Js1
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Recruiting - 2020
2019-2020 Football Season
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Posts posted by Js1
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24 minutes ago, jdhorn92 said:
wandering the netherlands for a decade
That sounds nice though
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17 minutes ago, Zonahorn said:
Getting SO CLOSE to saying it about Kamala.
"Kamala and her fellow n-words...." will be the October surprise.
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15 minutes ago, Mo Horn said:Irony is dead
Start by telling your kids than their grandfather keeps inciting violence BY PEOPLE IN HIS OWN PARTY because he's a racist piece of shit.
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1 hour ago, Funk Doctor Spock said:
What are you on about? Everyone here is a doctor...a lawyer...also a nurse...and an expert in hydraulics.
Excuse you I am also a virologist, a foreign policy savant, a ballistics expert and a world renowned athletic trainer. I know more about football than Sark will ever know in his life. You think Jerritt Elliot can coach a volleyball program? psh, only because he consults with me.
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1 minute ago, MrX said:
That’ll be news to Allred.
Allred in the mirror every morning:
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Ranked 8th
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Texas and FL getting some money. Is there truth to that tweet by LaCivita about Ted’s race being too close for comfort??
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23 minutes ago, Red Five said:There was a Dotardarian at our tailgate last weekend. Politics came up briefly, in the form of “Can you believe that crazy eating pets bullshit they’re pushing?”. The Dotardarian chimed in with “Actually I heard that’s true.”
Turns out that him hearing that it’s true came from some random people on the internet saying that it’s true. These people lose their fucking minds when it comes to politics. Otherwise bright people (sometimes) just can’t process this shit rationally.If your friends fall for this shit, they aren’t smart people. I’m tired of hearing “but they’re very smart otherwise”
Ben Carson is a neurosurgeon with degrees from Yale and Michigan and works at Johns Hopkins and thinks pyramids are grain silos.
They may be very book smart in their field, but they’re idiots otherwise
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43 minutes ago, Chopper said:
There are barely any high-quality state polls anymore. Good polling is expensive, and our media has been captured by corporate interests which are for the most part only concerned with profits. That's why there's so many shitty national polls. It didn't used to be this way. For example, Gallup used to do public polling on behalf of media clients but there's no longer demand for the type of extensive pre-election research they'd do in the public sphere.
This is a big one. You might get a handful of legitimate polling forms (Quinnipiac, Marist, NYT/Siena, Marquette, Suffolk, UMass, Selzer) and whoever CNN/Fox News contract out to, but for the most part, it's a bunch of crap, compounded by being right-wing spam crap, like Insider Advantage, Trafalgar, Emerson, etc.
There's not too many left-wing spam polls - maybe Data for Progress. PPP used to poll A LOT back in the day, especially at the district level, and now they rarely commission a new poll.
2016/18/20 saw a lot of really good high quality district-level polling, especially by NYT/Siena, and now - *crickets*
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7 minutes ago, wildcat09 said:
It's amazing that our professional sports franchises have more moral clarity than our mainstream media.
Don't forget how many of them opened their arenas to voting
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6 minutes ago, swraith said:
Is the House in a perpetual state of "toss" up due to so many "safe" districts on each side? I was assuming the Democrats would have a better chance at retaking the House after Harris moved to the top of the ticket. However, it seems like the House remains locked in a state of "toss up".
There's not a lot of district-level polling. Like a dearth, compared to 2020/22.
There will be a lot of Election Night surprises because of it. But the House is, to me, lean D. Dems don't need many seats to win back the majority - even accounting for NC being 3 pickups for the GOP from the new maps, Dems can easily retake the majority through the NY/CA seats with higher presidential turnout and NY's new maps. Not to mention AZ + automatic pickup of new seats in LA and AL.
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11 minutes ago, Thatguy said:
Man I am not usually a conspiracy theorist but.....gettin kinda weird!
I mean, it's not like the same day as this, Vance admitted they make up stories to get headlines.
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Just now, Pato del Muerto said:
Do you know of historically there is a period before election day where opinions solidify and don’t change, such that good polling/enough data in the set is fairly reflective of the final outcomes? And if so where are we relative to that time?
Well this I know - I don't think there's been a change in the PV winner from who was leading post-Labor Day (margin changes, but not the overall winner). I'd probably bank more on what the state polls look like in say, 30 days, compared to now. Hence why I think Silver giving Trump a 40% chance of winning the PV is a joke, because Harris has been the national PV leader pre- and post-Labor day.
For instance - in September 2020, Ann Selzer had Iowa a TIE race. In October 2020, like the weekend prior to the election, she dropped that Trump +7 that ended up very close to the final margin. The closer you get to Election Day, the more accurate polling should be.
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So the (GOP) lawyers for West's electors argued "we're not really candidates! we don't have to comply with candidate rules!" As in other cases this cycle, that argument was completely rejected. (4/4)
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14 minutes ago, InkaUtexas said:
if AK supreme is the best out there, what will MAGA dudes get instead? I mean, need to have more firepower right?
AK Alpha Supreme.
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37 minutes ago, BERT said:
I think you can watch SEC+ game without subscribing to ESPN+ oddly enough. I was able to watch games this past weekend and I don’t have ESPN+ at the moment. As long as your tv provider has SEC network you should be good. I was using a Dish Network login
Correct. SECN+ is an extension of your SEC Network access from your cable or streaming subscription. ESPN+ is wholly separate from your ESPN access from your cable or streaming subscription.
This game is accessible via either your SEC Network cable subscription or your extra ESPN+ subscription.
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6 minutes ago, Zonahorn said:
And to put the final nail in the coffin: Arizona is 53% White Non-Hispanic, not 71%, and 50-64 makes up 17% of Arizona, not 35%. Poll is bad and wrong
It's def a little skewed for age - 50-64 was 26% of the electorate in 2020. Really got oversampled there.
The race crosstabs don't look skew-y to me - 2020 was 74% white, 19% Latino. This poll is 71% and 19%. Gender was also the same as 2020 - 52/48
Party ID is a little screw-y - 2020 was 26 D, 35 R, 39 I and this poll is 32 D, 33 R, 35 I
Overall, just take it for what it is - a Trafalgar poll. We need more high quality GA, PA, AZ polls - period.
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27 minutes ago, Pancho said:
LOL this is hilarious.
They are so preoccupied with ABC now.
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Harris has held solid leads in WI, MI and now even Trafalgar has her up in NV (by what would be a healthy margin, considering their lean)
That is 257
She has led in several high-quality NC polls - that is all she needs to put her over 270. GA/AZ/PA is running up the score and I fully expect that she will win all 3
There's an expectation of several high-quality PA polls coming this week (FINALLY) to see where this race really is.
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Just now, Beantown Express 2.0 said:
Someone want to explain to me how Arizona has voted for a D Governor and 2 D senators and last election voted Biden over Trump now will switch back to Trump? I find this hard to believe.
I do too. Especially with abortion on the ballot. I’m just posting as I see them
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5 minutes ago, InkaUtexas said:
GOP says Secret Service sucks at protecting Trump. If I was this dudes lawyer I would argue he was just there and armed to guard the former President. All the militias would love that.
The agents Trump handpicked to protect him lol
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5 point shift left
0.4 shift right- 1
The situation in Springfield, Ohio- Haitians, Cats, and High Minded Rhetoric
in Cloak Room
Posted
I like to hit my mom with "And this is why it's my job as uncle to make sure my nephews and your grandsons don't ever end up like you"