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Jimmy Two Times

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by Jimmy Two Times

  1. TBD until we see results on the field, but Emaree Winston has to be one of the most surprising recruits in a while. We were all completely ambivalent as to whether he ended up in the class. Early returns on him and Townsend are great to hear given where we're at in the 2026 class. On the other hand, reading between the lines on Lockett/Ffrench, it sounds a bit concerning. Bobby/Gerry didn't talk about them as instant contributors during the recruiting process, but you'd like to hear better things from recruits of their stature. Particularly because the seem to be well behind McCutcheon and it's not like they're hyping him up as a future Day One draft pick. I'd trade all three of those guys for DK Moore.
  2. Strong analysis, absolutely no difference between subpar QB play and good QB play.
  3. Spoilered some discussion on the Ohio State 247 page regarding their QB battle. Their mods have been consistently lukewarm on Sayin coming out of spring and they talk about Kienholz like he's a game manager JAG. All very heartening.
  4. Dante Moore is small, not particularly mobile and doesn’t have a strong arm. He’s pretty accurate in the short and intermediate, so I think he’ll largely look alright since the Oregon offense is gimmicky and doesn’t require a ton of big time throws. I expect he’ll struggle against Penn State and maybe IU and look pretty good against overmatched competition. I don’t think Oregon is a real threat this year.
  5. It does seem like they're attempting to build what is essentially a souped up Big 12 team. I feel like I've posted a few variations of this, but it's just so shocking to me that the powers that be at OU were fooled by such an obvious charlatan. If you take the teams that are perceived as effectively deploying the "identify underrecruited three stars", say KSU, ISU and Rhule Baylor, they typically produce 2-5 NFL draft picks annually, including 1-2 first round picks per decade. Oh and also they quite literally never contend for national championships. Nagy claims they can contend for national championships using this strategy. Let's take a look at NFL draft results for recent national champions: OSU '25: 14 draft picks (7 in the first two rounds) Michigan'24: 13 draft picks (3 in the first two rounds) Georgia '23: 10 draft picks (3 in the first two rounds) Georgia '22: 15 draft picks (7 in the first two rounds) Alabama '21: 10 draft picks (8 in the first two rounds) Of course that only includes draft eligible players, if you look at draft results the year after a national championship, it's usually a pretty similar picture. So basically what Nagy is selling is that he can double the hit rate of the very best talent identifiers AND talent developers every single year because... he learned so much watching pro bowls? No one has ever tried deploying this strategy at a blue chip school? Just trust me bro?
  6. I was assuming that was a case of making the transfer "earn" his spot, similar to Shannon running out at first team (if you can call what he does running).
  7. Odd not to see McCutcheon listed on second team given all the reporting around him.
  8. Yeah kind of a weird situation where I don't hate Elko or Venables. Might be projecting, but I feel like Elko really gets how ludicrous the whole aggie thing is and he helps keep multiple diners and liquor stores in our state in business. In Venables' case, I love the guy. He's a complete lunatic and presents no threat to Texas. You can nitpick, but I don't think he's a terrible person by P5 head coach standards. He's clearly suffering from severe CTE, holds hilarious press conferences and is sabotaging our chief rival to the point where they'll need years to recover.
  9. If Mosley is as good as Wingo and Moore like Gerry suggests that would be something... we just need the OL to be solid in pass pro and this offense will be elite.
  10. Probably pretty fuckin significant because he’d need a team of 6000 scouts to compete with our current roster building by identifying under recruited three stars.
  11. What’s so funny about the “money ball” approach is that it’s what literally every school that’s not Texas, Ohio State, Georgia, Bama, Miami, etc. already does and has been doing for years. Credit to Nagy for thinking up the “what if we just recruited three stars but only ones that are are good” strategy. Can’t wait to see how that turns out.
  12. 13,000 posts on surlyhorns.com is the hallmark of a guy who's just too busy to tune into commitment ceremonies.
  13. Agree with all this, but I'd go a step further and say he might not be playing with better talent on offense. WSU had a really nice receiving corp last year, easily better than what OU is rolling out in 25. I have no recollection of their TEs, but I genuinely can't imagine a TE room that's worse than OU's. I do think Mateer is a good quarterback, but also think it's substantially more likely that he has a rough year than an all-conference year.
  14. This is so true, you'll see guys like Crowell or Rueben Owens playing like Reggie Bush in their HS tape. Certainly a good thing to show speed and elusiveness, but if going lateral and bouncing outside is your first instinct against Colin Simmons and Ant Hill instead of future fraternity intramural players, you're going to get blown up. Both guys have terrific film and I'm just happy we got one.
  15. Could honestly be the title of this whole thread.
  16. Presumably the staff has evaluated the running backs that they're after. I don't really understand your concern. What about our recruiting the last few years gives you the idea that this is as zero sum as you describe it and that we are potentially landing Cooper at the expense of a top-tier prospect at another position? In any case, I think you're really overstating the issue with blue chip running backs. Take a look at the draft the last ten years and the top picks at the position are littered with former 5 stars/high 4 stars, particularly the very top level guys.
  17. Something I was thinking about this weekend is depth on our defense. We're loaded with playable depth, but there's also numerous guys not projected to start that I would be pretty comfortable with starting a CFP game. Vasek, Derek Williams, Tyanthony Smith and Trey Moore are guys that would be penciled in on a lot of really good teams. Then you've got the freshman class coming in behind, which is probably the most talented group I can remember. PK and his staff have been a god send.
  18. The implication from the poster above was that it's not worth recruiting top of the line backs out of the high school ranks and Jeanty was cited. I would agree with the sentiment if the staff was doing so at the expense of higher leverage positions (they're not), but if you look at the top backs in the NFL like Barkley, Bijan, Gibbs, Henry, CMC, there are a lot of blue chip, top 10 rated recruits. In any case, this staff has also gone after under recruited players like Brooks, Wisner and Rickey Stewart, so I don't think they're star chasing.
  19. I love the take that because Ashton Jeanty, 90th ranked RB in the 2022 composite, is better than Jam Miller, we should not want a top 5 RB recruit. Should we flip the current 90th ranked RB from Old Dominion? I bet everyone here would be thrilled.
  20. You replied to a guy saying they'll likely go 8-4 and then conclude that they will go 8-4.
  21. Patricia was a really curious hire given he's essentially been in a multi-year flameout since he left the Belichick/Brady bubble. I remember him having issues with players when he coached the Lions because he was such an asshole hardo, which you would think may not go well with college kids. He's a total wildcard like you said, but my baseline expectation is that he's a sizable downgrade from Knowles and he's working with less experience and talent on defense.
  22. The funny thing about Tech’s transfer class is they spent an obscene amount and ended up adding 3, maybe 4, guys that I view as real impact players to a roster that was otherwise fairly mediocre. For the most part, these guys are closer to Jermayne Lole level players than Mukuba/Golden. The strategy doesn’t make sense to me, it’s not like they had an existing roster ready for a playoff run and just needed a few pieces. They’ll get tagged a few times in B12 play because it’s a random number generator conference and they go on the road to Utah, ASU and KSU. More than anything, they set themselves up to be national laughingstocks.
  23. I generally agree with this. I decided to be generous and give them OL mainly because I was more impressed with Hinzmann down the stretch as their returner than I have been with DJ Campbell as ours (although I obviously watched a lot more DJ and am overly critical of our players) and I truthfully know very little about their other OL. Goosby was more impressive than either of them in his limited stretch now that I'm thinking about it, but it's so hard to project either unit given all the turnover. At RB, I don't view Wisner as materially better than Donaldson, who I expect to be healthy week 1. I'm not counting Baxter as I don't expect him to contribute at the start of the season and I truly wouldn't care one way or the other if you swapped Gibson and Peoples on our roster, so RB depth washes out for me. At QB, you're probably right. I'm sky high on Manning and would bet on him as the better player, but they purport to be very high on Sayin. Good point on the extra year in the system. I just have a hard time making any kind of judgment when I haven't seen the other QB play. Fair on the secondary as well, I think I'm so scarred from Downs' performance in the Cotton Bowl that it completely blinds me. I think Atkinson would be nice depth on our roster, but if you have NC aspirations and he's your feature pass rusher... not great. Overall, I'd be far more concerned about defensive line and LB if I were them than I am about anything on our roster.
  24. I will give them WR/TE, OL and it wouldn't be crazy to argue safety/CB. We are definitively better at DL, LB and edge rushing. RB/QB, kind of up for grabs IMO. I think the Ohio State DL and edge rushers is the biggest gap between the teams' position groups.
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