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Hank Chinaski

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Everything posted by Hank Chinaski

  1. Ewers will need to take a pretty massive step forward for that to be a possibility next year. It’s not impossible, but I wouldn’t bet on it.
  2. Sure. Middling, fine, ok, average…whatever. Less than exceptional, greater than terrible. The meaty part of the bell curve. That’s our coach.
  3. I look at it this way - an average/mediocre coach at Texas should go 8-4/7-5 on average…better than .500 because of access to talent. Basically, Tom Herman’s tenure, or Sark in 2022 (we can argue all we want about whether Herman is better, but I think Sark is better at roster construction, talent acquisition, etc, which I think is the most important thing). Mack was significantly better than that; Strong was worse. I think Sark can have a 10-win season here and there if he continues to build the roster as he has, because he’s competent enough to win with a big talent advantage (I disagree that we had that this year against several teams; a freshman QB and freshmen OL starters and a lack of big-play WRs goes a long way in negating an “overall” talent advantage). But he’s probably not a guy that’s going to consistently have the team in playoff contention late into seasons. All that is to say - I don’t think he’s terrible, I don’t think he’s very good. I think he’s probably in the Herman / Mackovic tier of Texas coaches, and this year’s performance is probably about what your expectations should be.
  4. Christ y’all, should we also talk about how if Gideon holds that INT we’d have beaten Tebow/Urb and won it all in ‘08 too? And Colt’s shoulder the next year? And how you could make a strong case that we were exactly 3 plays away from 3 more titles in the last 40 years? Goddamnit.
  5. This may be true, but if he keeps beating and fucking with Jimbo/ags like he has the last couple years, I’ll love him. He seems to have a hardon for them, and I’m absolutely here for it.
  6. I want to say this was way back in like 2006. Edit: or 2008, they played that year too. And yeah, it was hilarious.
  7. Ah, I don’t have too much of a problem with this, as it’s based on simulations (not his “predictions” per se). His methodology may be flawed, but at least he explains the methodology.
  8. It’s the reason that I thought the Astros offer to him last year was about right. I have no idea what is showing up in his physicals, but the dude had a variety of health issues - including back problems - in his early/mid-20s. That has to be a red flag. I too hope it works out for him. And yes, I’d absolutely love it if we could somehow get him back on a short-term/high AAV deal. I doubt it, but would be great.
  9. Not gonna lie, I’d get legitimately angry all over again if I were watching.
  10. Agreed. Varsho has a career .302 OBP and last season he outperformed his expected wOBA by a bit. I know he’s valuable defensively - I’m not suggesting he’s worthless or anything - but the Jays gave up a lot.
  11. That’s a big investment for a guy who has really only had one good offensive season (not counting partial seasons).
  12. That’s it? Those are obvious, objective facts. I thought it was something more conspiratorial.
  13. Wait, what are we talking about here? What is the discussion that nobody’s ready for about why we get benefits of doubt? I sincerely don’t know. They’re talking in code so I assume it’s something offensive and hilarious.
  14. Right. They are very invested in the narrative that the Texas defense is super shitty and always will be under Sark, based on 2021. 2022 doesn’t fit the narrative as well, because the defense was actually kinda good. Oh and one of the Texas LBs was an AP 3rd-team AA. Anyway, the defense and LBs were terrible in 2021. They much prefer to concentrate on that.
  15. Martes is one. Was really highly rated at one point.
  16. Honestly, 2012-13 were awesome. The new regime had a clear plan (and it was the only reasonable plan), Altuve had just come up, Springer was close…and you could go to games for free and sit wherever the hell you wanted. I went to so many goddamn games those years, sat a few rows behind the dugouts, and spent money only on peanuts and beer. They gave away tickets at work all the time. It was actually great. As a cheap, grouchy, claustrophobic introvert, I fucking loved MMP with 4,000 people in it (compared to the 38,000 that were there in the two games I went to in ‘22, my first at MMP since I left Houston 6 years ago).
  17. Right, and $30mm in 2022 isn’t the same as $30mm in 2032. The owners know they’re buying depreciating assets; they’re just choosing to spread the cost out over more years. They’re essentially financing the expected production - e.g., Judge needs to produce 36 WAR over his deal (4 WAR/season) for the NYY to get fair value, based on Wulaw’s math. He’ll probably deliver most of that in the next 5-6 years, and he’ll probably deliver much less in the final 3-4 years. So he probably won’t be worth $40mm in those final years, but he probably outperformed his salary over the first half of the contract. I suppose spreading it out is happening to lower the payroll overall for luxury tax purposes.
  18. How does the “why” not matter? If it doesn’t matter why, then you hold people accountable for things completely beyond their control. And we’re not talking about professional negligence here - we’re talking about holding someone accountable for another’s actions in his personal life. That’s totally irrational.
  19. Oh I agree that they needed to move him; I just didn’t think they’d take a package like they ended up getting from SD. I figured it would take more. I was wrong.
  20. I don’t think I mocked you, but I definitely didn’t think he’d get moved with that much team control remaining. I guess I underestimated how bad Washington really was and how relatively crappy Soto was going to be last year. It shouldn’t have changed anyone’s minds, but I wonder what that trade would’ve looked like if he was having a typical Soto season.
  21. Don’t they all sound like the same person?
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