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Guadaloopy

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Posts posted by Guadaloopy

  1. Just now, henrygandorf said:

    you can't win them all, but the two things i would point to, besides the obvious number of chances he had to show himself (this wasn't a kenny lofton situation).  

    1. it's not like he went to detroit and was fantastic and is going to lead them to the promised land.  he's been on 3 teams since the astros.  no evidence points to him manning left for us right now, no matter how much of a badass he's become.

    2. we won the world series.  so there aren't any mistakes.  fuck em.  you never know what events drive other events.  if the team looked a little different maybe we don't draft bregman, or tucker, or trade for verlander, or sign morton.  

    if correa makes the play in g4 vs kc, maybe we make it to the world series and lose, and none of this ever happens and we're still chasing.  fuck the what ifs.

    Reiter frames it as Luhnow’s confession of his biggest mistake/regret as GM.  

    Also, if JD is on the 2017 team, it’s highly unlikely that there would have been a spot for Beltrán.  So even though Luhnow himself views it as a big miss, his brain trust stayed the course and it worked.   

  2. 18 minutes ago, Guadaloopy said:

    Yes. Several pages of the book talk about how JD reworked his swing in California and Venezuela in the offseason before the Astros released him.  He came back and sat down with team officials to tell them about his new swing and asked for a chance to show it in spring training.  

    The Astros were already heavy into data and all of the predictive data they had for JD said to let him go.   They didn’t give him an adequate look in spring training (only 18 at bats) to overcome what their thousands of data points already told them.  

    They regretted the decision within a month.  

    One more point on this.   The FO says in the book that if they had current swing tracking tech back then, they would have seen JD’s reworked swing in the data and wouldn’t have been so quick to discard the new info in favor of historical data.  

  3. 3 minutes ago, Fozzz said:

    Is there anything in the book specifically about JD?  The Astros gave him nearly 1,000 MLB PAs over which JD showed no improvement.  I think that situation was just bad luck for Houston.  

    However, one decision that I think is open to criticism (I certainly don't understand it) was the decision to get rid of our Appalachian League team. 

    Yes. Several pages of the book talk about how JD reworked his swing in California and Venezuela in the offseason before the Astros released him.  He came back and sat down with team officials to tell them about his new swing and asked for a chance to show it in spring training.  

    The Astros were already heavy into data and all of the predictive data they had for JD said to let him go.   They didn’t give him an adequate look in spring training (only 18 at bats) to overcome what their thousands of data points already told them.  

    They regretted the decision within a month.  

  4. 7 minutes ago, UTexasFight said:

     


    My guess is they think they are...$11.5M to Mr. McCann

     

    From a team leadership standpoint, I agree.  From a tactical in-game info standpoint, I’m not so sure.    

    McCann has to focus on his own pitchers and opposing hitters.  I don’t think he has the bandwidth to scrutinize opposing pitchers like Beltrán did.  

  5. 4 minutes ago, UTexasFight said:

    Also, if I got nothing else from the book, I finally know how to pronounce Sig Mejdal
    (“Who’s dell? MY-DELL!”)

     

    Definitely one of my takeaways as well.  I’m also left with the question, why aren’t the Astros paying a ridiculous sum to Beltrán as a bench coach or special assistant? He brought incredible behind the scenes value. 

  6. 17 hours ago, UTexasFight said:


    It’s excellent so far
    Got through preface / intro Tuesday (premise of the Astros re-build and brief background of the Astros franchise/Hoffheinz) as well as beginning background on Mejdal.

    Picking up again tonight as soon as I get the kids down (7pm lights out, kiddos!!)

    Finished it.  Just an incredible read.  Feels like the Astros gave too much access to Reiter.  And anyone who wonders just why Beltrán was on this team needs to to read intently.   

    It sure looks like the only mistake this front office made in the last 6 years was releasing JD Martinez.  Even the Aiken situation was handled skillfully after the elbow problems were discovered.  

  7. 3 hours ago, Goo Punch said:

    ... he pitches in the NL West...And this year it's the only division in baseball with 4 teams that are over .500.

    AL West says “hi.”

  8. 8 hours ago, runthebone said:

    I appreciate that this was edited and still doesn't work (at least on my phone)

    Yeah, I tried to fix it once and failed.  Apparently, there is a limit for edits and then your shame is locked into the interwebz forever.  

  9. I like Jake, but...

     

    <iframe seamless="seamless" style="width: 100%; border: none; display: block; max-width: 420px; height: 360px;" src="https://getyarn.io/yarn-clip/embed/101d9f20-f4c5-4c56-b1d5-003d32f6de87?autoplay=false"> </iframe>

     

  10. 55 minutes ago, spystud13 said:

    DeRo for Reynolds would be an unbelievable trade-off. 

    I’m a morning viewer and I would riot. DeRo in the morning is great TV.  And Flores is solid, too.  I’ve always been a Vasgersian fan, but MLB Central is a better show with Flores.   

  11. 10 hours ago, Fozzz said:

    A 45 FV position player was a lot to gamble on a washed up starter when there was no pressing need to acquire a LH reliever.  With Devo and Harris, I’m fine with having a pen of all righties for the postseason. 

    Quick reminder... the Astros won the World Freaking Series last year.  Every move made last year contributed to that.  

    Liriano had five appearances in the postseason and did his job in all of them (except for the L to Boston in which no one did their job).  He even got a key out in Game 7 as a lefty specialist.    

    I have zero issues with any moves made to get this team to the promised land.  Frankly, neither should any Astro fan.  

    • Like 1
  12. Twins send Sano to fat camp (aka single A Ft Myers).  He was warming up for the All-star game this time last year.  Another data point to support the HR derby ruining a player theory?

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