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Kyle

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Posts posted by Kyle

  1. 39 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

    The mortality rate of the vaccine is zero as far as I am aware. Why are you comparing deaths from the disease to “adverse event rate” of the vaccine?  Either compare mortality rates or compare adverse event rates.  

    Because as I noted clearly in English this is my calculus. Adjusted for inputs my mortality risk is basically 0%.

  2. 22 hours ago, Neonmoon said:

    I still haven’t gotten a response from the people who refuse to get a vaccine. Why are you willing to take the chance of unknown long term health effects of covid but aren’t willing to chance any unknown long term health effects of the vaccine?

    I can tell you how I process it. The infection mortality rate in my metro is 0.075%. Given my physical profile, altruistically I am happy to let others go ahead. I would consider whether the adverse event rate of the vaccine would be +/- 0.075%.

  3. 11 hours ago, BrazilHorn said:

    I think you are probably right. Easter could be a mini-spike however as it is one of those "multi-generational" gatherings where we could see exposure to the 60+ crowd. Given the numbers in that group that have been vaccinated (~26% of al vaccines so far have gone to 60+), I hope any infections are reduced.

    I'm sure the great job being done with testing and vaccinations at the border will help.

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  4. 1 hour ago, Brisketexan said:

    Actually, to make it a condition of entry into a private establishment doesn't violate HIPAA.  You are not required to disclose such information.  You can choose not to.  And if you refuse to do so, then I can refuse you admittance, as is my right.  We're all good.

    As for public entities like schools.....they have required proof of various immunizations for decades, which is generally perfectly legal (some local jurisdictions have different laws, I'm just speaking to whether such requirements violate any federal law).

    And please, let's not have the "mortality rate" conversation again.  Rate, schmate, when you combine transmission rates and fatality rate (note, that's just FATALITY, not "serious consequences requiring hospitalization and doing long-term damage to your health," which is an even larger group), we know this -- in a bad 12 month period, the flu has killed at the top end in modern history in the US 80k.  In the same period, COVID has killed over 500k.  It's fucking significantly worse.  80k vs. 500k.  Those are real numbers (yes, they aren't perfect "bullseye" exact, but they are generally on-target to inform you as to the scale).

    Where does it end?  Slippery slope logical fallacy.  We're talking about this particular disease, which has killed over 500k Americans in a year, and sent millions more to the hospital, leaving many with long-term harm.  Based on that, we're going to treat this differently than we do the common cold or even the regular flu.  Because....it's different.

    I don't really disagree with you. As noted earlier, it will be a long time before we have a true picture. Reasonable people can have diverse opinions. I bias toward most of the people that would need papers are low mortality risk. If you want to play hypothetical we don't know the long-term effects of the vaccines either. If your scared of it you're welcome to stay home or wear a mask, which as we know will keep you from getting it. Hence what's the point of papers?

  5. 4 minutes ago, Pato del Muerto said:

    We do currently require certain vaccinations or prophylaxis to go to some countries. We also require certain vaccinations to attend public schools.  Some vaccinations are required by law at birth. What’s the difference?

    Yes, that is a reasonable point. I would argue that covid does not warrant the level of public safety concern as does something like smallpox for example. If we start requiring papers for every disease with a mortality rate of < 1-2% then we might as well just publish our medical records on facebook. I tend to resist reactionary, emotional responses.

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  6. 6 minutes ago, sheeeit said:

    There are so many problems with this simplistic line of thinking and reasoning.  

    As for sentencing differences, there are so many different factors involved that it is really impossible to draw any meaningful conclusions from it.  Example- Defendant A slaps his girlfriend across the face because she cheated on him.  Pleads guilty to battery and serves 1 month.  Defendant B beats his gf bloody because he was high.  Pleads down to battery and serves 6 months.  When someone looks at the cases 10 years later all they see is 2 supposedly equal crimes with big differences in time served.  Maybe one was white and one black?  Maybe one was rich and the other poor?  But you should not draw any conclusions based on either race or economics in this case as the underlying facts were so different.  The economics or race were largely irrelevant in the sentencing but anyone can twist them.

    Also, people used Los Angeles as one of the offenders and called it systemic racism.  However, during the period in question (2010-2016), Los Angeles had a black woman DA, a supreme court that was 72% minority, an overwhelming number of trial judges that were democrats (hard to get a good count but estimated to be 85%) and more ethnic prosecutors than in anytime previous.  According to the studies that you presented, during the time in question, LA was one of the worst offenders of unfair sentencing.  You claim it was race based.  For that to be true, there had to be some kind of coordination between a black woman district attorney (who sets the standard for the entire department) and a bunch of democrat judges and a bunch of minority prosecutors and an appellate court that oversaw the entire system that was 72% minority that all colluded to give black and hispanic criminals longer sentences than whites for the same crimes.  I think that is virtually impossible.  So I think the answer lies elsewhere.  

    It is typical that these arguments fall apart when you it gets to the specifics. "Systematic Racism" and "White Supremacy" simply have been weaponized to shut down debate when intellectual arguments cannot stand on their own. If it was real, then white people would have the highest per-capita income, and emigrants would be fleeing the U.S. due to inability to succeed.

    That's why I keep asking, can anyone name a system that is racist? Even in criminal justice - there's an easy way to avoid that.

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  7. 1 hour ago, babysdaddy said:

    Why is a vaccine passport such a bad/good idea?  How is it different from people needing certain shots to go to Africa or wherever?  I'm fully vaxxed and I'd like to quit wearing a mask given the only reason I'm wearing it now is due to social pressure.

    It violates HIPAA for one. Once you open the door there is a slippery slope. It is ironic that HIPAA was created to protect HIV/AIDS patients from revealing their HIV/AIDS status - a death sentence - and now we want to basically force everyone to reveal their health information to the UT athletic department. Where does does it end? There are other viruses and conditions that are deadly - we going to require a flu shot passport?

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  8. 18 minutes ago, wild_turkey said:


    This. For all of you getting your panties in a wad over this and complaining about his motivations and self interest, would you prefer that Musk and SpaceX use Boca Chica without ever giving anything to the local community?

    Because twit, yo. For 6% of 'murica their self-esteem is derived at how outraged they can get each day.

  9. 46 minutes ago, hayden_horn said:

    so i remember when homeless people fires occurred in woods behind gas stations on 290.

    generally i have a lot of empathy for homeless people, much of it learned doing the census in 2010.

    but when i saw the news this morning, and when i see landmarks burning down...we need to do something else. last month, my wife and i went downtown and i saw all those tents along cesar chavez and on the hike and bike trail...they are losing me. it's horrible.

    we need to do something else.

    A rare breed that recognize when stupid ideas are stupid. (no sarcasm)

    It doesn't take a brain surgeon to realize that letting mentally and emotional ill addicts run loose is not good public policy. They need to be institutionalized and rehabilitated. That's the only practical solution. Optimistically, many can be returned to society as healthy, functioning adults. For those that can't, provide a safe, long-term institutional existence.

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  10. 3 minutes ago, gmr548 said:


    “Brad doesn’t live in ATX! Sick burn amirite guys!?” *jizz in jar, pass it around*

    Poor aggy

    It’s more like when someone calls you workswithsemen and thinks they’ve just owned you, which is also dumb. At least there’s a tiny bit of crude humor in there though. We’re seeing some fully evolved sheep fuckers in here.

    In fairness, for four years the height of intellectual acumen was "trumpkin" or "trumper."

  11. 3 hours ago, BrazilHorn said:

    The crazy thing to me is the complete suspension of all law enforcement when it comes to homeless people.

    If I littered, started fires, shit in public etc etc I would be fined, arrested & jailed.

    I get letting folks have their camps and I have empathy for people truly experiencing homelessness but I don't know why we suspend every other law associated with being part of a society.

    Because we have surrendered to morons who think twitter reflects reality.

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  12. 44 minutes ago, GringoSalado said:

    Genuinely sorry for the confusion, I'm only talking about the usage of that one term, your posts in response have covered lots of other topics, that was confusing to me as my post was specific, but I guess too short or ambiguous. 

    Now that you appear to have addressed my argument, I respoind:

     

    My interpretation of the meaning of "Systemic Racism" isn't any more "made up" than yours. My first google result is this article:

    https://www.today.com/tmrw/what-systemic-racism-t207878

    How do you solve something that is invisible, and only defined by the outcome? The next para from above link talks about disparate outcomes in health care, and says that is Systemic Racism. So my working definition is that any system that produces disparate outcomes can be so described. But all systems will have disparate outcomes.

     

     

    Systematic racism more aptly is defined as the inherent belief by many that African Americans simply lack agency and ability to make good decisions and therefore need nice, privileged white folks to take care of them. 

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  13. 1 hour ago, Cheeseweasel said:

     

    Every now and then I need a reminder of why I don't frequent the CR. Thanks.

    High talk coming from folks who believe Russian hackers change elections, high school kids attacked an poor Injun, Russian pee hookers, unsubstantiated rape allegations, D-list actors getting attacked with nooses, Muslim bans, mass conspiracies against minor Florida data analysts, etc. 

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  14. 23 hours ago, Fuck Tim Beck said:

    Yep. Sadly I'm afraid this is the norm in Texas school districts. 

    Yeah ... schools generally are among the worst at managing money and focusing on teachers / kids. Recent, glaring example ... fortunately they got some new board members that could smell a skunk. Why I usually roll my eyes at the screams of "we need more money for schools."

    https://www.dallasnews.com/news/education/2021/03/24/ousted-lancaster-superintendent-now-working-in-real-estate-with-former-board-president-who-approved-his-2-million-buyout/

    "Former Lancaster superintendent Elijah Granger has a new job working with the former school board president who voted last year to pay him more than $2 million as he tried to leave the district. The board -- with Ellen Clark serving as president -- voted 4-3 in November on a hefty severance for Granger without explaining the reason for the separation. But that payout was quickly walked back after the board majority changed that month."

     

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