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Hmmm

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Posts posted by Hmmm

  1. 33 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

    Go look at the countries on the https://ncov2019.live list.  Serious and critical = hospital stay.  

    Some are skewed either because government coverup shit (Iran and China), or because the cases are slanted towards a specific group (South Korea and their little cult).  

    Others fall into the hospitalization rates that are being mentioned.   Italy, who seems to be the best example for us, is running an 11%+ hospitalization rate.   

    initially, i didn't click on this link because it looked suspect.  after reviewing charts and graphs, it appears to be good intel.  perhaps smarter minds then mine can weigh in. 

  2. 4 minutes ago, Helobious said:

    Most of those original 12 patients recovered and were released a long time ago. But given how new the tests are there’s been a lot of problems. Some people have had their symptoms clear up but they’re still testing positive, there’s been false-positive or false-negative tests, there’s a lot going wrong with the testing. Hard to tell/know what “recovered” really looks like.

    i don't normally advocate flu vaccination (i don't advocate much if anything), but in this event, it would (hopefully) clean up the false negs and positives.  reducing the amount of normal flu diagnoses would seem appropriate measures.

  3. cool, i was thinking you might be a PC master racer.  please include me in your will, and let me know when you die.  my tv hurts watching GOT, then again, it may happen to be a CRT.  

  4. 44 minutes ago, elfenix said:

    doesn't matter what you use to calibrate a shit tv

    i kid you not i had no problems, then again i don't try watching tv with all the lights on, with my ipad in my lap, the blinds open, in the middle of the afternoon, etc.

    did you watch on monitor or tv?

  5. 1 hour ago, TwiceHorn said:

    I ain't watching that.  Kind of makes you wonder what possesses someone to make a documentary about that.

    Or watch it.

    edit - covered int first sentence.  i no comprende words good

    • Like 1
  6. 1 hour ago, 0xdeadbeef said:

     

    Most people would agree that  long-term hold is a better, especially for people that have a job unrelated to the market. I can only spend so much time on this.   BUT, the next 3 to 6 months may be unlike anything that has been seen in more than a hundred years. (Spanish-flu of 1918). Probably not in terms of #of deaths, but in terms of panic, fear, and societal & economic impact. How is the stock market going to handle this?  It's probably not going (and staying) up much for a while.

    I have never been more certain that the market was going to crash than I was last week.  It would have been a stupid for me to stay in the market and play the long-term game.  I got out on Monday and got partially back in on Friday; I may go all the way back in first thing Monday morning.    Even if the market tanks again after I get back in, by sitting out last week and avoiding the drop, I just just made a huge amount of money.    If/when it _does_ get back to the levels of 2 weeks ago, I'm going to have a shitload more shares of everything.

    In a nutshell, I have no idea what the market is going to do this week, so I'm going to get in and hold, even though I think we are headed for something like a 6 month recession. But if everything lines up again for such a  clear sizable crash, I'll step out again.  

    yup, sounds aligned with my strategy.  i don't have the experience and/or knowledge to forecast futures and options. it's a shit show

    then again, i should probably get into maths, medians, and averages again. BUT like ya said, "I can only spend so much time on this."

  7. 10 minutes ago, atomheartbevo said:

    this was from two days ago, before they hit 3,000   ROK is rocking the testing.   It also makes us look pathetic as hell   

    https://abcnews.go.com/International/massive-coronavirus-testing-program-south-korea-underscores-nimble/story?id=69226222

    “Global health experts say the speed and scope of South Korea’s novel coronavirus diagnostic capability exhibit impressive and significant lab capabilities that no other countries, including the U.S., can match at the moment.

    South Korea had tested a total of 66,652 people for the COVID-19 coronavirus virus as of 4 p.m. local time Thursday, whereas Japan had reported administering roughly 1,890 tests and the U.S. only 445. The huge discrepancy compared to other countries reflects how quickly South Korea’s numbers have been rising, experts say.

    The total number of confirmed cases so far in South Korea is 1,766, up 505 from the day before. Of the 66,00 people who have been tested, more than 25,000 are still awaiting lab results”

    More than 10,000 people a day are being tested around the clock, propelled by a sense of concern that the virus may spread outside of Daegu area, where around 80 percent of all confirmed cases have been found.

    "This week is crucial for us in determining whether we have successfully dealt with COVID-19," South Korea Prime Minister Chung Sye-Kyun said.

    The tests are being run at 79 designated health centers, in addition to authorized private hospitals and public health labs across the country.”

    “"We have quickly selected these institutions after training and evaluation programs held on Feb. 7 and 20," official Park Hyun Kyu at Korea's Center for Disease Control told ABC News. "They do preliminary screening, then send all positively sampled results to us for final diagnosis."

    * moves to South Korea

  8. 32 minutes ago, jimmyjazz said:

    Here's the deal:  buy and hold is "timing the market". 

    i'm not sure i made myself clear.  i am a buy and hold long-term (bogle), and "timing the market" is nearly irrelevant.  i know i don't have to tell you this... was probably unclear to begin with.   

    * i do occasionally sell off and try to time the market but that's rare   

  9. 14 minutes ago, 52-80 said:

    Now think what it would be if you didn't take the brunt of the 50% drops.

     

    There's gigantic assymetry between getting back in too late, versus eating all the loss on the way down.

     

     

    i certainly don't doubt you but could you provide some evidence or more information.

    here's how i look at it... in the event of a "catastrophe", chances are the market will drop significantly (and quickly). the number of days to correct itself will last longer than the plunge. if i thought shit may hit the fan, i'm gonna back out.  and even if I don't time it correctly to buy on the upswing, again, the number of days to correct itself is likely going to be longer than a significant plunge over a few days.  but don't take my word for it, i'm a noobie buy and hold type of fella.  maybe someone can explain this more eloquently.  

  10. On 2/27/2020 at 1:00 PM, ajax said:

    Would you eat a cannoli that's filled 3/4 with sweet ricotta cheese and 1/4 with shit?

    I would eat exactly 3/4 of that cannoli so long you told me where to start and I could trust you.

    • Like 2
  11. Can someone explain to me how EWY (South Korea Index fund) was in the positive for a good amount of the day.  Trending down now (as I would have expected two days ago).  Out of 10+ stocks in my portfolio, this one of the few that took the least amount of damage today.

    BABA is slightly up now after being down most of the (American) day.  Go figure, it ups right after I sell off.

    EWY and BABA performed the best in my portfolio and I'm trying to understand.

  12. Can someone explain to me how EWY (South Korea Index fund) was in the positive for a good amount of the day.  Trending down now (as I would have expected two days ago).  Out of 10+ stocks in my portfolio, this one of the few that took the least amount of damage today.

    BABA is slightly up now after being down most of the (American) day.  Go figure, it ups right after I sell off.

    EWY and BABA performed the best in my portfolio and I'm trying to understand.

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