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Captain Ron

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Posts posted by Captain Ron

  1. Victoria is calm out there. She’s nails on the buzzer which is what’s giving her the advantage. And she is clearly ultra prepared. She’s who I would pick to win right now.

    Yogesh is a good counter example. He plays with a lot of emotion and a chip on his shoulder. You can see it when he can’t get the buzzer down and he flails around with it. He's smart and prepared, but he can’t get the buzzer in and that’s why he’s not quite there. 
    quick reminder - the buzzer was why he bad mouthed jeopardy in his first run and a lot of people didn’t want him ever to see the stage again, including Holtzhauer. 

  2. 2 hours ago, Parliament said:

    Hallmark Christmas movies.

    You know this is a good example of why AI will fail for a long time. These movies are seen as pure schlock because in most cases they are extremely derivative of prior works. That is all that AI generated films will be, derivative works of likely everything.

    Hallmark films “work” because they use every trope that’s been used before and markets show they work. AI films, in the current models, will be no different. 

  3. 1 hour ago, Neonmoon said:

    “In its current form” is doing a lot of work here 

    Technology gets better. Always has 

    Ok. Fine. Let me be a little clearer.

    AI will not have feeling. We are not even close to that right now.

    All any of these AI's are simply just prediction models. In the text (dialog) versions they simply predict what the next word in a sentence should be. In the picture ones they "know" what you asked for and they use that to predict their next pixel and reiterate until they generate what you asked for. Video is the same thing on a larger level.

    But these AIs have no models of what anything is. They simply know concepts because they are told what they are. Someone feeds this picture into Dall-E with the tag LOVE:

    image.thumb.png.29111fa2bf69f51f6f659cf1df3f400d.png

    AI doesn't know why that's love. Just that two people sitting face to face on a couch = LOVE.

    That can also be:

    Woman touching man's hair = LOVE

    or  Leather Couch in a white room = LOVE

    or Blue fingernails = LOVE

    hell it might read this like Woman assaulting man with a headbutt = LOVE

    Our current and very limited AIs have no idea what LOVE is. And this goes with all feelings. They have no models of them: sadness, uncomfortableness, creepiness, etc.

    Here's a scene anyone on this site gets:

     

    Why? Because the writing is top notch. Someone writing this said : Ok, we're going to have this scene where Tommy is telling stories and making everyone laugh and Henry is going to say something about how great the story is because it's funny and for KICKS Tommy is going to change his tone pretend to be offended and make everyone uncomfortable until Henry calls him on it.

    You can tell a prompt - make a scene LIKE this.

    Hey Video Maker AI: Generate a scene like the "Am I a clown?" scene in goodfellas.

    But you can't feed my prompt into it and get anything original that is a fraction of the emotional response that this scene gets from you. Why? Because an AI doesn't know how to make you uncomfortable. Hell, and AI can't generate an original joke to even open up this scene. 

     

     

    So I might be letting something sit on "In its current form" to do some heavy lifting - because I know pretty well what the current form of this AI is really doing. And it has ZERO concept of what reality is. It just knows:

    some input = TAGS that people put on that input and it runs from there. Those inputs might be 1,000,000,000 pictures or books or videos, but it's simple association. And that is a far cry from being able to come up with anything like this:

     

     

    Ok, it might understand that K's are funny, but only if someone add that as a tag on jokes that include hard K sounds.

     

    But again going back to the start of this - 

    AI will not have feeling. We aren't even close to that right now.

    I'm not even sure we are in the same galaxy for AI to be able to generate something original with feeling.

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  4. 12 minutes ago, Speedtrucker said:


    Sure, I mean just like every Chelsea fan can recite the Barca game, arsenal fans remember Van Persie getting sent off for a weak yellow in a semi. We all view the games through some tinted color.

    I concede that the ref screwed up by blowing the whistle. I haven’t heard a single pundit say that wasnt offside. But I admit I stick to American/spanish soccer sites more than German or even Brits.

    I’ve been on my normal soccer sites enjoying the Barca tears though.
     

     Watch the video - then you have. 

  5. 2 hours ago, Neonmoon said:

    Yes, that sucks. AI movies suck…now

    The same with current robots. They suck…now 

    Computers in the 60s sucked. Hell they sucked in the 90s. 
     

    They will get better. 

    AI in its current form will never understand humor or sadness or drama or any emotion. It knows what WAS those things, because of key words/tagging. But it doesn’t understand the feelings elicited from something.

    I really question that it will ever be able to churn out a truly original script of any quality. 

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  6. 3 hours ago, Speedtrucker said:


    It’s a deliberate play on the ball, as per the rules in that build up he calls for it, he makes 4-5 strides for the ball in the air. Rudiger sees him running and then dropping into space where Rudiger then stops and changes direction with him and begins to cover him. If he stops when the ball goes up, rudi stays with Maz.

    That’s deliberate play on the ball from an offside position.

    If he had stopped when the cross was made and then the header back to muller and then to him. It’s good.

    But it is what it is.

    image.thumb.jpeg.dd3441aca4f880ff6bcb98e27cc4a49c.jpeg

  7. 1 hour ago, Speedtrucker said:

    Correct outcome, bad job by the AR and ref there.

    Deligt looked offside by his head, shoulder and leg. He didn’t stop playing, he continued his run and then dropped into a pocket waiting on a pass. That’s offsides. If he stops and stands there as that early cross came in, more argument could be made.

    In the end, that shoulda been allowed to play out half the Madrid defenders wouldn’t have quit on the whistle and if it still was scored VAR is allowed to do its job post-goal. Just like Joselu’s first goal.

    Also I didn’t comment yesterday but the subs both Manc and Bayern made at the end of both matchups have been head scratching. Madrid subs more def and attack even when trailing but both were content to remove all attack and try and sit on narrow leads against Madrid in a knockout game in champions league.

    No it isn't. Offsides is determined in phases of play on the ball.

    The initial pass was played to Mazraoui - he was onsides. Once that play is defended - a deliberate action on the ball, a new phase begins and de Ligt is onside the rest of the time.

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  8. 11 minutes ago, PittsburghTiger said:

    What a kick in the balls that was. A couple thoughts.

    Soccer can be so cruel, and exhilarating at the same time. Neuer was outstanding, and then he wasn’t. If he catches that ball and falls to the ground and wastes about a minute that game is probably much different. The strange bounce made it hit him differently than normal. Pete, the German cousin’s boy who played D1 goalie, and I said the same thing to each other at the same time as the bounce. The defender also did not do a good job as he let the Madrid player get to the rebound.

    Dier sits up when he thinks Neuer has it and Joselu kept playing through. That split second was enough and when Joselu saw the ball, he went at it and scored. 49 out of 50 times the defense makes the play (think the attacker 5 yards down field while the defender is heading the ball away harmlessly) and you wonder "Why is that player going for a ball that the defense so obviously has?" And it's because that one time, the defense doesn't make the play and the result.

     

    11 minutes ago, PittsburghTiger said:

    The offside call, I don’t know what I think other than they should have let it play out and that is the reason there is VAR. It was used to confirm the Madrid goal and I think the review should have been used for Bayern. I’m not sure if that arm by the Madrid player counts as his body being in line with the Bayern player.

    In the VAR era - that call CANNOT be made.

    There was a play much earlier in the game, I think it was a Modric pass to Vini, where Vini was so offsides there was a gap between him and the defender - and that play was let go. This call was tighter.

    And when you see the replays - appears to be wrong (spoilered because the screen shots are large):

    Spoiler

    40 - Mazraoui
    4 - de Ligt

    Before the VAR review line, so you can see the players

    ScreenShot2024-05-09at9_36_04AM.thumb.png.5ba6ec62b294a52031da6abb4c82657a.png

    And then with the line that determines, Mazraoui is completely onside

    ScreenShot2024-05-09at9_36_07AM.thumb.png.9c7b5fcc550839659472eeac5605c428.png

    The ball goes toward Mazraoui and Mendy heads it away (23).

    I will say - that goal may or may not have happened because the Madrid defenders sit up once the whistle goes and that's why de Ligt scores. But that play cannot be stopped there and it should have been played on.

    But I agree, Bayern blew it. The decisions by Tuchel blew that game. Kill them until they are dead. No half measures. Instead ...

     

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  9. 2 hours ago, Francisco 2.0 said:

    https://arstechnica.com/cars/2024/05/teslas-self-driving-claims-subject-to-federal-securities-and-wire-fraud-probe/

     

     

     

     

      Reveal hidden contents

    Federal prosecutors first became interested in "whether Tesla misled consumers, investors, and regulators by making unsupported claims about its driver assistance technology's capabilities" in 2022. Critics have regularly pointed out that even the name "Autopilot" is misleading, and there have been multiple instances of Musk demonstrating the system on camera without keeping his hands on the steering wheel, despite other Tesla literature that states drivers must do so at all times.

    The CEO has also regularly claimed that Tesla is far ahead of the rest of the industry in autonomous driving technology, issuing deadlines for full autonomy that, like most of Musk's deadlines, have come and gone without delivering the product.

    Yet a wrongful death lawsuit—settled out of court by Tesla in April, thereby avoiding a trial—revealed that a widely viewed Autopilot demonstration in 2016 was not only staged but that this deception was overseen by Musk himself, who wrote in an email, "I will be telling the world that this is what the car *will* be able to do, not that it can do this upon receipt."

    In fact, the video never makes this clear at all. Instead, it opens with white text on a black background that tells the viewer, "The person in the driver's seat is only there for legal reasons. He is not doing anything. The car is driving itself."

    Claims by Tesla that its Autosteer function reduced crashes by 40 percent—a stat uncritically touted by NHTSA for several years—fell apart in 2019 when an independent review found that the data actually showed that Autosteer increased crash rates by 59 percent.

    Last year, a whistleblower leaked a trove of Tesla documents to the German publication Handlesblatt, which revealed, among other things, that Tesla maintained a team to divert customer complaints, particularly about its driver assists. The team had instructions to only communicate with customers about problems verbally instead of leaving a paper trail. The whistleblower has since said he leaked the documents because he saw "serious lapses" in Autopilot safety.

    Both Autopilot and FSD have been subject to massive recalls, most recently in December 2023, when Tesla had to recall more than 2 million cars to fix a number of flaws highlighted by NHTSA. But the regulator is not satisfied with that most recent recall and has demanded answers from Tesla about the cars it was applied to and the decision-making that occurred leading up to the recall.

    “Balls to the wall”

    However, the partially automated driving systems remain critically important to Tesla, particularly FSD. In April, the company dropped the price of this controversial option by $4,000, and Musk recently told his followers that "[g]oing balls to the wall for autonomy is a blindingly obvious move." As Tesla's profit margins and sales shrink, the revenue brought in by FSD is becoming increasingly important to the company's bottom line, even though not all of it can be recognized currently.

    There is no guarantee that prosecutors will charge Tesla with fraud. Neither "puffery" nor "corporate optimism" counts as fraud, according to US courts, and the DOJ would need to prove that Tesla knew its claims were untrue. As we saw last year, relying on Musk's social media posts probably won't work, but the prosecutors have subpoenaed what Reuters described as "voluminous documents" from the automaker.

    Although Tesla has no press office to call for comment, in its recently released 10-Q, it stated that "[t]o our knowledge, no government agency in any ongoing investigation has concluded that any wrongdoing occurred."

     

    image.png.bbb7d5df97948d9b559299bc139a5966.png

     

    Quite the fitting image for any Tesla article since every Elon fanboi wants ....

    Xn9Y2aO.gif.10f694bab753cb5f9d5305626ef340cd.gif

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  10. On 5/1/2024 at 6:00 PM, Captain Ron said:

    Dortmund’s win secured the 5th slot for Germany in next year’s Champions League. That means Italy and Germany: 5 slots England: 4

    Oh man, this is wild - so it turns out that Germany could get SIX teams in the Champions League Next year.

    IF ...

    Dortmund has to win the Champions League - then they would get the Champions Spot.

    But they would also need to finish 5th (and only 5th for some reason) - that would boost the 6th place German team into the 5th Germany UCL spot - If Dortmund finishes 4th or better, this rule does not apply.

    They noted, that because of the 5th place oddity, Eintracht Frankfurt might want to lose their last game to Leipzig, to help them maintain 4th place in the league. It's weird.

  11. 20 hours ago, HenryJames said:

    https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2024/05/i-read-everything-elon-musk-posted-for-a-week-send-help/
     

      Reveal hidden contents

    I Read Everything Elon Musk Posted for a Week. Send Help.

    If your media diet looked like his, you’d be red-pilled too.

    A photo illustration of Elon Musk surrounded by screenshots of his tweets and laughing/crying emojis.

    Mother Jones illustration; Michel Euler/AP

    Fight disinformation: Sign up for the free Mother Jones Daily newsletter and follow the news that matters.

    Last January, not long after agreeing with an actual Nazi that western Jews have brought antisemitism upon themselves by welcoming “hordes of minorities” to their countries, Elon Musk took a quick trip to Poland. The billionaire chief of SpaceX, Tesla, and X laid a wreath at Auschwitz and then preceded on to a symposium in Krakow, where he told the conservative commentator Ben Shapiro that social media could have averted the Holocaust and bragged that he considered himself “aspirationally Jewish.” The tweet, he explained in a different interview, at a different symposium “might be literally the worst and dumbest post I’ve ever done.” But he did not take it down, nor has he moderated his views. If anything his descent into the online fever swamp has only accelerated.

    It is hard to appreciate just how thoroughly one of the world’s richest men has been red-pilled until you actually follow along with his media diet. So that’s what I decided to do. Last month, I read everything Musk had to say on X for a week and tracked everyone he interacted with. He tweeted 389 times in five days. He posted the laughing/crying emoji 45 times. But there was a clear signal piercing through the noise. Musk is not a tech visionary with a side interest in politics these days, nor is he just another bored billionaire with a nativist streak; the political activism and the technological ambitions are inseparable. He believes his work is part of a civilizational struggle in which woke progressives pose an existential threat to humanity. And he spends most of his days inside a feedback loop that’s radicalizing him even more.

    Over the course of the week, Musk dabbled in a range of small-scale freakouts and smoldering obsessions. He sent 13 tweets about Brazil’s supreme court, as part of a weeks-long battle with the government over efforts to censor disinformation and hate speech. He twice promoted a statistic about the murder rate among Black Americans. He spent one afternoon earnestly amplifying a follower who claimed that “Over 1,000 African migrants have taken over NYC’s City Hall.” (It was an overflow crowd for a hearing on racial disparities in the shelter system.) But one subject came to drown out all the rest. During the week Tesla recalled its CyberTruck for a faulty accelerator pedal, Musk’s most urgent public concern was Katherine Maher.

    Musk tweeted about Maher, the CEO of National Public Radio who formerly served as executive director of the Wikimedia Foundation, nearly 60 times. It began relatively simply, with Musk lamenting the resignation of Uri Berliner, a former NPR staffer who wrote a critical essay about what he considered the media outlet’s leftward drift. Then Manhattan Institute fellow Chris Rufo—the conservative strategist who helped orchestarate the backlash to Critical Race Theory—began dredging up old comments from Maher, in which she talked about correcting for white historical biases at Wikipedia and pushing back against disinformation at NPR. “Katherine Maher is blatantly racist and sexist – one of the worst human beings in America,” Musk tweeted at Rufo. “She’s evil,” he tweeted again, one minute later.

    Rufo and the Canadian behavioral marketing guru Gad Saad are two of Musk’s favorite sounding boards when it comes to wokeness. From Rufo, Musk learns what he should be mad about—clips of Maher speaking to the Atlantic Council, clips of Maher delivering a Ted Talk, screenshots of Maher’s old tweets. From Saad, he gets a more holistic intellectual framework for being mad. Musk is obsessed with the idea that a “woke mind virus” is infecting society. Saad happens to be the author of a book called The Parasitic Mind, which Musk has said gave him “nightmares.” In March, a few months after Saad tweeted at Musk to ask him to promote the book, they held a glitchy 38-minute public discussion on X Spaces. The billionaire has continued to plug the book—including three different times in the week I tuned in.

    If you only pay glancing attention to Musk, it’s tough to fully grasp both the intensity and shallowness of his conservative convictions. I knew that he previously said that the rise of Artificial Intelligence could bring about “civilizational destruction,” but I had, in my ignorance, assumed that this fear stemmed from a simple Matrix-style kind of doomism: Machines will grow sentient and enslave us. The reality, which became clear as Musk’s fixation with Maher progressed, was a bit darker: He believes AI will destroy the world with wokeness.

    It was a “severe civilization-level risk,” Musk wrote in a late-night exchange with the billionaire venture-capitalist Marc Andreesen. (Andreesen’s own spiraling antipathy toward progressive buzzwords like “sustainability” and “social responsibility” has made him a leading proponent of Effective Accelerationism—sort of the anti-woke mind virus.)

    “Now imagine if this is programmed, explicitly or implicitly, into super powerful AI – it could end civilization,” he said in response to a Rufo tweet about Maher’s TED Talk, in which she discusses how Wikipedia moderators think about truth when it comes to thorny subjects like religion. “Now, no need to imagine. It is already programmed into Google Gemini and OpenAI ChatGPT.”

    Musk returned to the theme of civilization-destroying woke AI throughout the week. “Imagine if instead of merely rendering forced ‘diverse’ images,” he said in reply to a follower with the handle DogeDesigner, “it decided to make that true in reality, potentially killing millions of people to achieve diversity goals.”

    Imagine! With those stakes, everything fits in this heroic or apocalyptic dichotomy.

    “[T]he West…wishes to be eaten alive and to have its children sacrificed because then death could be the ultimate expression of its progressive purity,” Saad wrote toward the beginning of the week.

    “Suicidal empathy for the L,” Musk agreed.

    All of this might sound familiar. That’s because it’s a facet of the same complaint that led to his remedial education at Auschwitz last year, stripped of the most obvious antisemitic signifiers: Woke progressives are opening the doors to the forces that will destroy us all: Falling birth rates, gender ideology, flag-burning immigrants, socially-conscious AI. There was a basic fallacy in expecting a tour about the horrors of genocide to soften the views of someone currently worried about “white genocide” and civil war, and who believes the ideology of his critics could lead to millions of deaths.

    Musk described the current state of his red-pilling, and how all-encompassing it is, most succinctly in a response to Rufo about a five-year-old tweet from Maher about feeling “deep discomfort” about having children.

    “Once you see that the true battle is expansionists vs extinctionists,” he wrote, “you can’t unsee it.”

    And once you see that Musk truly can’t see anything else, you can’t unsee that. Still, there are some things Musk doeswant AI to kill off. The emerging tech is a boon to Musk not just because of what it promises for his companies, but because of what he hopes it can replace. “Legacy media simply can’t compete with hundreds of millions of humans providing real-time, AI-assisted, interactive information,” he boasted, responding to a chart from DogeDesigner showing declining traffic at major news sites. Musk is doing his part. His feed looks like a newsroom after private equity came to town—one of the only articles from a legacy media outlet he shared all week was a New York Post story about X’s advertising situation, and the only reporter from a legacy news outlet he interacted with was Bill Melugin, Fox News’ man on the border.  

    Musk touts his platform as the future of news even as he uses it to spread misinformation. Not long after taking over the platform, he shared—and later deleted—a report from a notorious fake-news site that falsely asserted that Nancy’s Pelosi’s husband, Paul, had not been brutally attacked by a home invader and instead had gotten in a fight with a male prostitute. Communicating in emojis and exclamation marks makes it harder to commit factual errors, but he still made some. Musk twice expressed his alarm at a too-good-to-check story about a non-profit that works with migrants in Mexico handing out flyers asking them to vote for Joe Biden when they get to the United States. The non-profit said it had nothing to do with the flyers, and the text appeared to have been crudely translated using an online app. The allegation, which originated with a right-wing site called Muckraker.com, was amplified by the Heritage Foundation and found its way to Musk by way of both the Heritage Foundation and Nate Hochman, a Republican writer and activist who was fired from Ron DeSantis’ presidential campaign after featuring a Nazi symbol in a campaign video. It may seem like a small thing, but there’s no such thing when it comes to truth—I’m told the future of civilization hangs in the balance.

    A lot of his time is just spent saying the same grim things, to the same grim people, over and over. He has the mannerism not of a master of the universe, but of the reply guys clamoring for their attention. Musk tweeted “DefundNPR” at Rufo three times in two days, like a man at a ballpark by himself, trying to start the wave. He will sometimes respond to the same post multiple times, hours apart with a slightly different reaction. One of the big stories last week in Musk’s circle was a report from the popular account End Wokeness that the actress Naomi Watts has a daughter who is trans.

    “Funny how so many progressive actors have children who are transgender,” Gad Saad wrote.

    “Terrible,” Musk said.

    “‘A ‘trans’ child is the ultimate Hollywood virtue signal, meaning EXTRA approval. Two is even better. 3 is god mode,” said a finance influencer and self-described Tesla shareholder, a few hours later.

    “Yup,” said Musk.

    It is hard to overstate that this is just what one of the most powerful men in the world does all day. It is the media diet of one of those influencers who only eats organ meat. At least Howard Hughes kept out of sight. But even amidst this right-wing emoji-storm, there were still occasional glimpses of the Musk who, until fairly recently, enjoyed a less polarizing reputation as a billionaire who built cool stuff. He does talk a lot about SpaceX, although those interstellar ambitions take on a different light when you realize his quest is now part of a civilization struggle against pronouns. If you catch him at the right moment, you can still find Musk sharing math jokes, politely engaging with people with product complaints, and offering unsolicited medical advice. “If you’re experiencing severe neck/back pain, I recommend looking into a disc replacement,” he suggested. I don’t know if that’s good advice or not, but I do at least get where he’s coming from. 

    Once, in the course of 389 tweets, the father of 11 even talked about what it’s like to be a parent.

    “Whoa, I just realized that raising a kid is basically 18 years of prompt engineering 🤯,” he wrote.

    “Our first child will be born next month – what’s your biggest piece of advice?” a former Tesla employee asked in response.

    It was right there for him on a platter—a chance to be normal. What would it be: Treasure every moment? Stock up on wipes?

    “Be super careful about what schools teach your kids,” Musk replied.

    Never mind.

     

    About what I expected. A bunch of vapid generalities that fit into a US vs THEM dichotomy.

     

  12. 18 minutes ago, Captain Ron said:

    Hey look the lifelong RM fans show up only when they lead/win. Speed should be here anytime now. 

    Btw - this isn’t about being RM fans, this is about never posting here until the closing moments of wins. 

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