated in 2024.  So she has a record of winning a statewide race.

    Alaska is politically a really weird state.  Given the candidate issues the Dems are having in Maine, Alaska may be a more likely pick-up than beating Collins.

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  7. 23 minutes ago, BillyBadAss said:

    I understand morally why some Dems might want to extend ACA subsidies, I don't understand politically why they'd want to (right now). I really don't understand why they'd want to extend them only 1 year - which would stave off the pain of increased premiums until post midterms. 

    The Dems seemed to stumble into a good outcome - they shined a bright light on the fact that Rs are refusing to extend subsidies, without getting the subsidies extended.

    This seems like a good political outcome ahead of the midterms when people who have freshly lost their insurance or been forced to pay out the ass for it are headed to the polls remembering Rs allowed the govt to be shut down rather than help. 

     

    What an I missing?

    You're not missing anything.  The Senate Democrats played this to maximum cynicism.  And as a cynic myself, I appreciate it.

    Plenty of Democratic voters and unrealistic expectations about what was achievable in this shutdown.  But realistically, very little was achievable through this (or really any) shutdown.  That should've been clear once it became evident that Republicans would starve Americans and crash the air-transit system.  Once that happened, it just became a game of maximizing blame on Trump and the GQP.

    Is there a possible universe in which the Republicans cave and extend the ACA subsidies?  I mean, maybe.  Probably not.  But maybe.  But in that universe, it works to the GQP's electoral benefit.

    And while there are plenty of us who would be happy to see the shutdown continue through the 2026 midterms . . . that wasn't realistic.  The political impact of that would've been highly unpredictable.  Right now, Trump is getting the blame.  But he has a larger microphone and a lot of corporate media at his back.  The narrative could've quickly swung.

    So the Dems took their fairly modest winnings and went home.  I understand that move.  I don't particularly love it.  Maybe I kind of hate it.  But I definitely understand it.

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  8. 1 hour ago, Francisco 2.0 said:

     

     

    We have an update:

     

     

     

    As someone who is doing a home renovation right now, I owe Donald Trump (and to a somewhat lesser extent, Chip & Joanna Gaines) a real debt of gratitude because I can point to everything he touches and tell my contractor/decorator, "for the love of god and all things holy, don't do anything like this.  In fact, do the exact opposite."

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  9. 2 hours ago, Huckleberry said:

    I'm not sure about them but I think this is more dumb than right wing based in early primary season. Of course the Republicans would love to face Allred so I guess it's possible they were involved. 

    But instinctively it feels more like typical holding Democrats to moral standards that the media never holds Republicans to. In this case, though, it's a huge swing and a miss by the media in thinking that a representative communicating with sex worker constituents is somehow immoral. 

    Counterpoint: these type of things will sometimes be leaked by the subject candidate around this time in an effort to innoculate him against the issue later.  It could be that Talarico's team saw that he's following a bunch of porn stars on the Gram and decided to get out ahead of it.  Had this come out two weeks before the primary . . . that'd be bad.  Two weeks before the general election--catastrophic because of the aforementioned reality that we hold Democrats to a ridiculously higher standard than we hold Republicans.

    Let this come out a couple weeks before Thanksgiving, and it's completely forgotten by Christmas.  But if anyone tries to bring it up in February, it just gets dismissed as "old news" and Talarico's people would say "this came out months ago and nobody cares."

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