Posts posted by closetojumping
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Edited by closetojumping
On the ND 247 board, their mods are saying that the word they're hearing is that ND thinks the way forward is to dim down the ACC agreement to 2 games per year, and then cut the same deal with the Big 10, SEC and Big 12. Keep the Navy game, of course, and one other G6, like Rice next year, as an example, and then mix in 2 random home and homes with teams not in the rotation during each year from the P4.
Move all of the non-revenue to the Big East.
That's from people at ND talking to them off the record, it seems.
There isn't a single poster on that board that wants to stick with the ACC deal they have. They appear to actually hate it.
For the first in any of our lives, there are also more than a few folks on their end advocating for joining a conference. Not the majority of the posters, but other times I've read their boards, if someone mentions such a thing, they're shouted down by a chorus of haters. Not right now.
It's pretty interesting. I fully expect Texas to announce that they're pulling out of the ND series and replacing it with a Stanford or NC State series any day now. What happens when others follow suit? That seems like it would force ND to get real about a future with a conference.
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19 minutes ago, UnhappilyMarried said:Problem with the Lacy-Michigan idea is if he looks good, Auburn comes in and money whips him. If Sark hasn’t changed his spring game philosophy, the bowl is effectively the same thing
HOLY FUCKING SHIT!!!
Also, "Lacy" is like Kewan Lacy, Ole Miss RB. "Lacey" would be KJ Lacey, tiny backup QB powerhouse at Texas. There's a shot everyone needs to bone up on the proper spelling for these two.
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47 minutes ago, jdhorn92 said:
Deboer may not live that one down. He seems like a great kid with a big future, Mack-Russell battle will be interesting if they can keep both. I like our room the way its laid out, hopefully we can spread them out aok. Id like to see what Lacy can do vs Michigan.
The thing about Lacey that's concerning is how diminutive he is. It's not like they didn't know that in recruiting, but now it's suddenly the "but" part of anything said about the guy. Great arm, knows the game, mobile, good leadership skills, can allegedly read a defense pretty well, but he's Herve Villechaize in stature. Can he sit on a tall TE or OT's shoulders and take snaps?
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16 minutes ago, jdhorn92 said:
As I recall, Sayin left pretty soon after Saban retired and he and Deboer only overlapped by a week. Think Saban's departure had more to do with it than Deboer picking the current guy over him. Arch to Texas solidified Sayin to Bama IIRC, otherwise he may have ended up here or UGA.
Deboer straight up told Sayin that he wasn't the kind of QB that performed well in his system. He brought Mack with him and sent Sayin packing. Those were like 2 of his first moves.
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11 minutes ago, Dbeasy said:
We never saw the full Baxter. He got injured very early on, then seriously injured. RB’s take two years to come back from serious knee injuries. I would not be surprised if he performs very well next year somewhere else, but Texas just can’t roll the dice again next year on him. It would be a waste of money.
Baxter got hurt early on, not injured. He never figured out the difference, and that's also part of why he's gone.
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48 minutes ago, Hookem2147 said:IT posted some more portal/NFL notes this morning:
-Expect Tre Wisner back at this time. Simon and Clark are expected to return but not a 100% lock.
-Most likely Jaime Ffrench will be back. Aaron Butler is likely gone. "We’re interested to see how DeAndre Moore’s agent plays his hand."
-Would be surprised if Will Randle returned
-Expecting Trevor Goosby back at this time
-"Very likely" Hero Kanu will return. Watching Melvin Hills for a potential exit.
-At corner, they are watching Wardell Mack, Kobe Black, Santana Wilson and Caleb Chester
-"We believe it’s increasingly likely Jelani McDonald will return"
- Derek Williams and Johnson-Rubell are the two safeties they are monitoring
Maybe Ffrench and Wisner actually got some decent advice. Or IT is just making shit up as they go. Can never be sure.
I don't expect Clark back, so we'll see on that one. Same for Deandre Moore.
I view Hills and Santana Wilson as locks for the portal, same as with Clark.
JJR will get more in the market than Texas prefers to pay, but they'd keep him if they could. That's the same story with Wisner.
I'll be surprised if Black isn't back.
46 minutes ago, LCHorn said:Re: Baxter, I’m curious whether we see him take his name out of the portal if the market isn’t there.
There are worse options than coming back to Texas and getting 100-150 carries as a rotational back in a “show-me” year, with the potential for more, if he’s healthy. I just don’t see anyone paying him based on his high school ranking in 2026.
I've seen you and others apply this logic of "well, if we're not paying much, having player X on the roster doesn't hurt anything" and that's simply false in various situations, including Baxter's. The guy wants to play. If you're playing him, you're benching someone else. The odds are highly likely at this point that the guy getting benched is better.
It's like having a mediocre employee in a critical position that everyone likes. It's easier to let that person continue to put a low ceiling on his/her area's output because shedding him/her might upset some folks and, well, maybe that person actually gets better. Nope, once you know, you know. Fire that person and go get the best candidate to replace them that you can recruit. And don't wait to have that candidate before making the seat empty, because you just might not ever actually make that seat empty.
Baxter is a year 4 player with a busted knee and a shaken confidence. If he goes to West Virginia or South Florida and has a rebirth on the field, awesome. Texas doesn't have room at the inn for rehab projects in this cycle. Up or out.
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1 hour ago, TXpride said:I knew they were at/near the top. $35M is the number I've seen thrown around, whether true or not. But $30M appears to be the standard next season. Other programs, somehow someway, are finding the money. Will Texas stay ahead of the pack and increase its payroll even more? The 2026 OL/DL class makes me question that. You had to be willing to pay big money for those guys, even before rev share. Are they shifting more focus to the portal?
The number is over $40M, but that also includes corporate. The Texas counter to the lunatic billionaire is that Texas is getting more corporate money than anyone and that is expected to grow. That helps in terms of being able to retain or go after non-corporate NIL guys looking at other big offers.
Texas is going bigger on the portal than ever before, allegedly. To that point, some folks are willing to put their hand on the bible and say the multiple IOL are already locked up from the portal. We’ll see.
Regardless, anyone handwringing over NIL isn’t paying attention. That’s not an issue. That doesn’t mean Texas won’t get outbid by random shit every cycle. They will. So will Oregon or whomever. Sometimes crazy happens and you just have to tip your cap.
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3 hours ago, TXpride said:
For next season apparently. Then $50M. Then $75M...
With no meaningful regulation, the endgame looks like Tech and Oregon running away from the pack.
I'm guessing Texas will attempt to position itself in the upper echelon, assuming the BBs are in the box. But it no longer seems like they're leading the NIL charge. Whether that's because they aren't willing to bend the rules like everyone else, or the cigars are tired of Sark and holding back, or everyone else has just caught up... I don't know.
Rev share enabled a higher level quality and quantity of competition, for everyone, but Texas is in the upper echelon. You do realize that Texas has the highest payroll this cycle in which they went 9-3, correct? Your post seems to indicate no clue on that front.
What no school can prevent is finding itself in a position where some random other school shows up and offers a mid level 4 star some over the top value. Roughly 100 schools can now pull that stunt and it impacts blue bloods across the land.
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34 minutes ago, LTtxfan said:
Hey @closetojumping,
Any changes being discussed with Texas staff that builds the roster??
This seems to be a huge part of the problem since Glasscock left...
I would have to ask a lot of questions to know anything like that and I don’t ask a lot of questions.
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2 minutes ago, DZX158 said:First CJ helped Texas get to the playoffs in year 1. So let’s not act like he wasn’t a key player on the team his freshman year. Where I think you have to be careful when dealing with his situation which is unique in my opinion. He’s a leader on and off the field for the team. He is also popular in Central Florida where there are a lot of talented young football players who look up to him. I would rather he leave as a lifetime longhorn on good terms than a bad breakup. It would go a long way opening doors in an area Sark wants to recruit.
Yeah, none of that means shit in the era of NIL. It would be a very Texas thing to worry about, but it’s a meaningless concern that you’re conjuring.
You’re also assuming things have to end in bad terms when a guy transfers. A lot of times, there isn’t any bad blood. A guy just wanted to get paid more than his current school could offer. That’s it.
Some of you guys just don’t fucking getting it because you don’t want to get it, I guess. Teams don’t win titles these days by overpaying 4th string “culture guys”.
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Just now, DZX158 said:
CJ is not a kid you tell to hit the portal. I think it’s fair to adjust his NIL but you don’t tell a kid like him there’s no spot for him on the team. You find a role and hope in year 2 post injury he is able to stay healthy and be great is his role.
He’s not worth his ask and the bid-ask are chasms apart. You absolutely wish him well and move on given the needs across the roster and the goals for next season. Folks can grumble about loyalty and professional sports and the CFB days of yore and such, but the sentimental programs are getting left in the dust. Ask a Clemson fan if you need further confirmation.
Texas is upper tier in NIL without being able to be stupid like Tech, Oregon, Michigan and a few others. They have plenty of money to utilize but they cannot just sling mid 6 figures out to beaten up backs who look like they have had their lick.
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7 hours ago, TankedBevo said:I get what you’re saying, and 100% agree, but this is such a supremely dickheaded way of commenting about a Longhorn that has given his body and apparently career to play here.
My heart goes out to you, man. Eventually, you’ll realize that these guys are all now getting paid, demanding to be treated as adults, demanding more for less on more than an annual basis.
Glad Baxter came here, but he’s been paid handsomely and when he leaves, it’s because his latest monetary ask wasn’t met. Then when you look at what came out of the capital for him, from people never getting anything back, the overall contribution was net neutral at best.
Are you a big Lance McCullers guy as well?
I can’t wait to read your “he was such a good kid, good luck young man!” posts about Moore Jr and Muhammad also.
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Mehringer as the OC at Rutgers for Chris Ash was one of the biggest debacles of the last 20 years. I swear I think it was the worst offense statistically in the country in whatever year that took place.
I know we discussed it back in the day, but if you have never looked at the first staff Ash hired as HC at Rutgers, it’s worth a review. I contend it’s one of the worst power conference staffs ever assembled.
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1 minute ago, Eskimohorn said:
whats changing on the staff to fix all the bad evals?Hopefully the people on the staff and some additions in the film room to help out.
I do want to remind folks that a high amount of skepticism should be applied to what I'm posting on stuff like this.
a) I'm wrong a lot. Shit changes when you're managing people, and talent acquisition and retention are mercurial issues in organizations. Also, I don't ask many questions, and sometimes I make assumptions when someone is bullshitting with me and I end up drawing the wrong conclusion accordingly.
b) I think people do their own wishcasting when it comes to staff changes. Half the time over the last 15 years I've heard people speak definitively about so and so coming or going and then nothing happened.
That said, I feel good enough on the player side to post what I posted. I remain from Missouri on the notion that all of Akina, Flood, Jackson and Scott will be seeking employment elsewhere.
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2 minutes ago, LCHorn said:
Mocking west Austin partisans is 2nd only to Aggie jokes as a source of mirth.
Interesting that, if you're correct about the numbers, the are predominately on the offense.
My view on it is that Sarkisian holds each side of the ball to different standards and he's either really pushing the defense on their evaluations, or giving them total freedom to handle their allotment of scholarships and they're doing a better job. Whatever is going on, either they don't know what they're doing on the evaluations on the offensive side of the ball, or they've gotten lazy. Perhaps turnover on the staff has also impacted things at RB and WR. In short, yada yada yada and Flood looks like he fucking sucks at this point and zero excuses for the dishevelment in the OL room.
Transfer Cycle 2025-2026 - Sunday, Bloody Sunday
in 🤫$9.95🤫
Baker had to throw a shit fit to get a better allocation, also.
Thinking about DT, specifically, there is a case to be made that the ground has simply shifted into new terrain from here forward. Outside of the truly special guys, most HS recruits aren't ready for significant rotational snaps until they are in year 2, and arguably year 3.
Investing in HS recruits, like OL, winds up being a long term, low reward play. Unlike OL, DTs can be prima donnas and they expect to be playing from day 1, see Mitchell, Sydir, without putting in the work. They're more likely to transfer just as the investment from the program starts to pay off, see Kanu, Hero.
Focusing the majority of the positional NIL spend on seasoned DTs in the portal, especially if they have multiple years left of eligibility, looks like a moneyball play. I don't have a problem if Texas banks on landing 1-2 DTs from the portal every cycle, one expected to play immediately and one who probably can, but who also has multiple years left.