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Anastasis

Certifiably Surly
  • Joined

Posts posted by Anastasis

  1. Just now, Trey3216 said:

    I really don’t think it is tbh.  Most GOP folks want people to be documented and accounted for in the proper manor.  I fully support people being able to come here, but go through the channels.   My ancestors did.   It’s not racist or heartless to ask for documentation.   

    My people swam across the river. Some of them had papers. But we also don’t live in the early 19th century anymore. 

  2. Just now, Bama Chick said:

     


    wypipo

    Honestly, I was pronouncing it incorrectly until I heard him say it.

    Not growing up or living in an area with a sizable Latino population you probably never heard of the nickname Beto before this campaign.

    I hadn’t.

    Now that’s just regular people. At this point after all the national publicity Beto has gotten there’s no excuse for media folks - especially ones on air on fucking election by - to get it wrong.

    But still, wypipo.

     

    Some brown people fucking it up too. 

  3. Just now, Bruh Man said:

    DrXnlf-XQAA6aJV.jpg

    What are the bolded percentages?  Breakdown of overall votes by demographic?  If so.  The blue and green highlights are not nearly as relevant as the bolded percentages. 

  4. Just now, Brisketexan said:


    Nah. Not enough.

    There’s plenty of hate out there. Maybe you missed the entire GOP electoral strategy, or the GOP fanboys gleefully talking about how they want to go to the border and kill Hondurans (I’ve heard it, first hand). Open racism in the campaigns and calls. There’s a metric shit-ton of hate out there.

    And you think that the best option is to just let that be? Just say “oh well, that’s the way it is?” Fuck that.

    giphy.gif

  5. Just now, slorch said:

    Good.

    We need casinos in Texas...

    and beer sales before noon on Sunday/

    Casinos? Yes. Beer sales? Sure. But the only time that I have ever run into a problem with beer sales on Sunday morning is Easter. 

  6. On 11/5/2018 at 12:34 PM, Anastasis said:

    Figures a better place than the gambling board.  Let's see how much "easy" money with can identify.

    I am on the following positions:

    Who will control House after 2018?  Currently Dem YES @ 0.69 and GOP NO @ 0.65.  I say back the truck up on both.

     Balance of power in Congress after midterms.  I am playing NO on GOP HOUSE/GOP SENATE.  Currently trading @ 0.65.

     Will Manchin be re-elected? Currently YES @ 0.77.

    And a stretch, but I think that the odds are worth it. Will Ted Cruz be elected? No @ 0.23.  Will look to exit if there is any bump based on early returns.

    Trump impeachment in first terms. YES @ 0.41.  Think this bumps after the Dems take the house and/or when the Mueller report is issued.

     

    Any other plays for today/tomorrow?  Obviously I am hosed if the Dem's don't take the House, but I don't see that happening.   

     

    On 11/5/2018 at 1:04 PM, Anastasis said:

    I've added Kevin McCarthy as NO for next speaker @ 0.76.

     

    4 hours ago, Anastasis said:

    More easy money: Texas Senate margin of victory: NO on 12+% 0.90

    And throwing a small bone at 0-2 and 2-4. 

    So I am winding it all down too. 

    Hit everything except for Beto. My strategy was correct.  There was a sizable bump when the dallas returns hit the wire, but the servers were shit and everything was delayed in fulfillment. Still, did very well on the night. Cheers. 

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