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MuellerHorn

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Posts posted by MuellerHorn

  1. 30 minutes ago, chase25 said:

    It often doesn’t matter. Having to worry about playing one less game and getting an opportunity to rest some of the arms that have carried this team would be a win/win

    Sweep Kansas and it probably won’t matter. 

    But as @WBT pointed out, I bet they send Texas to Arky or Aggy regardless. 

  2. I butchered point 6 trying to edit before the window closed:

    6. Predicted RPI for Texas is 40th (35-20, 20-10). This means it thinks we sweep KU. However, all the above applies. It's likely that Texas will be viewed as a team somewhere in the 17-24 range, which would help us miss a top-8 seed. Even if this is not the case, maybe we get a favorable matchup.

    Caveats:

    1. A bad collapse against KU and then in the conference tourney.

    2. The NCAA's potential insatiable desire (fuckery afoot) to send Texas to College Station or Fayetteville regardless of any metrics.

  3. 1 hour ago, BigOrange1 said:

    i'd think with a series win over ku and a win or two in arlington we'd have done more than enough to be a 2 seed in a favorable regional (ie, not one of the top 8 national seeds).

    Agreed. Here are some reasons:

    1. There a few teams ranked ahead of Texas in the RPI that may not even make the tourney; there are even more that won't secure a higher/more advantageous seed/draw based on the totality of their résumé.
    2. Texas' (current) 12 Q1 wins are tied for third-most in the country, behind Kentucky and Tennessee. While the Q4 losses will keep Texas from hosting, the Q1 wins should help with the draw. These Q1 wins will help Texas' KPI rating, while the Q4 losses will hurt it a lot in comparison to other P5 teams. This is the wildcard here. Mid-majors generally have lower KPIs than RPIs, so Texas' Q1 wins should help here still. 
    3. Texas' conference and non-con SOS are currently top-30. Many similar RPI teams have much worse rankings here. 
    4. Texas is likely to finish third or fourth in the third-best RPI conference. If third, OU and OSU are likely hosts.
    5. Texas has played much better to end the regualr season against good competition. While I know this isn't supposed to affect seeding, I still think it does to an extent.
    6. Predicted RPI for Texas is 40th (35-20, 20-10). This means it thinks we sweep KU. However, all the above applies. It's liekly that Texas will be viewed as a team somewhere in the 17-24, which would help us miss at top-8 seed.

    RPI: https://www.warrennolan.com/baseball/2024/rpi-live

    Conference Standings & RPI: https://www.warrennolan.com/baseball/2024/conference/Big-12

    Conference Comparison: https://www.warrennolan.com/baseball/2024/rpi-conference

    Predicted RPI: https://www.warrennolan.com/baseball/2024/rpi-predict

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  4. 7 hours ago, Hornlover said:

    PXL_20240511_233253899.thumb.jpg.f1a73023a633f177f37cee701e38af9f.jpg

     

    This can't be him, can it? No way he's dumb enough to drive a red pickup truck, right?

    (Also, was not in front of a Golden Corral). 

    Was the left side of the truck sagging towards the ground from a bone-weary suspension system? If so, you got it.

    • Haha 1
  5. 34 minutes ago, Balcones said:

    I think we have a chance at hosting. Win out and win the Big 12.  Win few games in the Big 12 tourney. We’ll host IMO. 
     

    We only have 5 games left. 

     

    22 minutes ago, TrashMaster G said:

    Nope. Zero chance. Not happening.

    Stop kidding yourself.

     

    13 minutes ago, Hookem2147 said:

    Nope. We are lucky to even be making the tournament with 8 Q4 losses. That is an insane amount. Every team in position to host has no more than 2 or 3.

    No chance. Three games behind OU with five remaining. 

    Texas could win out and win the conference tournament and still wouldn’t host. Even with something like that, the Q4 losses prevent Texas from being a top-20 RPI team. 

  6. 1 hour ago, torre said:

    PROBABLE PITCHING MATCHUPS
    FRIDAY–Texas RHP Max Grubbs (4-4, 3.70) vs. UCF RHP Ben Vespi (3-2, 4.45)
    SATURDAY–Texas LHP Ace Whitehead (4-0, 3.73) vs. UCF RHP Dom Stagliano (2-3, 4.07)
    SUNDAY–Texas RHP Lebarron Johnson Jr. (2-4, 5.82) vs. UCF TBA

    UCF's park is 320' down the lines,  390' to center, 360' to both alleys.    Only David Pierce could have designed a field that small.

    Texas returned to the Baseball America rankings at No. 25 this week and has four more conference wins than the Knights, but UCF holds a much higher RPI than Texas at 32.

    That simply means any win against UCF, especially on the road, will help Texas improve its rating and presumably its NCAA tournament seeding.

    Given Texas' ability to hit home runs, combined with how many FOs they have at the Disch, and the UCF starting staff's ERAs, I feel like Texas should score plenty of runs to win games. UCF being first in overall ERA must mean their bullpen/the composite staff must be pretty consistent.

    A road series win, especially a sweep, would do wonders for Texas' RPI. Granted, there's probably diminishing marginal returns since UCF is only 18 spots ahead. Nevertheless, win the series and it'll be massive for RPI.

  7. 3 minutes ago, NeverMarryAStripper said:

    So what happens if a fly ball travels over the corner jutting out in left field and lands in the square part of center field?  Is it a home run because it went over the fence, or is it still in play?

    They fence it off for both softball and baseball. That's the softball side. I assume that doesn't happen because the softball fences are closer in. The baseball side looks more predictable based on this video:

     

  8. OT to 2024, but historical transfer "news" nonetheless.

    On this morning's "OTF Today," Gerry and Bobby were discussing QB recruiting and heights of 6 feet and under regarding KJ Lacey vs. Keelon Russell and that height lends to higher ceilings. Gerry then went on to say that Russell Wilson didn't want to go to Wisconsin and that he wanted to attend Texas, but Mack passed him over because of his height. This was something I wasn't aware of.

  9. 3 hours ago, Herpa Derpa said:

    Indiana State athletic department having themselves quite the year.

    Maybe this time they won't fuck up getting to host.

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  10. 4 hours ago, chase25 said:

    We are due for a regional like this and I wouldn't mind it. Obviously there are much easier regional matchups but this would be a fun one

    I would mind it. We don't match up well with Pig's pitching.

  11. 19 minutes ago, Ricky's one-hitter said:

    That's not very nice to Moore. Merrill is the trade equivalent of a bad contract 

    For the current football roster; not for the long-term financial health of the football team/AD (apparently). Granted, I'm pretty sure MM never gets offered if he were a c/o 25 recruit.

    8 minutes ago, bEastTexas said:

    There are no others buddy lol those 4 guys are our only interior DL takes the for the 22 and 23 classes. You think people were happy with landing 2 mid 4*, 1 borderline 4* and a 3* over 2 classes? Maybe you weren’t paying attention but it’s been heavily discussed here the last 12+ months. 

    Yep, this. We've lamented the fact that Davis hasn't generally brought in high four-star or five-star players. We've also been generally happy with his development at the position. Recruiting has always been his issue at Texas. 

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