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VolenteHawk

Certifiably Surly
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Posts posted by VolenteHawk

  1. On 11/8/2021 at 2:35 PM, Jhawk said:

    You do realize that we are in the arguments process of the IARP investigation right? And you can literally see a timeline of events on the IARP website. The investigation has concluded. We are arguing against its findings. We have 5 level 1 violations levied against us. The most of any school, including Louisville. If we get out of this unscathed then the NCAA administrative leadership (not the schools) should just all disband and quit their jobs as they will have so grossly missed the mark on allegations against KU they would have to question their belief in god. 

    I think the NCAA wanted to drop the hammer on KU, I think they underestimated how seriously KU would defend itself, and there is absolutely no way they want to be drug into court to defend heavy sanctions (and the resulting financial damages) and have that contrasted with the FBI findings. Their best case is upholding a relative slap on the wrist and the worst case is they’re done as an organization. We’re posturing as if really going after the NCAA is on the table, and it probably is…the NCAA dying would be great for basketball schools. If the power conferences owned the tournament, we’d have a B1G invite by lunch.

     


     

  2. On 11/8/2021 at 1:14 PM, bigshark88 said:

    Anyone have a winder they're in love with?  I ordered this one about 16 months ago and it's already falling apart. 

    https://www.amazon.com/dp/B07SPZZ15R/ref=cm_sw_em_r_mt_dp_5XEXC3CJJCPY6NDXAGYD?_encoding=UTF8&psc=1

    I would like to have at least 3 winding.  The storage for the others (quartz / digital) is a huge plus for me as well.  

    My favorite of the cheap options is the Triple Tree 4 watch winder on Amazon.  Sub $200.

    • Like 1
  3. 15 hours ago, Dr Fear said:

    Texans are 4-4 ATS after the garbage time against the Rams on Sunday.

    The flip side is they are one more play worth of the Rams caring from being 1-5 ATS in Davis Mills starts.  But ATS record at the halfway point tells us much more about performance vs preseason expectation than it does anything predictive.

     

  4. On 10/17/2021 at 8:10 PM, Okie State said:

    Picked up a Sony A80J OLED on sale today to replace a low end LG that shit the bed. Pretty impressed so far. Great picture, pretty great sound for TV speakers, Google TV interface, minimalist design.

    OTA Stillers game broadcast looks fantastic.

    Also, first one had a cracked screen that I found when I got it home. Douche at Best Buy tried to tell me I was S.O.L., but they did end up making it right.

    I also snagged one recently, considerably happier with it than I expected to be, they just finally priced themselves in range of non terrible, non OLED options.  It's in a game/theater room, so I don't use it for sound...but sports, movies, streaming, video games are all outstanding.  I had a medium end direct-lit Sony before and really didn't know what I was missing.

    I thought the LG (C1 I think) was just as good but (as stupid as it sounds), my side TVs in the sports setup are LGs, and I didn't want to solve the remote issue of them crossing up.  Tie went to not having to figure that out.

    The Samsungs just don't stack up considering their price point, IMO.  If you're going to spend the money, go OLED with Sony or LG...if you're not you can downgrade to a mid-range direct lit and steer clear of the QLED no man's land.

    • Hook 'Em 1
    • Like 1
  5. If Taylor is back it will be lower, but I'm as anti Miami as they come (see my previous season win total under notes), and even I make it 6.5.  The Dolphins are regular bad, the Texans are baaaaad.

    FWIW I'm 20-20, so I might as well be flipping coins if that matters to you in my handicap.

     

  6. On 10/13/2021 at 3:03 PM, bernorange said:

    Boy #2 just fucked the passenger side of his car with $1k worth of damage to the front and rear door.  He and a friend went to Sonic and he somehow wedged his car in there in a way that was impossible to back out without damaging the car apparently.

    Kid #1 fucked his (my) car at Sonic almost the same way the day he got his driver's license.  $2k repair bill.

    In short, fuck Sonic and don't let your teenagers go there if you aren't riding shotgun.  It's hella expensive.

    I grew up in small town Kansas and this brought a tear to my eye. Oh what I wouldn’t give to fuck up my dad’s truck in a Sonic stall on a warm summer night. Again.

    Simpler times.

    • Like 1
  7. Went back to some old data, and depending on how you measure it this is my worst Q1 in the NFL ever.  Not really W-L, I've started this slow before, but generally due to losing coin flip games...this year has very little to do with luck.  I've never had bigger power rating adjustments this fast since I've been seriously handicapping the NFL (~20 years).  I've moved 6 teams by a field goal or more already, which is unprecedented.  Anyway, long way to go still.  Contest plays (8-12)...

    Saints, 49ers, Broncos, Bills, Chargers

     

  8. Win Totals:

    Orioles U63.5 - Winner

    Marlins U71.5 - Winner

    Twins O88.5 - Loser (by a zillion)

    Blue Jays O86.5 - Winner

    RedsU 81.5 - Loser (they tried to gag for me)

    Ranger U67.5 - Winner

    Added up for +3.5u to go with +4.36u on individual games for a solid if unspectacular season.

    I'll try to have some playoff picks, but the NFL is monopolizing my time...I'm in significantly more season long contest stuff than normal this year, but I do think some playoff series are mis-priced which will probably motivate me to dig in.

  9. On 9/23/2021 at 10:15 AM, tx 3 putt said:

    Hmm, geico just called and they want to send it to a shop. Initial spot estimate is repairable. I told them send it to dealership it was bought at 

    2854FA37-772C-4826-A530-8F50A9D958C3.jpeg

    86406369-1AF0-44CC-B7C5-E699014B732B.jpeg

    A4B8DEBD-A226-42A1-B0F3-0B76A31CD91F.jpeg

    For comparison’s sake, this was $8.5k a couple months back in Caliber Collision/USAA dollars.

    52FC5A2D-E19D-4BF2-83CD-7943FCC5E9B8.thumb.jpeg.c3c86913377d037d73cd3dacafa601a5.jpeg
    A495E6FC-C9B8-4DE9-AB47-265DD1560B10.thumb.jpeg.d0066476ce9afc5c9bc553465bc100b9.jpeg

  10. I reserve the right to stop posting these if I'm in contention later on, but I probably won't be.  The numbers vary a little by shop and static vs dynamic line rules, but I'm pretty well settled on my week 1 contest plays...

    Cowboys, Patriots, Chargers, Browns, Falcons

    Patriots will probably also be a cash play.

    Also, I found a Titans UNDER 9.5 +100 and grabbed that.  I'm done with season win totals now unless the Bills number pops.

  11. My biggest one is Circa Survivor, which counts Thanksgiving Day and Christmas Day as their own "week"...so it's 20 picks to the end.  So, if I'm playing to win, I need to avoid teams that play those days and generally need to have all 3 entries survive on common picks until week 12 or so before I start considering getting cute. There is also a $1M bonus for using the Chiefs or Bucs with you last pick, though if I get to a point where I need them, winning is obviously more important than chasing that bonus.  It may not work and I could crap out week 1, but I think the strategy is sound.

    San Francisco on all 3

     

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