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Hank Chinaski

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Everything posted by Hank Chinaski

  1. (well, 2, but this is what came to mind when I looked at the box score just now.)
  2. It really, really is. Why would you intentionally reduce your run production probabilities, even if the reduction is slight? It just doesn’t make any sense and isn’t justifiable.
  3. Of the three, I’d guess that Brown is most likely to get meaningful MLB time. Service time considerations are probably not all that important, as none of the 3 are particularly young (by prospect standards) or project to be superstars. Leon in striking out in 1 out of every 3 plate appearances in AAA. I’m not sure he’ll be ready to contribute in 2022. Lee is hitting .216/.264/.425 and striking out almost as frequently as Leon. I wouldn’t count on either of them for much of anything this year. Brown could be a bullpen arm or spot starter later in the season. Based on his BB%, he still has some control/command issues.
  4. I’d say Alvarez. His bat is elite and has been since he entered the league. Tucker’s bat is very good, his defense is good, his base running is good, etc. But I’d take the elite hitter over the very good all-around player.
  5. 0-13, 4 K, 2 BB for the 3-6 hitters. Those games are often difficult to win.
  6. Also, Lee is hitting .221/.270/.435 in AAA, and is striking out 28% of the time. He’s not exactly forcing his way to the big leagues right now.
  7. Man I loved Michael Bourn. I get why we traded him but damn I loved watching him play.
  8. Gonna have to disagree with you there. Bagwell has one of the best career rate (not counting) stat slash lines (.297/.408/.540) of any 1B in the history of baseball. That’s in 2,150 games and almost 9,500 PAs. He had a career OPS+ of 149, meaning he was about 50% better than the average MLB hitter over 15 years. You can’t possibly chalk that up to only hitting well against crappy pitchers.
  9. I mean, their October performance was probably impacted more by the fact that the majority of their postseason ABs came against 3 HOFers (and their notoriously expanded strike zones) and peak Kevin Brown (borderline HOF) than it was by the fatigue that came from playing a few extra games over the previous 6 months. Anyway, yeah, if the guys today believe they’re more physically able in October by sitting out 15 games in the regular season, then go for it (as long as you make it to October, which is now easier than ever I suppose).
  10. I agree, but I think that, again, there is no realistic way to get fair value for him with 2.5 years of team control in almost any scenario. We could offer Leon, Garcia, Javier, Brown and Whitley and I’d bet Washington would say “no” today. That deal doesn’t really make sense for the Astros or the Nationals. And that’s the problem. Someone like Baltimore could probably get him for Rutschman and Rodriguez (and maybe a few other guys) but that doesn’t make any sense for the Orioles. That’s the problem - his team control/salary/value just make it almost impossible to trade him right now, unless Washington is willing to take less than they should.
  11. Right now, Soto is almost like the situation Trout was in before his big extension - it’s almost impossible to design a trade for him because the amount a team would have to give up is unrealistic. And this is why there are people in this thread saying that there is no way they’d give up certain packages for him, and Washington probably wouldn’t accept those same packages either. He’s just too damned good at his current salary/control. When he becomes a 1-year rental or less, that can change. But he’s not getting traded this year. I’m sure Washington is trying to extend him. More likely he’ll become a FA, but the Nationals aren’t going to give up in that in 2022. Either way, he’ll get an absolute shitload of money.
  12. Yup, that’s pretty much his reputation.
  13. Oh yeah, MLB screws with the balls and pretends they don’t. MLB has trouble getting out of its own way.
  14. The good stats do. The ones that are relative to the league. wRC+, OPS+, etc. The absolute/counting numbers? Sure, those don’t, and anyone who understands baseball data knows that (and that’s why we have season-relative metrics).
  15. Yeah, it comes down to Altuve, Bregman and Yuli. Is Altuve still a plus offensive player (I think he is)? Is Bregman more of a good offensive player (like in 2021 and so far in 22) than a great one (18-19)? Did age finally catch up and make Yuli no better than average? I think we know what we’ll get from Yordan, Tucker, Brantley, and probably Pena. Meyers is a wild card when returns. The catchers can’t hit but that’s been true for years.
  16. Maybe. I’m seeing a pretty mediocre offensive team. They 18th in the league in runs scored and are striking out in 21.7% of their PAs, up 2 points from last year and about 3 points from 2018-19.
  17. Yeah. If I’m nitpicking, I didn’t like trading Straw, as I prefer him to McCormick (he brings unique elements to the team and has been a good player), but that decision was made with Meyers in mind too. And most of what I didn’t like was the return, so if Maton proves me wrong I’ll be happy. I also would have preferred bringing in a guy like Villar to Goodrum. Villar is actually a productive offensive player. But yeah, I didn’t have a big problem with any of the other moves/non-moves beyond these.
  18. Per Baseball Savant, the total MLB wOBA is 22 points below the expected wOBA, which is based on contact quality, BB and K rates. The difference between the two has been within a few points each of the last few seasons. I don’t know if it’s the humidors but the balls this year are dead. (I’m sure MLB will deny that they’re different and switch back to juiced balls at some point in the middle of the season, because that’s a very MLB thing to do.)
  19. Nah. It was stupid, Yordan knows it was stupid, he was embarrassed, etc. I don’t see the point in taking your best bat out of the lineup. Besides, Dusty gives them all so many days off anyway, how would he even know it’s a punishment?
  20. I’m going to a Rockies/Mets game in 2 weeks, hopefully this is a feature for every game.
  21. He’s 28 and has a career line of .247/.327/.428 and had 0.2 WAR in about 100 games before this season began. He also entered today with a .450 BABIP. I’m gonna go out on a limb and say he’ll come back to earth soon.
  22. I’m interested to see how Meyers plays when he gets back. Trading Straw was a head-scratcher, but I guess the club simply preferred Meyers/McCormick. I guess we’ll see, but that trade was strange (to me) at the time. He was a 3-win player last year and looks to be continuing on that track this year.
  23. Correa in regular season: 127 wRC+ Correa in postseason: 130 wRC+ he’s the same guy.
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