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SmokeyTheBear

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by SmokeyTheBear

  1. I continue to wonder if we have a strategy of a drip approach. If we just gave Ukraine all the toys, then Putin has cover with his populous that this war was always unfair and that might keep him in power. If we do a constant drip of toys to match his meat waves, then it increases the pain on the populace to force regime change. That has to be the end game in this conflict. Russia has to change and I think if Putin is obviously out matched, then he has to retreat, remessage and possibly retain power and that structure remains for the world to deal with. I think we also have to factor a resupply lag time with equipment. All the supporting countries have to find out how to backfill (with mainly American weapon systems) to remain war ready if this fully escalates. There has to be some hedging on goods delivered to the front lines vs potential value of goods staying home in case they are needed for their own defenses.
  2. I largely agree but there is certainly a path to it that he touched on. IF Ukraine loses, and IF Putin goes for a NATO country, and somehow IF retains power during that, I can definitely see an exchange of nukes. Maybe not on US soil but as a defensive play on major European cities. There's a lot of IFs to work thru that I don't think we will ever see. But certainly reinforces the need to give Ukraine whatever they need to cripple Russia permanently. I love Zeihan's perspective and analysis, you (the royal you) have to take it in broad strokes though. His doom and gloom is just opportunity for innovation and new industry IMO.
  3. 30 minute discussion with a lot of what we've been discussing but some new threads of points.
  4. SmokeyTheBear

    High

    I'm staying in the Netherlands for a month this summer. Has anyone traveled abroad with a Pax like device? Any pro tips if so?
  5. SmokeyTheBear

    High

    Been a Pax user for a few years now and have 2 of the Pax 3's. Just purchased the Mighty+ and breaking it in tonight with some Lavender Jones. Hiiiiggggghhhh
  6. Reminds me of the Iraqi response to shock and awe
  7. No one understands Russia culture like aggy
  8. Reporting coming out that we did give the ruskies a heads up on the visit.
  9. The simulation decided to really ramp up the idea of 2023 being the year of the balloons.
  10. Chili-lime salt my man. Good for cheering with a michelada or margarita after.
  11. Before this war, they were the second largest army in the world. With this many losses, are they like the 4th or 5th now?
  12. Just trying to prove they have the biggest Wang in the area
  13. Ffs, I think this whole balloon thing is just a guerilla marketing campaign by U2.
  14. The fact there are objects over our country from other countries, is not that much of a surprise. The rate of these incursions is getting kinda crazy.
  15. Yeah this bottle is moving up my list of top mezcals I've had. Needs to breathe a bit but it is so balanced.
  16. "Meat waves" term used in the comments of that tweet. I have a feeling we'll all be using that term more and more in the near future.
  17. I have countless hours in CIV V. Going to create a YouTube channel to compete against Zeihen.
  18. Biden didn't tell anyone about it just so they could have a black pilot shoot it down in black history month. Woke military!!! /s
  19. https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.cnn.com/cnn/2023/02/02/politics/us-tracking-china-spy-balloon/index.html They're getting ballsy
  20. Can this simulation create the scenario where someone throws Putin from a tall building and the pantsir shoots him down? Please and thank you
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