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Horn of Gabriel

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Posts posted by Horn of Gabriel

  1. Just got done with a fun Vegas trip with my wife and my buddy and his wife for his birthday. He and I play craps while the wives play slots usually.

    We stayed at Aria but craps was mostly $25 min. We walked to Park MGM and they had $15 tables so played there the first night. Down about $300.

    Next day we did more Park, then took a trip down to Fremont and started at El Cortez ($25 wtf?), then Grand which had $10 tables, now we are cooking. Made about $400.

    Last day we decided to walk a little and ended up at OYO (old Hooters), where they had one craps table at $5. Super cool dealers. We played there about 3-4 hours and I made $1000. Finally we crossed over to Excalibur and it was hella fun, good $10 table made me about $400 again.

    There was some other stuff in there too but I ended up +$1400 which was pretty good.

    My strat is a little different than HG, which I do want to try. I rarely press. I usually play the pass line minimum unless I trust the shooter. I always play max odds. If the point sets 5, 6, or 8, I’ll bet the other two. I will also play the field here, but setup my bets so if I lose the field it’s paid back on the 5, 6, or 8 with interest.

    For example on a $10 3x/4x/5x table I’ll put $10 on pass. If point sets at 8 I’ll put $50 on odds. I’ll lay $30 on 6 and $25 on 5 and $25 on field. If 5 or 6 hit you lose the field but pays $35 on your 5 or 6. Collect the $10 difference and $25 back up on field.

    Obviously I’m putting more at play, so you have to come in with a decent bankroll to take the waves. But when a shooter is going for a while you have a win condition on every single number other than 7. Point then 7 crushes but you can say that for everything. When the point hits after you’ve been collecting fields for awhile the payout is awesome. And collecting double on 2 and triple on 12 is a nice sweetener.

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  2. Not trying to be harsh. I like the guy and have heard he's a great teammate. I'm not bashing the dude. There's a huge gap between him and the other backs Texas has been fortunate enough to see in the last 4 or 5 seasons. I don't believe he's that dangerous back that requires attention every down. It's not an insult to say a running back isn't Bijan or Brooks. It's not an insult to tell Manu Ginobili "you weren't Kobe." Dab some salve on chili dog's labia and we'll get back to the passing game. 

    I get the analogy but Manu is a HOF player. He’s in the top 75-100 all time players somewhere. Kobe is top 5-10, but I don’t think you’re saying Wisner is a HOF top 100 level all time back.
  3. 1 hour ago, CastHorn said:

    I know it would never happen, but the original Big12 South could flip the sport on its head overnight by re-forming some sort of Southwest Centric Conference. Texas and OU packing the prestige, Tech and A&M outbidding the field for Texas/Louisiana talent. The T Boone Foundation is still pumping dollars into OSU athletics, I think they could easily be an Ole Miss type in the portal lane if they wanted to. I wouldn’t invite Baylor. 
     

    I’d start at 12. Maybe:

    Texas, A&M, OU, Oklahoma State, Arizona, Kansas

    Other Division: 

    Arizona State, SMU, Colorado, Utah, Kansas State, Texas Tech 

     

    Obviously you’re betting on Tech, SMU, Colorado, and ASU to pop off in NIL. If you wanted to go to 14, there is some intriguing regional options. College Sports will wither and die if national conference structures aren’t combatted. 
     

     

    No.

    You see some version of this pining for a SWC redo on other sites and in comment sections as people wax nostalgic for "regionality" in college football.  Let's all remember what regionality did for Texas:

    • Rampant cheating in the SWC
    • Baylor fucking us at the lege
    • TTech trying to fuck us
    • Bleachergate with UH
    • TCU, Tech, Baylor turning the Texas game into their annual jihad game
    • Those same teams restricting tickets for Texas fans into buying multi-game or season ticket packages just for the Texas game
    • Drafting off of Texas' massive fanbase and TV ratings, while simultaneously complaining about big bad Texas

    Texas today is right where we should be, and where we need to be. We're in the top conference, where we get consistently pushed by other blue blood programs.  We are still a massive brand but we are one of many peers with Bama, Georgia, Tennessee, Florida, etc.  All teams that care a lot about football, and invest a lot into football, and have large fanbases.  Getting a lot more money is just a side effect of all that.

    Fuck TTech and Baylor in their ungrateful bitch asses.  The only time we should play them again is in the playoffs, if they make it.

    And BTW we're still regional.  We play OU, Arky, A&M, and LSU.

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  4. 24 minutes ago, Red Five said:


    We got there around 8 last year. Paced ourselves a little more with the booze and got inside the stadium early.

    Same and it was pretty dead in the morning.  Didn't feel super crowded until after 10AM.  Got into the stadium really early but hung out under the stands due to the heat.  Wife has instructed me to get shade seats this year...Hmmm we shall see

  5. 4 hours ago, atomheartbevo said:

    Musk and Peter Thiel and Trump were pitching that Big Beautiful Golden Dome Bullshit to protect all of America.

    Meanwhile, a few dozen specialized cargo containers sailed into harbors up and down the East, West, and Gulf Coasts could open up and send out a ton of drones that could easily fuck up a lot of our naval assets, our power grid(s), quite a few military aircraft, etc.

    Anti-drone tech is getting better and better every day, but it's always going to be chasing.  Directed microwave and laser are probably the best shots against this type of attack and I'm sure we're rolling that out at high risk facilities.  Our B-2's are only based at, what like 2 bases?  B-52's only a handful and the B-21 Raider is just coming online.  Most of the China wargame stuff I've seen says that if China got serious, the majority of our USAF losses would be planes sitting on the ground in Guam, Kaneda, etc.  We are not built for a long attritional war like Ukraine is in, we don't have the raw materials or resupply industrial base like we had in WWII.  Right now we are as vulnerable as we have been in decades.

    Golden Dome isn't a bad idea, we should have it AND anti-drone tech as well.  But if China rolls up to the port of SF or NY and pops open a container of 10,000 suicide drones to fly into highrises, nobody has a defense for that.  And that would be a warcrime and very different than hitting a military target.

  6. Not sure where this would go, so I guess Daily Texan.  A good/interesting article on the Texas Rangers participation in the U.S./Mexico war in the mid-1800's

    By the fall of 1847 Scott’s occupation challenges had dramatically increased with his inexorable march west and stunning capture of Mexico City. The strained American army of approximately 24,000 men now relied upon an embattled chain of fortified outposts to govern conquered territory, stretching 260 miles from capital to coast. As negotiations failed, Mexican aristocrats along the line of invasion enthusiastically embraced the call for “War without Pity” as the guerrilla resistance transitioned to a wide-spread insurgency. To remedy this untenable scenario, Scott called for the deployment of a specialized counterguerrilla force to compliment his pacification strategy. The general needed cavalry unlike any other, a cadre of irregulars forged in the crucible of frontier combat. For the hard task at hand, he needed Texas Rangers.

    This essay explores how federalized Texas Rangers, officially designated the First Regiment of Texas Mounted Volunteers, supported the U.S. Army in Mexico in 1847 and 1848 by providing critically needed counter-guerilla capacity. It investigates the Texans’ contributions to the American governance program, enabled by their singular mastery of repeating firearms and horsemanship, by pursuing two lines of inquiry: How did they achieve consistent tactical superiority over Mexican mounted forces, and how did their kinetic activities both support and undermine American pacification plans? The answers to these questions will reveal the Texan regiment as a controversial, yet overall beneficial, component of American victory in the decisive campaign of the Mexican-American War.

    https://smallwarsjournal.com/2025/05/30/fighting-fire-with-fire-texas-rangers-tactical-innovation-and-counterinsurgency-operations-in-the-mexico-city-campaign-1847-1848/

     

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  7. The format they are apparently leaning towards for 16 will see the top 2 get a bye to the QFs and 13-16 have a play-in round.
     
    Play-in round
    13 vs 16
    14 vs 15
    ”First” Round
    3 vs 14
    4 vs 13
    5 vs 12
    6 vs 11
    7 vs 10
    8 vs 9
    Quarterfinals
    1 vs 8
    2 vs 7
    3 vs 6
    4 vs 5
    (from the Athletic)
    In a 16-team bracket, one alternative is to eliminate byes and play eight first-round games over that weekend. That approach is highly unlikely to advance. More likely, the CFP would look to start a week earlier, on what has traditionally been Army-Navy weekend, with the four lowest seeds (13 through 16) playing their way into the second weekend’s six-game bracket.
    The top two seeds would still get byes into the quarterfinals.
     

    This is the least worst way to do 16. Still has value in the conference championship. The final step is to move the quarterfinals on campus and we will achieve perfection. That leaves 6 games for the hollowed out husk of the bowls and then the championship, which should be permanently put in the Rose Bowl.
  8. 57 minutes ago, Chooky said:

    Remember when Saban started getting bitchy when SEC teams started running more spread and fast tempo? He thought it was egregious that they didn't want to keep running the ball from the I formation, between the tackles, repeatedly, right into the maw of the endless rotation of his hydraulic monsters that comprised his front seven. How dare you adapt so rapidly! 

    I'm sure he was doing his stupid circular gesticulations with his hands while making noises about "player safety" all while rapidly shifting his recruiting to suit the new world.

  9. There is zero good things that can come out of this.  Saban isn't working in Texas best interest here.  He wants to roll back the clock.  The TTech guy definitely isn't working in our best interest.  Both would love to create a new system that is a super-league (that just-so-happens to include TTech), with caps on player movement and earnings and an anti-trust exemption.  That requires a CBA and congress to pass a law.  Oh and the best part, the Double Eagle guy wants the super-league geographically divided, which would push Tceh back onto our schedule every year.

    Let's be clear: the current wild west NIL situation is the perfect setup for Texas.  Paying players is legal and above board, so we don't have compliance getting their panties in a bunch and we don't have donors and administration clutching their pearls about dropping bags.  The House settlement will only raise the floor via rev sharing, we'll still set the ceiling with our NIL efforts.  The NIL clearinghouse will either get defanged or sued out of existence.

    You can see why most of the schools want to go back to the old way, or put a soft/hard salary cap on players: it was much better for them. Saban can feign ignorance but he had bag men dropping illegal cash to buy players and everyone knew it. Because that was under the table the amounts pale in comparison to what those players are getting today.  Now NIL can be up to NFL 3rd round type money. There are only a handful of schools who can keep up in that world: Texas is at the top of that pile.

    We should look at any change as negative because the current situation, while broken and imperfect, sets Texas up for success better than any other post integration.

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