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Hank Chinaski

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Everything posted by Hank Chinaski

  1. He’s been accused of sexual assault by 3 women.
  2. Good, fuck that guy.
  3. He does when he bats second.
  4. Lol Goodrum batting second. I fucking quit.
  5. Hell, I wished that the decision tree that said “sign Goodrum” had just said “sign Jonathan Villar,” who has actually been a productive major league player with position versatility and signed for all of $6mm. I’m ok with passing on the Kris Bryants of the world, but be smarter about the guys you do bring in.
  6. Bingo. That’s exactly what they’re trying to do. Its not the worst strategy, especially since the playoffs keep expanding. It’s better than Drayton trying to just keep the team mediocre in the late 00s. But transitioning from historically great teams to teams with decent-to-good playoff odds is going to hurt a little. The transition really started last year. I’d also add, regarding Lunhow/Click - what makes anyone think that Lunhow would be signing guys to long-term deals? His strategy seemed similar in terms of valuing future payroll flexibility. I like Lunhow as much as the next guy, and I am not really defending Click, but the avoidance of overspending on FAs seems consistent with Lunhow’s MO too.
  7. I think Schwarber was speaking/demonstrating on behalf of everybody.
  8. Alvarez: .135/.220/.405 Tucker: .130/.217/.241 Altuve: .167/.268/.250 When this is the performance of 3 of your 5 best offensive players, it doesn’t make any difference what Click has done, what Dusty does, what the business model is, etc.
  9. Yup, and that’s exactly what the owners want. More playoff teams = reduced incentive to construct great teams; good teams should be good enough.
  10. I mean…I get the frustration, but this is backwards. The “Tampa Bay way” is necessarily the opposite of “lazy.” Signing high-priced FAs strikes me as more “lazy” than having to dig and find value in overlooked places and managing a good roster opportunistically with a very restrained payroll. I’m not saying Click is hitting the right buttons, just saying that there are ways to win beyond throwing hundreds of millions of dollars at FAs. Whether he can do that remains to be seen. In fairness, there is no improving on the 2019 team. That is the best team in franchise history, probably will be the best team we’ll ever have, and it would be virtually impossible to improve upon it without doubling the luxury tax threshold. That’s why that WS stung so badly. Anyway, this team is in a funk because nobody is hitting. That won’t last. I still think the team is a little worse than last year, but I think that has more to do with the rotation probably not being quite as good as the results indicated last year, Altuve and Yuli being another year older, and Pressley having whatever issues he’s having. Losing Correa hurts, sure, but Pena has outperformed him dramatically so far, meaning that the results so far could conceivably be worse with Correa.
  11. He is, and the exact same thing happened to him last year - was hitting the shit out of the ball for the first 30 games or whatever and had nothing to show for it. Obviously, it corrected for him over time, as I’m sure it will this year. But it would be nice if this improbable stretch of bad luck didn’t stricken him to begin every single season.
  12. There are probably several things Dusty does well as a manager. Lineup construction is not one of them. That said, it’s not his fault that nobody is hitting and the rotation behind JV appears to be the average bunch of back-of-the-rotation starters we all once thought they were.
  13. Yes. Here are the differences between wOBA and expected wOBA so far (based on contact quality): Tucker: -.228 (second-largest negative difference in MLB) Maldonado: -.162 Yordan: -.092 Brantley: -.088 Yuli: -.037 Altuve: -.027 Pena: -.022 Siri: -.021 Bregman: +.022 So basically the entire lineup outside of Bregman has results that fall short of what should be expected based on how hard/frequently they’re hitting the ball. Tucker to an extreme degree - he “should” have elite numbers right now (.417 wOBA, about the same as Vlad Guerrero Jr had last year), but instead his production has been replacement level. (Interestingly, Tucker went through this for about the first 6 weeks of last season too.) As a team, they have a .221 BABIP, 29th in MLB. So yeah, they’ve been almost freakishly unlucky offensively.
  14. You and me both.
  15. This team feels a lot like the 2006 Astros, which began probably the least interesting or entertaining era of Astros baseball in my lifetime (2006-2011). Both coming off WS loss. Alvarez is Berkman, Verlander is Clemens, Bregman is Ensberg, old Altuve is old Biggio, Framber is old Pettite, Pressley is bad Lidge, Machete/Ausmus, Yuli is kinda like Mike Lamb, Chas is Jason Lane, etc. This team has Tucker and Pena, that team had Oswalt - I think that’s the difference. Neither seems to have any real difference-makers on the farm (maybe Leon is comparable to Hunter Pence in a couple of years). And whatever that bullshit uniform they wore today was, it was the worst they’ve looked aesthetically since those goddamned imbeciles decided to be red and black with pinstripes (as they were in 06). That team went 82-80; I expect this one to go 83-79 (+/- 3 games).
  16. Yordan’s percentile ranks are looking decent…
  17. Plus Tucker and Altuve haven’t started hitting yet, Yordan has missed half the games, Meyers (who may be the best CF the org has) hasn’t played yet, etc.
  18. I mean, it’s only 8 games. I think I’ve read that K% and BB% start to level out at about 100 PAs (Leon has 39). We’ll see where he is in a couple more weeks, but he’s been over 30% K rate in AA and AAA. But he’s only been in MiLB for a year, and he’s got the tools to be a contributor even if he just trims the Ks a little bit. I just don’t expect him to be an option this season.
  19. Leon is hitting .226/.385/.387 in AAA and is striking out in 36% of his PAs. He’s not ready.
  20. Tucker should bat first.
  21. team batting for the season: .211/.281/.371, good for a 89 wRC+ The good news is that they aren’t striking out any more than the last several seasons (18%). And the .224 BABIP is second-lowest in MLB. So, probably some bad luck. Per Statcast, their expected AVG/SLG is .254/.480.
  22. Christ. Twice they’ve had 2 on/0 out today and haven’t scored. That’s the kind of day today is. Also, Altuve has always done dumb shit on the bases. Love him, but it’s true.
  23. Steven Souza weighs in too… https://www.chron.com/sports/astros/amp/Steven-Souza-Astros-cheating-sign-stealing-Dodgers-17074845.php
  24. I hear you, but again - you can give guys a rest, but it’s damn-near professional malpractice to sit 2 of your best players in the same game when another is already out on paternity leave. It’s just dumb. Give one a day off today and another off Tuesday if it’s really that essential to rest them. I know the days of guys like Bagwell and Biggio playing every single game are long gone, but they can be more strategic than this. And for the love of god, when Altuve, Brantley and Yuli are out - don’t hit Tucker 6th in the fucking order!
  25. It’ll drive me batshit all season long. But yeah, in the first series of the season, Dusty feels compelled to ensure that everyone gets a day off. Goodrum, who is probably the worst hitter on the team, has started half the team’s games. If Yuli is out, maybe, I don’t know, play Diaz at first and Altuve at second? I honestly don’t get how an analytically-inclined franchise allows Dusty to do this shit. Their probability of winning today was intentionally and significantly reduced by the manager and the lineup he decided to roll out. Like they’re punting this game for no reason other than to give guys a day off - 3 days into the goddamn season! It’s fucking maddening. Here’s a good rule of thumb: Altuve, Alvarez, Tucker, Brantley, Yuli, Bregman - don’t sit any of 2 those guys on the same day if you don’t have to. They can all have days off, just don’t do it at the same time. It’s not difficult.
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