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Hank Chinaski

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Posts posted by Hank Chinaski

  1. 1 hour ago, tx 3 putt said:


     

    Analytics 

    dubon should have been in there game 1 

     

    surly experts don’t care about numbers that goes against their group think 

    Arbitrary time frame and short sample that means absolutely nothing.

    • Hook 'Em 1
  2. 17 hours ago, Wulaw Horn said:

    It goes beyond small sample size. I posted an article on the Dh penalty. It’s real. If you wanted to draw up a person it would disproportionately Affect that person is likely yainer. 

    It is real, but the effect size described in the article was like 14 points of OPS. Which is something, but not an enormous difference over an entire season, much less a few games. There’s no reason to think Diaz is a great hitter when he catches and a terrible hitter when he DHs is there?

    Note: I agree, of course, that he should be catching; not arguing that. Just saying that I think it is almost entirely small sample noise that makes him appear hapless as a DH. 

  3. We’ve given total control of the organization to Dusty fucking Baker. We are the bizarro Astros - from Lunhow to Dusty.

    Jim Crane experienced unprecedented success…and decided to do the exact opposite of what got him there.

    Fuck it, I fully, 100% hope the Astros lose tonight, because stupid fucking actions should be met with consequences.

    Dusty has put his feeling over the team’s success all year long. Crane has endorsed it. I have no idea what Brown does.

    This really is the perfect end. To the season and to the org’s run of success.

    • Like 5
    • Drool 1
  4. 27 minutes ago, Chuckie Finster said:

    The refusal to put an obviously finished Brantley on the injured list and intentionally shortening our bench is as close as you can get to a true "fired for cause: incompetence" scenario for the GM.

    We’ve been operating as a dumb organization, top to bottom, since the ‘22 WS ended. 

    • Hook 'Em 1
    • Rage+1 2
  5. 28 minutes ago, Gut Wagon said:

    The hardest thing about this September is deciding whether to use the laughing or rage reaction to any given Astros post. 

    I’m going with laughing. It’s tragic comedy. Matter of fact, I had this exchange with @Wulaw Horn about a week ago:

    Me: I’m embracing the comedic element of all this. Like, Shakespearean comedy, not real comedy.

    Wulaw: Shakespeare sucks.

    • Hook 'Em 1
    • Haha 2
  6. 6 minutes ago, Rockethorn1978 said:

    So we should sweep the M’s as rangers lose 2 of 3 to the angels then we go 3-1 at az as the M’s get revenge and sweep the rangers. Rangers out. We in. That’s my prediction. Aggy tears will follow.

    Seems unlikely. 

    • Haha 2
  7. 11 minutes ago, Scraps said:

    If anyone wants a presale code for postseason tickets I will have one for tomorrow morning at 11am lulz.   I already made up my mind a month ago this would be the first season since we started the run that I wouldn't be going to any of the playoff games.  (none of us may be going to any at this point)

     

    Jim Mora Playoffs GIF

    • Haha 8
    • Rage+1 1
  8. 5 minutes ago, tx 3 putt said:

    No sane owner is hiring a manager and directing to him this and that about who’s starting and not staring. This isnt mlb the game 

     

    The owner shouldn’t tell the manager who to play. The owner should create an org structure such that that the front office/GM/analytics staff and the manager are on the same page. What’s insane is allowing the manager to play the wrong players.

    • Hook 'Em 3
  9. 4 minutes ago, Slacks said:

    But as with almost any lineup, the catcher is not going to be a deciding factor in the overall production of the lineup.

    It’s a sample size thing. You maximize your team’s odds of winning any given game by starting your best players. Over a big enough sample - like 162 games - it does matter who you play at catcher. If we flipped totals of MM and YD starts at catcher, this team probably has about 4 more wins than it currently does. Those wins are pretty important.

    Again, it’s what people have been screaming all season, and right now is exactly why. this team never had the luxury of fucking around with subpar lineups as frequently as it did. (And I’m not talking about the injuries - I’m talking about catcher, Chas sitting 25% of the time, the stupid batting orders, etc.)

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