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Huckleberry

Certifiably Surly
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Posts posted by Huckleberry

  1. 2 minutes ago, Fudge Nuggets said:

    I actually liked the COVID days. WFH, plenty of day drinking, dotard lost re-election. It was great. 

    A lot more family time as well for those of us with kids in school. Family walks every day. I know dogs wish they could make life like that all the time. 

    • Hook 'Em 4
    • Fuck Around and Find Out 1
  2. It's happening all over but they'll stay united against "evil libs" no matter what. 

    The CFISD board flip was assisted by the vice president choosing to run against the president for his seat instead of running for her own seat. Why? Because he wasn't hard right enough. 

    The guy who was fired from his job for being racist at a school board meeting wasn't hard right enough for them. 

    In that election she got 34%, he got 21%, sane guy who won got 45%.

    • Like 2
  3. 36 minutes ago, Dark Horse said:

    Extremely pleased and somewhat shocked. I have two boys in CFISD and was seriously considering moving to a different district. 

    Completely understand. My youngest is a senior at Woods and I am planning to get out of Texas as of right now. These results are a pleasant surprise considering that early voting looked a lot like it always does (a bunch of old white people) at my location. I went on Friday afternoon to get the biggest sample I could.

    If I had to bet my life on it I would say this is temporary, of course, but still pleasant.

    Final vote totals were over 62k in these races. They were about 55k in 2023 so turnout was not depressed or anything. I'm assuming that isn't much more growth than population growth rate but haven't checked. Okay, just checked and based on dubious sources (AI search results) it was a 6% higher turnout relative to population than in 2023.

    • Hook 'Em 3
  4. 14 hours ago, Slacks said:

    It's crazy... One of my friends is kind to everyone, and always says, "Just be kind to one another..." Until anything or anyone "alphabet" comes up then he goes nuts on how terrible it is or they are. It makes me wonder what happened to him when he was young. 

    Occasionally he listens when I tell him it has zero impact on him, except mentally because he thinks about it the way he does.

    That friend is gay or at least confused by gay curious thoughts and/or dreams. 

    • Hook 'Em 1
    • Like 1
  5. 49 minutes ago, South Austin said:

    I didn't live in Texas or follow the Longhorns back then.  But a few years ago with nothing else on during a lazy Saturday I had a great time watching that game on Longhorn Network.  I knew how it was going to end, but those last couple of minutes was still exciting to watch.

    Since OP asked for games only through the 2005 season, I'd nominate the 2005 game at Columbus.  A hell of a thrilling game for four quarters, and one that really got a lot of us believing we were going to the title game.

    Also a memorable game because Lee Corso was the color commentator in his first season at ESPN. 

    • Like 1
  6. 22 minutes ago, Dahobbs said:

    Baxter just hasn't been effective this year. He goes down instantly. 

    He's frustrating to watch run. When he approaches a single open field tackler he immediately starts going to the ground in preparation for contact. No effort to avoid or run over the tackler. He immediately gives up on breaking the tackle in any way. 

    I would like to believe it's psychologically related to the injury but he has done it to some extent since he's been here. Someone needs to remind him he's a badass and it's his job to break that tackle. 

  7. As a thought exercise imagine a scenario where a team plays the top 12 (other) teams in the nation for their entire season schedule. Assume all games are decided by exactly a field goal. What should their record have to be to "deserve" to be in the 12-team playoff? Additionally, assume that whatever record you pick, their results match the rankings of the opponents. So if you say 9-3 that means they only lost to the #1, #2, and #3 teams and beat #4-12.

    If you were looking strictly at what power ratings would say and wanting the top 12 teams in the playoff you could make an argument that 2-10 is good enough. Because based on their results the only thing you can guess objectively is they are the #11 team in the nation. They only lost to #1-10 and they beat #11 and #12.

    Obviously that would feel absurd though. But I would absolutely argue for a 6-6 team with that schedule to get into the playoff.

    • Hook 'Em 2
  8. 6 minutes ago, Js1 said:

    If the loss is to GA, we'd have 3 top 10 wins (aggy, OU, vandy) and 2 of our 3 losses would be to top 5-ish teams on the road (Ohio State and Georgia) and the committee would be sending a message that quality OOC opponents matter (as they keep saying) 

    Correct, this is what it comes down to. A lot of people misunderstand what "not punishing a loss to a good non-conference opponent" means. If you're trying to figure out who should be #8-11 (assuming #12 is a G5 champion) in a 12-team playoff, what does a one score loss on the road at the undefeated #1 team in the nation really mean? It means jack shit, a #8-11 team should lose to the #1 team on the road, and if it's a one score game then that means they played like you'd expect a top 10 team to play.

    I mean I'll believe it when I see it but the loss column, which has always been the only thing that mattered in polls, shouldn't be the only thing that matters. If we finish 3-2 in top ten games and have only one subpar loss that is absolutely a top 11 résumé.

    • Hook 'Em 1
  9. 2 hours ago, thunderlounge said:

     

    By your numbers, if they need $10B/yr off 50M subscribers, that works out to about $16/mo/subscriber. 

    In addition to what you'll read in the rest of the thread, I failed to emphasize in that post that they currently have 2 million subscribers, not 50. That was a hyperbolic best case scenario. They would of course get a lot more subscribers if nobody carried them anymore but probably not 50M.

    Even growing by 400% to 10M subscribers means adding current cost to lost revenue offset would require your ESPN app bill to be $110/month almost immediately after they become their own sole source.

    • Hook 'Em 1
    • Rage+1 1
  10. 47 minutes ago, TexArcher said:

     

     

    That works out to $200 per, so I'm guessing the answer is about $275 per?

    I mean, they're not doing this without giving themselves a raise, right?

    Right, and that's only replacing lost revenue. Once they have a captive market then the price hikes to satisfy shareholders really start. Current price plus the above is $55 per month for only ESPN. I don't see any way that if their plan works that they're not at least $100/month within 5 years of being app only. 

    $200/month sounds insane but thinking it stays at 30 is even crazier. 

    • Rage+1 1
  11. 2 minutes ago, Blotto said:

    OK. So I wont be paying $200. Got it

    Right now ESPN gets about $10B per year from carriers. If they are no longer carried anywhere but their app and there are 50 million subscribers, take a wild guess at how much per year that would mean every subscriber has to pay.

    • Hook 'Em 1
  12. Right now Disney gets a shit ton of money from broadcast carriers based on their subscriber base. Once they effectively price out those carriers (which is their stated goal) so that the viewers have to use their app to see their content, where do you think that shit ton of money is going to come from in the future?

    • Hook 'Em 3
    • Rage+1 1
  13. 58 minutes ago, Blotto said:

    1.) So you think I should pay YTTV $90 and get no ESPN? Interesting...

    2.) how the hell do you get to $200?  I can pay Disney $40 for their ESPN Fox1 package ( all espn networks, SEC Network, B10 network, FS1, FS2), I already have Prime, I can buy an over the air antenna for the rare network games. Where does the other $160 come from? 

    Yes, you're right. Once the large corporation sole sources their content they will definitely always keep those prices where they are right now.

    We can explain it to you but we can't understand it for you.

    • Hook 'Em 6
  14. 2 hours ago, Horndog said:

    While I'm not a fan of Jimbo Fisher, I heard him make a very good point a few weeks ago on XM 84. He did that the "analytics" only tell you how often something works, but they don't tell you what happens afterwards if it doesn't work. 

    That may be why he's unemployed because it's wrong. Any decent analytics team now reports on each decision based on net points EV, win probability, or some other end game result for the decision. 

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