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atomheartbevo

Certifiably Surly
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Posts posted by atomheartbevo

  1. 8 minutes ago, Goredho said:

    But writing that just makes me sad that there are enough people out there who are stupid enough to make it necessary.

    Ticking over Ye Olde 50 Years Old threshold and the amount of "the Texas legislature has voted on new healthcare legislation bleh bleh bleh and Medicare or Medicaid bleh bleh bleh" spam robo calls has shot up for me, even with constantly blocking.

    Somebody out there is making a shitload of money on these spam robo calls, and even though I clearly recognize them as spam robocalls, it's obvious a lot of people aren't.

    Now ramp that up to 11 with AI with a lot more stuff. We are in for a rough ride.

    I used to chuckle at the once-in-a-blue-moon phone call from a relative asking why somebody in another country wants to send them cash.  Now I'm pretty sure half my older relatives have had a few thousand dollars stolen from them over this stuff.

    • Hook 'Em 1
  2. 11 minutes ago, HenryJames said:

    This is bad for the Democrats. - Surly probably

     

    The next 10 months are going to be interesting as hell, as he fixates on polls and Epstein stuff.

     

    • Like 1
  3. 14 minutes ago, Chad Fuck said:

    I want to believe this.  But in my gut, I feel like if the US backs out, Europe will back down. 

    I don't think so.  Sweden and Finland didn't get off the fence for that to happen. However, America as the "Arsenal of Democracy" and as leader of the free world is rapidly slipping away. 

    We just have to remember that Ukraine doesn't have to win, they just have to not lose, and there's a distinction there - we see them hitting targets inside of Russia every day that drags Russia just a little bit closer to systemic failures (power, oil & gas, etc.) that they can't easily recover from.  Sure, Russia can burn 120,000 soldiers to get a shell of a town that used to have a population of 60,000, but that's not something they can repeat over and over, and no amount of dead and wounded soldiers will keep the lights on and the oil flowing. Without that hard cash, Iran and China aren't going to sell them the goods, and without power and heat, the Russian people will get really antsy.

    And there's talk that Russia is burning through those soldiers over the past few months to achieve psychological victories to pressure Trump because they think his usefulness is coming to an end. Whether that's true or not is more for CR, but they've definitely ramped up pressure on the battlefield to achieve something at a helluva cost.

    And they still haven't fully taken over Pokrovsk, which is wild.

    • Hook 'Em 2
    • Fuck Around and Find Out 1
  4. 30 minutes ago, berlinerbaer said:

    The CA law is on much firmer legal ground but there is a clause in what the voters approved that it only goes into effect if TX goes through with their mid-decade re-districting. I’d like to see it stand if FL tries to screw around, but I think GOP shenanigans aren’t in the cards after their electoral drubbing earlier this month.

    They took the Texas clause out.

    • Like 1
  5. 3 hours ago, Ghost of NMAS said:

    Also, I was pretty sure that I was the only person who had read those.

    Suspicious Monkey GIF by MOODMAN

    2 hours ago, Captain Ron said:

    No, he probably didn't.

    It's about a dystopian future where South Africans still have slavery in the 20th century and are trying to take over the world.  Probably required reading in his household growing up.

    • Hook 'Em 1
  6. 2 minutes ago, Sawbonz said:

    Why were reporters asking your grandmother questions?

    Tell me you've never met his grandmother without telling me you've never met his grandmother.

    • Haha 1
    • Fuck Around and Find Out 1
  7. On 11/12/2025 at 5:49 PM, Snake Diggity said:

    Shit is so fucked up and crazy that I am starting to actually believe that there is some known pending apocalyptic event that only extremely powerful people know about and Donald Trump was chosen to distract us until it happens.

    3 minutes ago, wood said:

    I know it sounds crazy, but I, too, have had this same thought. 

    Nah, that would require some distant celestial body to enter our solar system to act as a vessel conveying whatever apocalyptic cause there is.

    • Haha 2
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    • Fuck Around and Find Out 1
  8. 38 minutes ago, GreenspointTexas said:

    We aint gonna be able to glean shit from these released “files”

    Probably not, but it's all being placed on Trump's plate - it's his people that will be holding up the files now.  Congress did their part to vote on it, with veto-proof majorities.

    And Trump has not been acting particularly well as of late.  And Republicans are squabbling over it.

  9. 1 hour ago, hayden_horn said:

    Fascists always eat themselves. It's inevitable because of the endless purity tests and proving oneself to the furher and bending the knee gets old after awhile. Or you have power struggles that splinter the supposed united front.  Look at the nazis. The Republicans are in the bunker with Trump. Or they arent...

    So is Nick Fuentes publicly declaring MAGA is dead the canary in the coal mine, or is Johnson being bamboozled by Thune and the Senate?  Or is it hardcore MAGA like Boebert, MTG, and Mace rebelling over the Epstein stuff and a bunch of Republicans signaling they would vote for the release, forcing Trump to tell the Republicans to vote for it, versus his foaming at the mouth the previous week?

    Or how about this from Laura Loomer:

    Quote

    I’m going to say it. The GOP has a Nazi problem. And the more we pretend like we don’t, the worse it’s going to get. We do. Don’t tell me we don’t.

    “If the GOP doesn’t address this, then they deserve to lose the midterms,” “And yes, it will cost us the midterm"

    I feel like it's Johnson getting played.

    But Loomer and Fuentes combined is a close second.

  10. 29 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:


    No, people. None of them will run against Trump, who is absolutely going to run on 2028. Not only will SCOTUS not block it, they’ll enjoin states against refusing to put him on the ballot.
    I’m not kidding, not even a little bit.

    GOP is already fighting (still laughing that Thune fucked Johnson over like that) and Trump won't be able to be on most states' ballots anyways.  

    This Epstein stuff is going to sink him and he's acting like it.  That "piggy" was his brain coming up with something other than "bitch" or "cunt".

    • Hook 'Em 1
  11. 5 hours ago, Bateshorn said:

    I thought I read that no GOP seater greater than r+6 fell in VA a few weeks ago, so if I had to guess, right now? I think everything from r+8 is possibly in trouble.  If Nividia doesn't print after hours today and the market sells off 2+% tomorrow, I think the base is Everything GOP+10 is shakey and the trendlines are getting worse for the Republicans. 

    If we do really get to GOP +15 seats are in trouble, the Senate is going to look real interesting. AK, ME, NC, OH, and IA will be in deep trouble, with KY, KS, MT, and possibly SC or AL coming into play. I won't believe TX is going to flip until the Democrats can win literally anything statewide, even with Ken Paxton on the ticket. 

    Keep in mind that a healthy chunk of MAGA were not consistent voters prior to 2016 (and some of them are far too obsessed with the PizzaGate/Epstein stuff), and toss in Trump fumbling the Epstein Files, Mike Johnson fumbling the House vote, Thune letting Johnson get caught off guard, and then you have people like Nick Fuentes declaring MAGA dead, etc., etc.  None of this is going to drive people to the polls for the Rs.

    And plenty of the MAGA types have been harmed by Trump's policies (tariffs, trade wars, etc.).  Even if they don't outright denounce it, they aren't going to be enthusiastic about voting.

    And Trump's not on the ballot.

    • Hook 'Em 1
    • Fuck Around and Find Out 1
  12. 6 hours ago, Gatorubet said:

    I had not realized that Mike had sold some of the GOP representatives who voted to release the files by telling them that the Senate would not pass that version of the bill, and would kick it back so they can delay and pass a bunch of amendments on the bill.

    The reason he looks shaken is because he lied to a whole bunch of Republican house members about what would happen in the Senate.  Which makes you wonder what kind of communication he had with Thune - is Mike an idiot who didn’t bother to ask what was happening and/or assumed he could get the Senate to do his dirty work - or was he played by the Senate because everyone is tired of his incompetence as speaker of the house?  

    6 hours ago, The Dog said:

    Mike Johnson's reaction would indicate they haven't finished anything and fully expected this to be kicked back to the House. 

    These aren't very smart people.

    Yeah, Johnson (and Trump) have lost control of the House and I fully expect that Thune played Johnson like a fiddle.  Johnson not only looks incompetent, but weak. He was clearly shocked that the Senate just went and voted on it. Blaming Schumer was a weak move, because the GOP is in power.

    And the bad news for the GOP, on top of the elections from earlier this month, is that no matter what Trump does or says, it's going to be his DOJ holding up the files, and there are MAGA who are obsessed with these files and they are not happy and will be even more pissed.

    And Trump is going to be constantly asked about the files and he's going to constantly lose his temper, lose his train of thought, he's going to rail about Democrats, but people on the right are going to ask why so many files of criminal Democrats are blacked out or being withheld.  

    When Nick Fuentes is out there literally saying "MAGA is dead"....It's going to be amusing if it turns out that the Qanon/Pizzagaters end up being a part of the reason why MAGA fails.

    • Hook 'Em 3
  13. 2 hours ago, The Dog said:

    Trump's departure will leave a power vacuum like nothing we've seen in American politics.

    There is also no clear successor, no platform, no vision, and no leadership due to the way Trump has run the party.

    2 hours ago, tx 3 putt said:

    one of dumbasses many flaws is his greed / not sharing $$$ with the old guard GoP. they'll be looking to cut down any maga wana be's asap and get that $$$ flowing back to them 

    2 hours ago, tx 3 putt said:

    old guard GoP don't give a fuck about illegals,  healthcare, saudis, ukraine, ...

    what they care about .. 

    Money Life GIF

     

    There are a ton of old-school Republicans who are pissed that money got diverted from them to Trump and Co., and they have been waiting their turn in line and think it's their time (and that Trump and Co. interrupted their chances), and they are not going to let the Trump-lites continue feeding at their hog trough.

    Edit: And none of Trump's people are even close to having the grasp on MAGA that he has, whether it's his kids or the people in his orbit.  A whole shitload of those MAGA types will probably go back to not voting like they did before.

    • Hook 'Em 2
  14. My understanding of hashed US-Russian peace plan. As ugly as you’d expect:

    — Ukr army 2.5 x reduction. Only Ukr army. Note: not 2x as speculated

    — No foreign troops in Ukraine

    — No foreign diplomatic planes in Ukraine

    — Ban on long range weapons that can reach St. Petersburg, Moscow

    — Ceding territory

    ---------------------------------

    This has to be a joke, especially when Trump is out there talking about sanctioning any and all countries doing business with Russia.

     

    • Rage+1 5
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