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horncyclist

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Everything posted by horncyclist

  1. That poll is bonkers. Hers the backup for the Shaggy poll nerds. I'm sure their methodology is fucked. But makes you wish for the total Trump implosion where you have results like that. How glorious it would be. https://github.com/GetCitizenData/VoteByMail/blob/master/VoteByMail-Texas/Modeling/October/Texas VBM Toplines 10_23_20.pdf
  2. "Terrible planning, not Trump's fault" might sum up his whole presidency. On the same subject:
  3. Exactly. The lack of a national education campaign on simple shit we could all be doing to get this under control is infuriating. We do not have to be where we are now.
  4. Yep. Trump probably believes the fake polls he's shown to make him feel happy. And then relies on them to direct the campaign. No one's brave enough to tell them they're fake. More likely, the campaign's about broke and they have to take toss up states for granted to have spend to make up ground in states where they're farther behind like PA. Make no mistake, all signs point to Trump losing.
  5. Control of the Senate could be at stake. If so, get ready for a $100 million runoff.
  6. Anyone know what WI's ballot instructions say on when to mail. If it's "Must be returned by election day, so mail at least 3 days before election" and then first class mail just happens to slow down after Supreme court said late ballots won't count, that sounds like a way to steal a state to me. We should be outraged already.
  7. Nice way to think about Trump's chances. Need to keep working til he's gone. We can't control what the Supreme Court will do but we can vote and get others to vote.
  8. From article above on Bloomberg's spending: Howard Wolfson, one of Mr. Bloomberg’s closest aides, said the former mayor had recently asked his team to run a round of polls to see whether Mr. Trump had unexpected vulnerabilities that could be exploited in the campaign’s closing weeks. Up to this point, Mr. Bloomberg’s general-election activities have focused on Florida, where he has pledged to spend $100 million supporting Mr. Biden. The Bloomberg team conducted polling in a number of states over the weekend and came away convinced that Texas and Ohio represented its best targets — narrowly divided electoral prizes where the war for television airtime is not already cluttered with heavy advertising on either side. The team presented Mr. Bloomberg with the numbers on Monday morning and he gave the go-ahead. Texas being called for Biden on election night to put him over the top would feel so fucking good.
  9. Quality NYTimes/Sienna poll of Texas coming out at 1 PM ET. Had Trump up 3, 46-43 back in September. Will be interesting if it's tied with other recent polls. That Kamala's making a trip probably means their internals show it within reach too.
  10. They sampled 95 white voters but only 93 people in the total poll? Where are the missing white voters? Poll was clearly rigged for Biden.
  11. Obama also let the common cold spread, infecting millions. If the common cold were as deadly as Ebola, we'd all be dead. These guys are morons.
  12. Biden killed it last night. He had detailed and responsive answers to everything and really drew contrasts with Trump, in style and substance. He also seemed much sharper and less old than in the debate. It was the first time for me I could really see a President Biden and look forward to it, versus just wanting to be done with Trump. Trump seemed to hurt himself less but he didn't help himself either. That's not going to do it.
  13. Part of the increase is due to getting closer to election day eliminating uncertainty. Nate tweeted a bit ago that if it were election day with the polls the same, it'd be 90% Biden. But even 10% of 4 more years of Trump is too much.
  14. It's over a quarter so he's already spent a lot of it. But with Lindsey in the spotlight over the next few days, he'll likely have a lot more to spend. Really hope he pulls it out but def has echos of Beto. Though on that note, I still think Beto could have pulled it out if he went hard negative in the last few weeks. Harrison isn't holding back.
  15. Just did a search. He's still in the hospital with no updates. That doesn't seem to bode well for him.
  16. It seems like with the number infected someone will die.
  17. Don't worry, Trump will be well enough to toss some paper towels by then.
  18. Lincoln project dropped a million too. I really want him to win Texas because we could potentially know Trump is gone on election night. What a relief that would be and moots Trump's questioning the legitimacy of the election with all in person voting.
  19. Kind of like the virus will be gone by Easter. Monday came from Trump.
  20. Because if you put yourself at risk one time and don't get it, you have herd mentality and can't get it subsequently. Medical fact.
  21. Could it be that he got Dexamethasone which lets him be up and around but he still has a serious case?
  22. George Conway had tweeted this was inaccurate and they were still awaiting results. But I can't find it now so maybe Claudia got hers first? Also, continues to blow my mind George and Kelly Anne continue to live together.
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