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Posts posted by Horn of Gabriel
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2 hours ago, Texas Fight said:I think is where I am but with some variance.
It seems none of the other camps on this fork of the river evacuated kids before the flood. La Junta (campers in cabins), Heart of the Hills (counselors in cabins). They were lucky but should still be reviewed. They aren’t getting blasted like Mystic is, and understandably due to the deaths. All of these camps (Mystic, La Junta, HOTH) were negligent in some fashion. The variance is around details we apparently don’t know yet. Things like:
- Anyone who has been to Mystic during session knows they have a security guard at the front. It has been reported these are retired/former LEOs (opposed to mall cops), but I don’t know for sure. He is closest to the river/entrabce and seemingly should be awake. What were his responsibilities? Monitor weather? River level? Interact with local law/emergency? Was his responsibility to be the eyes/ears during the night…. For flooding, emergencies, visitors, deliveries? What?
- Camp owners have been out there since 1976. Live there year round. Have the cabins ever flooded before? Any water? If so, the variance of their negligence goes way up. Or have they seen things that led them to believe the cabins would never take on water.
- Risk management. Did they have professionals review their operation. Plans, insurance RM assessments, flood plain reviews, regulatory compliance, etc… if the ownership took an independent/honest approach to this and were given assurances they were safe, it lowers the negligence calculation IMO. The extent of this will come out, and not by some AP news article saying they were inspected 2 days before flood. Over time, how much concern did the camp have and did they seek assurances or mitigation from professionals.
- Did professional risk managers instruct them to keep campers in cabins during storms to avoid other perils (lightning, roadway flooding (1987 after action), falling trees, etc…. I.e, was THE PLAN to actually keep them in cabins during the storm. Only until water came in did they try to scramble.
I’m sure there are more. But where I have been triggered is how fast people judge these owners and immediately turn them into the devil. As if they wanted these kids to die. After the investigation/lawyers review this thing it may very well come out that the camp owners (at any/all of the camps) were completely clueless. Or, that they took this very seriously and still a tragedy occurred.
I just don’t see the need/benefit to shit all over a family or highly loved/respected long-time camp leadership until we know. These camps have built tremendous credibility over 90+ years. I think it’s fair to give them some grace until the details come out.
I agree by all accounts the owner was a good guy and died trying to save those girls. People have short attention spans and reach for the easiest answer so the blame will fall to him. The county, state, and definitely the federal people like Noem know this and will ride out the storm pointing fingers until the next tragedy hits and the public moves on. By then they'll have their stories straight on who to blame like Trump was already blaming Biden on this, like c'mon.
The level of negligence/culpability with regard to Mystic vs. the RM pros who checked them off vs. the county vs. the state doesn't really matter; Mystic in its current form is done. Even if they did everything "right" they're going to get sued into the ground and there is no way they have the assets for a long fight over 30 wrongful death suits. They'll end up liquidating and selling the land. Kerr County will install a few sirens so they can say they did something, and that will probably be the extent of it.
My take is cynical but warranted. Uvalde was just a few years ago and I'm still waiting on real consequences for our DPS heroes who stood outside in violation of their training and policy while that dude massacred a bunch of kids.
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Just got done with a fun Vegas trip with my wife and my buddy and his wife for his birthday. He and I play craps while the wives play slots usually.
We stayed at Aria but craps was mostly $25 min. We walked to Park MGM and they had $15 tables so played there the first night. Down about $300.
Next day we did more Park, then took a trip down to Fremont and started at El Cortez ($25 wtf?), then Grand which had $10 tables, now we are cooking. Made about $400.
Last day we decided to walk a little and ended up at OYO (old Hooters), where they had one craps table at $5. Super cool dealers. We played there about 3-4 hours and I made $1000. Finally we crossed over to Excalibur and it was hella fun, good $10 table made me about $400 again.
There was some other stuff in there too but I ended up +$1400 which was pretty good.
My strat is a little different than HG, which I do want to try. I rarely press. I usually play the pass line minimum unless I trust the shooter. I always play max odds. If the point sets 5, 6, or 8, I’ll bet the other two. I will also play the field here, but setup my bets so if I lose the field it’s paid back on the 5, 6, or 8 with interest.
For example on a $10 3x/4x/5x table I’ll put $10 on pass. If point sets at 8 I’ll put $50 on odds. I’ll lay $30 on 6 and $25 on 5 and $25 on field. If 5 or 6 hit you lose the field but pays $35 on your 5 or 6. Collect the $10 difference and $25 back up on field.
Obviously I’m putting more at play, so you have to come in with a decent bankroll to take the waves. But when a shooter is going for a while you have a win condition on every single number other than 7. Point then 7 crushes but you can say that for everything. When the point hits after you’ve been collecting fields for awhile the payout is awesome. And collecting double on 2 and triple on 12 is a nice sweetener.-
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Not trying to be harsh. I like the guy and have heard he's a great teammate. I'm not bashing the dude. There's a huge gap between him and the other backs Texas has been fortunate enough to see in the last 4 or 5 seasons. I don't believe he's that dangerous back that requires attention every down. It's not an insult to say a running back isn't Bijan or Brooks. It's not an insult to tell Manu Ginobili "you weren't Kobe." Dab some salve on chili dog's labia and we'll get back to the passing game.
I get the analogy but Manu is a HOF player. He’s in the top 75-100 all time players somewhere. Kobe is top 5-10, but I don’t think you’re saying Wisner is a HOF top 100 level all time back. -
Dan Patrick has such a punchable face. What a complete asshole. When he dies if he doesn't end up in hell, there's no point in having one.
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On 6/12/2025 at 4:43 PM, Deej said:
What's the over/under on her working at a Popeye's and trying to punch customers?
3 years?
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1 hour ago, CastHorn said:
I know it would never happen, but the original Big12 South could flip the sport on its head overnight by re-forming some sort of Southwest Centric Conference. Texas and OU packing the prestige, Tech and A&M outbidding the field for Texas/Louisiana talent. The T Boone Foundation is still pumping dollars into OSU athletics, I think they could easily be an Ole Miss type in the portal lane if they wanted to. I wouldn’t invite Baylor.
I’d start at 12. Maybe:
Texas, A&M, OU, Oklahoma State, Arizona, Kansas
Other Division:
Arizona State, SMU, Colorado, Utah, Kansas State, Texas Tech
Obviously you’re betting on Tech, SMU, Colorado, and ASU to pop off in NIL. If you wanted to go to 14, there is some intriguing regional options. College Sports will wither and die if national conference structures aren’t combatted.
No.
You see some version of this pining for a SWC redo on other sites and in comment sections as people wax nostalgic for "regionality" in college football. Let's all remember what regionality did for Texas:
- Rampant cheating in the SWC
- Baylor fucking us at the lege
- TTech trying to fuck us
- Bleachergate with UH
- TCU, Tech, Baylor turning the Texas game into their annual jihad game
- Those same teams restricting tickets for Texas fans into buying multi-game or season ticket packages just for the Texas game
- Drafting off of Texas' massive fanbase and TV ratings, while simultaneously complaining about big bad Texas
Texas today is right where we should be, and where we need to be. We're in the top conference, where we get consistently pushed by other blue blood programs. We are still a massive brand but we are one of many peers with Bama, Georgia, Tennessee, Florida, etc. All teams that care a lot about football, and invest a lot into football, and have large fanbases. Getting a lot more money is just a side effect of all that.
Fuck TTech and Baylor in their ungrateful bitch asses. The only time we should play them again is in the playoffs, if they make it.
And BTW we're still regional. We play OU, Arky, A&M, and LSU.
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24 minutes ago, Red Five said:
We got there around 8 last year. Paced ourselves a little more with the booze and got inside the stadium early.Same and it was pretty dead in the morning. Didn't feel super crowded until after 10AM. Got into the stadium really early but hung out under the stands due to the heat. Wife has instructed me to get shade seats this year...Hmmm we shall see
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Kai Money
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4 hours ago, atomheartbevo said:
Musk and Peter Thiel and Trump were pitching that Big Beautiful Golden Dome Bullshit to protect all of America.
Meanwhile, a few dozen specialized cargo containers sailed into harbors up and down the East, West, and Gulf Coasts could open up and send out a ton of drones that could easily fuck up a lot of our naval assets, our power grid(s), quite a few military aircraft, etc.
Anti-drone tech is getting better and better every day, but it's always going to be chasing. Directed microwave and laser are probably the best shots against this type of attack and I'm sure we're rolling that out at high risk facilities. Our B-2's are only based at, what like 2 bases? B-52's only a handful and the B-21 Raider is just coming online. Most of the China wargame stuff I've seen says that if China got serious, the majority of our USAF losses would be planes sitting on the ground in Guam, Kaneda, etc. We are not built for a long attritional war like Ukraine is in, we don't have the raw materials or resupply industrial base like we had in WWII. Right now we are as vulnerable as we have been in decades.
Golden Dome isn't a bad idea, we should have it AND anti-drone tech as well. But if China rolls up to the port of SF or NY and pops open a container of 10,000 suicide drones to fly into highrises, nobody has a defense for that. And that would be a warcrime and very different than hitting a military target.
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Not sure how I have missed this one. 20 years after D-Day, Walter Cronkite interviews Ike at Normandy.
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Not sure where this would go, so I guess Daily Texan. A good/interesting article on the Texas Rangers participation in the U.S./Mexico war in the mid-1800's
By the fall of 1847 Scott’s occupation challenges had dramatically increased with his inexorable march west and stunning capture of Mexico City. The strained American army of approximately 24,000 men now relied upon an embattled chain of fortified outposts to govern conquered territory, stretching 260 miles from capital to coast. As negotiations failed, Mexican aristocrats along the line of invasion enthusiastically embraced the call for “War without Pity” as the guerrilla resistance transitioned to a wide-spread insurgency. To remedy this untenable scenario, Scott called for the deployment of a specialized counterguerrilla force to compliment his pacification strategy. The general needed cavalry unlike any other, a cadre of irregulars forged in the crucible of frontier combat. For the hard task at hand, he needed Texas Rangers.
This essay explores how federalized Texas Rangers, officially designated the First Regiment of Texas Mounted Volunteers, supported the U.S. Army in Mexico in 1847 and 1848 by providing critically needed counter-guerilla capacity. It investigates the Texans’ contributions to the American governance program, enabled by their singular mastery of repeating firearms and horsemanship, by pursuing two lines of inquiry: How did they achieve consistent tactical superiority over Mexican mounted forces, and how did their kinetic activities both support and undermine American pacification plans? The answers to these questions will reveal the Texan regiment as a controversial, yet overall beneficial, component of American victory in the decisive campaign of the Mexican-American War.
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Putting Venables and Bielema in the same bracket is malpractice. That's a finals matchup, semis at worst.
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The format they are apparently leaning towards for 16 will see the top 2 get a bye to the QFs and 13-16 have a play-in round.
Play-in round
13 vs 16
14 vs 15
”First” Round
3 vs 14
4 vs 13
5 vs 12
6 vs 11
7 vs 10
8 vs 9
Quarterfinals
1 vs 8
2 vs 7
3 vs 6
4 vs 5
(from the Athletic)In a 16-team bracket, one alternative is to eliminate byes and play eight first-round games over that weekend. That approach is highly unlikely to advance. More likely, the CFP would look to start a week earlier, on what has traditionally been Army-Navy weekend, with the four lowest seeds (13 through 16) playing their way into the second weekend’s six-game bracket.
The top two seeds would still get byes into the quarterfinals.
This is the least worst way to do 16. Still has value in the conference championship. The final step is to move the quarterfinals on campus and we will achieve perfection. That leaves 6 games for the hollowed out husk of the bowls and then the championship, which should be permanently put in the Rose Bowl. -
57 minutes ago, Chooky said:
Remember when Saban started getting bitchy when SEC teams started running more spread and fast tempo? He thought it was egregious that they didn't want to keep running the ball from the I formation, between the tackles, repeatedly, right into the maw of the endless rotation of his hydraulic monsters that comprised his front seven. How dare you adapt so rapidly!
I'm sure he was doing his stupid circular gesticulations with his hands while making noises about "player safety" all while rapidly shifting his recruiting to suit the new world.
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"Here comes Texas, destroyer of the SWC and Big12, trying to throw their weight around to get an advantage with an earlier kick!"
Fuck everyone. I hope we did.
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1 hour ago, Brisketexan said:
This. This is the immutable truth. For the foreseeable future, we will be led by Trumpist Republicans, or Dems who have finally figured out how to play the Trumpist game.
Either way, populist, lie-based idiocy, practicing cruelty against the opposition is our only possible future.-
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pro/rel is a masterbatory fantasy for soccer nerds
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Didn't know where to put this (that's what she said) and he's an uberdouche but this is funny
That guy is king of the whiners -
#2 hot damn! Who we going after?
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There is zero good things that can come out of this. Saban isn't working in Texas best interest here. He wants to roll back the clock. The TTech guy definitely isn't working in our best interest. Both would love to create a new system that is a super-league (that just-so-happens to include TTech), with caps on player movement and earnings and an anti-trust exemption. That requires a CBA and congress to pass a law. Oh and the best part, the Double Eagle guy wants the super-league geographically divided, which would push Tceh back onto our schedule every year.
Let's be clear: the current wild west NIL situation is the perfect setup for Texas. Paying players is legal and above board, so we don't have compliance getting their panties in a bunch and we don't have donors and administration clutching their pearls about dropping bags. The House settlement will only raise the floor via rev sharing, we'll still set the ceiling with our NIL efforts. The NIL clearinghouse will either get defanged or sued out of existence.
You can see why most of the schools want to go back to the old way, or put a soft/hard salary cap on players: it was much better for them. Saban can feign ignorance but he had bag men dropping illegal cash to buy players and everyone knew it. Because that was under the table the amounts pale in comparison to what those players are getting today. Now NIL can be up to NFL 3rd round type money. There are only a handful of schools who can keep up in that world: Texas is at the top of that pile.
We should look at any change as negative because the current situation, while broken and imperfect, sets Texas up for success better than any other post integration.
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1 hour ago, tbone_ said:
Maybe she loves him. Ever think of that?
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Somewhere Mack is laughing his ass off right now.
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5 minutes ago, immamac said:
[...] what are you talking about? [...] He was just a bit stoic because he isn't (even in his personal life) a very loud/vocal person.
That is what I was talking about.
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July 4th Hill Country Flooding Tragedy
in Daily Texan
Posted
I had tears flowing reading that, thinking of my kids and what that family has and will go through. My God, have mercy on their souls.