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Hank Chinaski

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Everything posted by Hank Chinaski

  1. Gonna have to disagree with this - he’s hyped (and was a first overall pick) because he’s extremely talented and, when healthy, was extremely productive. If not for his inability to stay healthy from 2017-2019, he’d be on a clear HOF trajectory. When he’s played, he’s more or less been Cal Ripken (oh, the irony there). That said, I agree here. CC’s inability to stay healthy has been a thing, and it makes signing him to a long-term deal really risky.
  2. Well it would only be filled 60% of the time had we re-signed George; he’s missed 110 out of 282 games as a Blue Jay so far (and he’s only getting older).
  3. You’d have to think that the various defensive metrics are deeply flawed and failing to pick up on something critical to make this claim, because, as stated, he is objectively a good defensive SS right now. What do you think they aren’t accounting for?
  4. Yeah, I know defensive metrics are imperfect, but he is currently 7th in MLB in defensive WAR per B-R and 19th in the FG defensive rankings (across all positions, not just SS).
  5. Bro, don’t do this to yourself again.
  6. Plus, JV will get the kind of deal that Crane is more interested in making - he doesn’t seem hesitant to spend a lot over a short time period. The annual salary doesn’t seem to bother him, it’s the long-term salary commitments that he typically avoids. I hope to see JV back, and I think there’s a decent chance we will.
  7. The closer-than-you’d-expect ratio kind of supports the refusal to adjust their approach to try to beat the shift, right? The closer it is to 1:1 the more you should just sort of say “fuck it, I’m just gonna do what I do.”
  8. Meh, any individual game between the Astros and Braves (or between any two good teams) is roughly a coin flip.
  9. Them too. (Was thinking 2019 Nationals due to the Harper/Freeman departures.)
  10. The Braves are looking a little like the 2019 Nationals and the run they went on after a slow start. 52-20 since June 1.
  11. Judge was at 8.0 bWAR, Altuve was 7.7. You’re contending this was one “of the biggest robberies.” I’m contending it’s not close to being an egregious error by the voters.
  12. I know you don’t actually believe that this was some sort of “robbery,” much less “one of biggest, but it did get me thinking about really egregious MVP awards. 1987 was a pretty bad year for the voters. AL MVP went to George Bell, who hit .308/.352/.605 with 47 HR. Really good year. At best he should have finished 3rd in MVP voting; Wade Boggs hit .363/.461/.588 with plus defense at 3B (8.9 fWAR). Alan Trammell was about as good, hitting .343/.492/.551 with 28 HR, playing a very good SS. But the NL vote was even worse. Andrew Dawson won the award after hitting .287/.328/.568 with 49 HR. He finished 20th among NL position players in fWAR that year. Tony Gwynn (.370/.447/.511, 56 SB) probably should have won, but you could make a case for Eric Davis, Dale Murphy or Tim Raines as well. Then there’s all those MVPs that Ted Williams should have won in the 40s that went to Yankees players instead. ‘41, ‘42, ‘54. Same with Bonds, who should have won in ‘91, ‘95, ‘96 and ‘98. And yeah, I know there wasn’t WAR and that OBP (somehow) wasn’t valued like it is nowadays. But still.
  13. exposure therapy to treat your Lance McCullers PTSD?
  14. In fairness, Manfred seems like a dipshit.
  15. I mean, yes, but it’s not like baseball is the only area in which we ascribe meaning to randomness. I might argue that the human condition itself is ascribing meaning to randomness. As a species we are generally loath to acknowledge that randomness plays much of a role in our life outcomes, and our ascribed narratives or meaning (constructed to replace any possibility of randomness) coming into conflict with others’ leads to most of our social problems. So why do we care about the coin flip? Hell, isn’t the coin flip all we really have? All that is to say that, as much as I love LMJ and his postseason performances to date, I don’t think he has any magic in him in October. I think he’s a really good pitcher, whatever month it happens to be.
  16. I’m not much of a believer in a guy being meaningfully different in October than in April-September. This came up in the Jeter thread…Jeter has almost the exact same numbers in the postseason as his career regular season numbers - both large sample sizes. There is a belief that that actually means he hit better in the postseason because he faced better pitching. I don’t know that that is true - seems like an assumption. It seems more likely that, over enough PAs in the wild card era, the quality of pitching faces in the postseason was probably similar to what he faced in 20 years of regular season games - and the fact that the numbers are almost identical supports that. Certainly I get the logic/hypothesis, it is intuitive, just not sure it has been tested. (If it has, let me know - like you, I’m open to being wrong here.) Anyway, Framber has been a starter in 2 postseason runs; the results were very good in 2019 and very bad in 2021. I think you have to assume the difference is small sample size noise, right?
  17. Ha, could have been. Danielson said something that was hilariously hyperbolic in that vein.
  18. That’s spot on. Though Jeteration was not as egregious as Tebowation. Gary Daniels actually said something to the effect of “you become a better person just by being in Tebow’s presence” and called him “the best running QB in the history of college football” two years after VY went pro. Tebow is/was the single most overrated athlete of my lifetime and I’m not sure there is a close second.
  19. Well that contract the Padres gave him sure keeps looking shittier and shittier for them. Jesus. Maybe Preller is the biggest dipshit.
  20. Bro, I like you but this is getting…weird. This isn’t hyperbolic at all. Over the last 2 seasons it’s Realmuto and Smith at the top of the list. Turner’s free agency will be interesting. Remaining in LA seems to make the most sense…but like you said, Smith will also need to get paid soon, they’re already paying Betts and Freeman, etc…I know the dodgers can afford it, but do they want to continue to pay waaaaay over the luxury tax threshold, when they’ve proven adept at drafting/developing really good, inexpensive players?
  21. It’s why the Astros didn’t make huge efforts to sign him. He’d had an injury history, and it didn’t figure to get better as he gets older. It sucked to lose him, because we all loved Springer, but it was probably the right decision by the Astros. In 2 seasons in TOR, he hasn’t been dependable.
  22. Y’all know they have Soto for the next two years in addition to the rest of this year, right? That may well end up being a bad trade for them, but let’s not pretend that we already know that after a week.
  23. Yeah I watched some of that game; plate ump was atrocious.
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