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CBT

Certifiably Surly
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Posts posted by CBT

  1. 4 minutes ago, TXSooner518 said:

    I wouldn't think he is jamming Ax on the river for value, but to get me to fold a chop.  I think he can jam A5/Q5 out of uh-oh I"m counterfeited must jam to win.  I think he has maybe one combo of KJ or KT where he tried to bet-size control to draw cheap.  

    Obviously he also can have all the 55, all the A6, and sometimes AQ/AK for value.  Comfortable saying never QQ, never AA, never 66, never 65, never Q6.

    Also keep in mind that calling and winning 0%, chopping 60%, losing 40% is about break-even.  Win 0, chop 65, lose 35 shows profit to call.

    if you think he's capable of shoving to fold out a chop, then yea, I lean more to a call. Great analysis above.

    Now, inb4 he slow played AA. 

  2. 32 minutes ago, TXSooner518 said:

    Make them win 10, lose 60, chop 30 and calling loses $32.50.  I don't think it can ever be worse than that honestly.  

     

    Given reads it's probably super close. So call = fold long term more or less. So either is fine. And you can't win if you fold...

  3. Ugh, even button mashers may not river pot it at 1/2 without the goods. Does he really do that with Ax?? In H2, he checks his top pair, although it was versus 2 people. H1 shows us his dumb x/minraise line. Wish we knew what what he had there. Did he do it with Kx and call it off?

    It's gross either way, but I probably fold unless I'm really confident that he does that will all (or most of) his Ax combos. 

  4. 4 minutes ago, AUS-97HORN said:

     

    1st: Qx

    5th   total air.   maybe holding 4-3 going for the inside straight, then open ender and missing

     

    Is he x/minraising either of these in a multiway limped pot? Maybe, but seems like they should high discounted. 

  5. 21 hours ago, TommyGufano said:

    Is Ibaka still with Keri Hilson? That'd be my pick.

    And for the very few ppl pumping up Kobe and also shitting on LeBron for the 2011 finals loss for LeBron -- this is a reminder that Dallas swept the Lakers and won game 4 by like fucking 40 pts

    And also beat the KD, RW, Harden Thunder in 5 games, who a year later made it to the Finals (against Lebron of course). Ironically(?), it was Dwane Casey's defensive game plan that frustrated Lebron so much that finals. Lebron mentioned it in a PC this year about how much it changed him. It also got Casey his gig in TOR that off season.

    Saying Lebron "shou'dve" beaten that Mavs team is disrespectful to Dirk etc, AND I WILL NOT STAND FOR IT.

    Now back to the MJ-Lebron debate...

     

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