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Everything posted by Governor

  1. Anyone else playing on PokerBros?
  2. Yeah, I imagine most controls/regulations discourage the recreational player, and even the compulsive gambler when all the fun is sucked out of the experience. Now you're left with decent to good grinders.
  3. 100% agreed. There's just something so satisfying about having a pile of chips pushed to you and then going through them in front of everyone meticulously picking out the big denominations and then building some chip towers.
  4. I'm surprised there hasn't been a bigger push for digital tables (like those on a cruise ship). I don't like them at all, but if the concern is not spreading disease, repeatedly passing around chips and cards probably isn't the solution. (And yes, I'm aware the main means of spread is through the air, and not from physical contact with surfaces. But it is certainly possible.)
  5. This is not such a bad thing when the Chilean boat pulls up and anchors next to you in the Caribbean.
  6. Seats look comfortable.
  7. It's nice to be back and to see so many familiar names.
  8. I'm not disregarding the economics at all. In fact I specifically mentioned what is actually being discussed amongst the 15-20 biggest programs out there--which is delaying the start of the season only to allow for more people to be in the stands. 100K seats in DKR @ $100/pop is a cool $10mm per game even before concessions and parking. They are very aware of the economics, as am I. Much like Ford with the Pinto and it's poorly-located gas tank, Universities are keenly aware of potential lawsuits awaiting them. This is both a health and business decision for them. The scales are certainly tilted in the direction of us having at least some football this Fall, but they certainly aren't tilted anywhere towards packed houses the first week of September. A lot can change in three months, but that is the current state of affairs.
  9. I think you're disregarding some very important details here, the most obvious being that the scientific reason behind not having mass gatherings is to slow/control the spread of the virus. Sure, we can hope everyone who comes to the game is under 60. But that doesn't stop them from contracting it in a stadium full of people and then spreading it to the unassuming restaurant patron 2-days later, or to their professor. More directly football related--there are more than 15 Division 1 head coaches over the age of 60. Big names. Nick Saban. Mack Brown. Les Miles. Not to mention assistant coaches and gameday support staff. It's not just a bunch of 18-22 yr olds running around out there. Furthermore, and this is more prevalent in college football than any other sport, people travel from large distances every week to see their teams play. Hell, I fly in from Mexico for home games. Not to mention visiting fans from other states. I've been on a call with, let's just say a high ranking member of a Top Tier FBS University's Chancellor's office, and there is a lot going on behind the scenes. So many scenarios. So many contingencies. What if there's an outbreak within the K-State football team after week 3? Do they quarantine for 2 weeks, and only play a 9-game schedule? What if California doesn't allow gatherings of more than 30 people, so no California team can even practice? Do big schools push to have the season start Oct 1 instead, in hopes of having more fans in the stands on gameday, and still having time to fit in a full schedule? All states aren't equal. All conferences aren't equal. It's currently a clusterfuck, with a lot of unanswered questions. But as of today, yes, it's wishful thinking that we'll have a packed house come Sept 5.
  10. Until the State Legislature changes the law.
  11. They're "reasoning" isn't really reasoning at all. I've coached a number of players over the years, and some are just stuck in the "woe is me" stage instead of recognizing their leaks and improving their game. It's many of those same player-types that complain about the poker gods being against them. Some of these guys are naturally incredibly talented, too. They just have some major leaks that keep them from making the next step. Sometimes those leaks are just as simple as being emotional and tilting, or playing beyond their bankroll where inevitably variance and luck overcome skill. I, like many people, enjoy and prefer the interaction during a live poker game, but man it sure it nice to just play from your couch or bathroom or desk without having to put shoes and a shirt on. With that I've just got to accept that I'm going to see some pretty absurd hands with chips so freely flying around.
  12. After more than a decade of playing poker--and even moving countries to do so, a few years ago I made the full-time transition into sports betting. It's crazy the numbers that I think are "normal" now, considering what I felt comfortable with in 2018. That said, and on topic, Futures bets are a waste of time for everyone. You can just put that money in a mutual fund and get a higher expected return than laying money on a futures bet that won't settle for months. Sure, it's less fun, but if we're talking about your money, taking a bet that settles in a short period of time is the better play. Not to mention all those futures tickets that get lost, win, and never get cashed.
  13. As Lurch said, those complaints about "online poker being rigged" or "seeing more bad beats online" are nothing new. This is due to a combination of a few factors: 1) People always think they're good at poker; 2) If you're used to playing live poker and transition to online, you've gone from seeing 25-27 hands per hour on average, to 80...per table. Many people play more than one table at a time. Heck, when I was grinding my hardest, I saw more hands online in one week than I'd see playing live 10 hours a day every day for a year. 3) People are looser with their chips online. When poker first started, people were betting with actual cash. Counting out bills and coins before making your decision caused more people to check or fold. Then poker chips were introduced, which made people looser with their bets and calls. And virtual chips make people even looser, so you see worse hands making it to showdown, and inevitably you see more "bad beats." What you don't see are all the people who have called down to the river and missed, and then fold to a river bet. 4) People only remember the hands they lose, not the ones they win. So they don't remember the 80% of the time they with with AA all in preflop versus KK, QQ, TT, etc, but they damn well sure tell everyone that they "always get sucked out on" because they lost once to JJ. I've put in millions of hands online, have an extensive database, and all the numbers add up. Sure I go on some bad streaks, but I also go on some good streaks. I think the most important thing to realize is that poker sites have no incentive to "rig" hands. In their perfect world, no one loses, everyone breaks even, and they just collect the rake. And on these apps out there, like PokerBros and pokerrrr2, the app itself is a play money app. They don't deal with real money games. All the real money games are privately run.
  14. Interesting...So it's not that he didn't commit fraud, it's that California law doesn't allow the plaintiffs to recover from him for doing so.
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