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Larry T. Spider

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Everything posted by Larry T. Spider

  1. Based on what I’m seeing here in Wilco, I’m going to predict a Biden victory for the county. I will also predict that he beats Betos margin of victory of 2.8%. This area took a hard left turn after 2016 and isn’t going to look back. Lots of Austin type voters up here now that are college educated and can afford a 450k house but not a 900k one in Austin.
  2. Obviously a decline was expected. Is this concerning or about the rate you expected?
  3. Don’t underestimate the last minute comey surprise in 2016. You won’t see something like that this year, and even if you did, all the Dems will have already voted early or by mail.
  4. Would 400k from today through Saturday be a reasonable goal for Harris?
  5. Yeah, I have the same wondering about overall turnout. Are we going to see the same turnout over a longer period of time or does more days = more voters? Obviously we could see higher turnout because of trump so it’s impossible to isolate the variable, but it’s still interesting.
  6. Talked to a very anti politics friend yesterday who hadn’t voted in 20 years. Last week he voted for Biden. Nothing down ballot, just placed one vote and walked out. Really wondering if all of these anecdotes will add up to something monumental. I have yet to hear about a HRC voter flipping to trump.
  7. I used to work with a lot of Vietnamese families. Many have a very idealized view of America and are very patriotic. A lot of the GOP propaganda and flag waving resonates with them. Same with the bootstrap mentality because so many of them came from nothing and managed to scratch out a middle class life. Social justice, lgbtq issues and other dem platform issues just weren’t that important to them. What are we thinking for Harris county turnout M-F this week? Any more days over 100k or is it going to dwindle some?
  8. Bucy. I’m just east of Avery Ranch.
  9. I got the distinct impression those people were there for the same reason I was. Vote this motherfucker out. It was also about 60-40 women. I don’t know if we will get over the hump statewide, but I think it will be close enough to call Texas purple from now on and it will achieve battleground status. The makeup of the legislature, specifically the house, could very well change this time.
  10. I live in Wilco and it feels like Biden will win the county to me. My part of Wilco was almost exactly 50/50 in 2016 and I can almost assure you that Biden will win my hood this time. Things are changing fast here. My state rep is a first term dem and he has done a ton of voter engagement work. Voted after work yesterday and the line was diverse and educated.
  11. Was surprised to see that HRC only won bexar county by 13% in 2016. That is a real opportunity for improvement this time in terms of total votes and the actual margin. I assume that as turnout goes up, the margin will as well. Just need a full force effort to get San Antonio to the polls the same way Houston is.
  12. That’s awesome. Anybody have similar stats for other major counties?
  13. None of that 22.4% show up in a lot of the likely voter polls.
  14. Ultimately it’s a good night for Biden. Not a single voter changed their mind and that’s a good thing when you are up 10 points.
  15. She should have gone after the rose garden event
  16. Not me. He should rot in jail.
  17. Wallace has an impossible job Wallace asks Biden a question Biden says two words Trump interrupts Wallace tries to stop him Trump keeps going Wallace tries again Trump argues with Wallace Wallace Trump Wallace Trump And Biden’s two minutes are now up. Either be able to cut trumps mic or cancel the rest of the debates.
  18. Even though we are doing zoom meetings, we are on an asynchronous model because it gives us much more flexibility. This means that zoom meetings can’t be required for attendance or grades and those aspects are all done through blend. If a kid turns in all of their stuff on Monday, it’s hard to count attendance the rest of the week if there isn’t any more engagement. We are being way more flexible than that but I can see why schools would want to do it that way. I have straight up told a family to go into blend and click some things each day because the district is able to track that. The state created a bullshit game so I’m fine with playing along. District attendance was down about 5,000 during the first week so it’s going to be rough.
  19. Started reading this thread from page 1 and run across this. Fuck man...
  20. Survived week 1. No major meltdowns. Parents needed a decent bit of tech help on day 1 but it was almost nothing by Thursday. Slow roll out of hotspots from the district is my only complaint. We got this. We start letting some classes in the building early next month if we can keep the Covid numbers down. Don’t fuck this up!
  21. My dad worked for dps forever. The lege tried to merge them at one point and dps basically told them that the clowns were unwanted and that they had no interest in managing them.
  22. It’s a local guy but there’s a website. Major sites like Bovada have this but trending towards trump. biden -120 trump even
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