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MuellerHorn

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Everything posted by MuellerHorn

  1. I surmise your alternatives are spot on. My bet is it's a rather low scoring game, a la OSU @ ND last season. ND should have a solid, well-coached defense. I don't think A&M's new offense will be primed to match up well. The wild card is ND's offense against Elko's defense.
  2. He’s from Fontana, CA, so he’s used to hot weather in the summer. However, this will still be a different type of summer hot. You’re right, though. It’ll be extreme compared to Corvallis.
  3. Which is funny, because they're (39) currently one spot ahead of Texas (40) in the RPI. Damn all those Q4 losses
  4. And that’s why you don’t go to Lummus and give up the two early runs.
  5. If Toppin stays in the draft, Texas is really in some front court trouble.
  6. I.e., the value of what in many other years is the 19th overall pick? It'll be interesting to see in five years where this draft class actually ranks since, say, 2000. I know, right now, it's looked at as holistically deficient.
  7. X-posting myself from the game thread: IP by season. Ace: 2023: 26.1 2024: 54.2 Max: 2023: 8.2 2024: 64.0 That's a large difference for Ace (especially pitching through a nagging injury) and a massive increase for Max. Texas is in the postseason regardless of what happens at this point; and has no shot to host. So, it makes sense for Pierce to give Ace a "rest", limit Max, and see if Hurley can work his way back as a realistic starting option for the postseason. For Texas to do anything positive in the NCAA Tournament, pitching must step the fuck up. Hold onto your butts, friends.
  8. IP by season. Ace: 2023: 26.1 2024: 54.2 Max: 2023: 8.2 2024: 64.0 That's a large difference for Ace (especially pitching through a nagging injury) and a massive increase for Max. Texas is in the postseason regardless of what happens at this point; and has no shot to host. So, it makes sense for Pierce to give Ace a "rest", limit Max, and see if Hurley can work his way back as a realistic starting option for the postseason. For Texas to do anything positive in the NCAA Tournament, pitching must step the fuck up. Hold onto your butts, friends.
  9. I agree with the point of your post. However, while Toppin is very good, he measured in at 6'7 flat without shoes at the NBA combine (with over a 7'0 wingspan). Regardless, Toppin would be massive addition. We still need bigs - hopefully the UCLA transfer. Buyuktuncel is listed at 6'9, but no idea if that's a true measurement. Although, he's still very raw, and I'm not sure how much production we could expect.
  10. Yeah, this is total bullshit.
  11. That’s for 2025. We don’t go to Maui this year.
  12. JC seemed like one of this year’s “get in the boat early before we run out of room due to higher-ranked guys” commitments. Similar to Kibble last year. That being said, I think he could be a real asset as a nasty IOL. He plays with a great motor.
  13. Sweep Kansas and it probably won’t matter. But as @WBT pointed out, I bet they send Texas to Arky or Aggy regardless.
  14. I butchered point 6 trying to edit before the window closed: 6. Predicted RPI for Texas is 40th (35-20, 20-10). This means it thinks we sweep KU. However, all the above applies. It's likely that Texas will be viewed as a team somewhere in the 17-24 range, which would help us miss a top-8 seed. Even if this is not the case, maybe we get a favorable matchup. Caveats: 1. A bad collapse against KU and then in the conference tourney. 2. The NCAA's potential insatiable desire (fuckery afoot) to send Texas to College Station or Fayetteville regardless of any metrics.
  15. Agreed. Here are some reasons: There a few teams ranked ahead of Texas in the RPI that may not even make the tourney; there are even more that won't secure a higher/more advantageous seed/draw based on the totality of their résumé. Texas' (current) 12 Q1 wins are tied for third-most in the country, behind Kentucky and Tennessee. While the Q4 losses will keep Texas from hosting, the Q1 wins should help with the draw. These Q1 wins will help Texas' KPI rating, while the Q4 losses will hurt it a lot in comparison to other P5 teams. This is the wildcard here. Mid-majors generally have lower KPIs than RPIs, so Texas' Q1 wins should help here still. Texas' conference and non-con SOS are currently top-30. Many similar RPI teams have much worse rankings here. Texas is likely to finish third or fourth in the third-best RPI conference. If third, OU and OSU are likely hosts. Texas has played much better to end the regualr season against good competition. While I know this isn't supposed to affect seeding, I still think it does to an extent. Predicted RPI for Texas is 40th (35-20, 20-10). This means it thinks we sweep KU. However, all the above applies. It's liekly that Texas will be viewed as a team somewhere in the 17-24, which would help us miss at top-8 seed. RPI: https://www.warrennolan.com/baseball/2024/rpi-live Conference Standings & RPI: https://www.warrennolan.com/baseball/2024/conference/Big-12 Conference Comparison: https://www.warrennolan.com/baseball/2024/rpi-conference Predicted RPI: https://www.warrennolan.com/baseball/2024/rpi-predict
  16. Was the left side of the truck sagging towards the ground from a bone-weary suspension system? If so, you got it.
  17. No chance. Three games behind OU with five remaining. Texas could win out and win the conference tournament and still wouldn’t host. Even with something like that, the Q4 losses prevent Texas from being a top-20 RPI team.
  18. Live RPI: Texas: 51 --> 46 UCF: 31 --> 37 https://www.warrennolan.com/baseball/2024/rpi-live
  19. Given Texas' ability to hit home runs, combined with how many FOs they have at the Disch, and the UCF starting staff's ERAs, I feel like Texas should score plenty of runs to win games. UCF being first in overall ERA must mean their bullpen/the composite staff must be pretty consistent. A road series win, especially a sweep, would do wonders for Texas' RPI. Granted, there's probably diminishing marginal returns since UCF is only 18 spots ahead. Nevertheless, win the series and it'll be massive for RPI.
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