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heso

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Everything posted by heso

  1. I kind of hate the feeling of estimating this since we have no idea what the situation on the ground was like that night. But looking at Google earth the bubble inn is 60 feet from a steep hill. The other close by cabins are closer to the hill. In a straight line the hill climbs 80 feet in 250 feet from the front door of the cabin. It looks like there is a path of some sort that climbs that hill. Even with pretty generous switchbacking it climbs the hill in 0.2 of a mile. I don’t know a damn thing about running a summer camp, and almost nothing about the Texas hill country, but it seems that if you’re going to have a camp in a designated floodway of one of the most flash flood prone areas in the world, you’d at least consider “if shit goes sideways, how much time do we need to get these kids up the hill?” It sure as shit seems to me that the protocol should have been “if we hear the (nonexistent) siren, we need to get these girls to high ground in <X minutes.” I have no clue what the situation on the ground was like that night. I don't know what time it started raining. I don’t know what the forecast was the day before. But if flash floods are a risk, if you have children sleeping in a floodway, and there is any rain in the forecast, how is the plan not put in place with escalations planned out. At minimum, the girls have their rain coats and shoes at the ready. Someone or more keeping close watch on the radar / weather alerts / upstream river gauges. Then if x amounts of rain falls or river level increases by x amount, we wake the girls in the lowlands and get them to a central location. If the alarm sounds we have X minutes to get to x height. There’s a good chance my math is wrong here, but if a flash flood wave is traveling at 9 ft/s, a warning gauge a mile and a half upstream would provide 15 minutes of warning that shit is about to absolutely hit the fan.
  2. I can’t believe we’re debating if sirens based on upstream water levels could have been effective at reducing the death toll. Take the account of the family from the TM article. They woke up to their house on stilts surrounded by water unable to leave the building. And then moments later it got ripped from its footing. You don’t think a siren would have warned them earlier? How much time would they have needed to not be in a house floating down the river? Would they have said “it’ll never make it up this high” and stayed? Maybe. But at least someone could have been awake and looking at the river before they were on an island. There have been so many accounts of people waking up to the room they are in full of water.
  3. One of the guys in my regular 4some changes putters more than any club in his bag trying to find something that works for him. Maybe a lab would help him, but I’m of the opinion that picking a putter and putting in some legitimate focused practice with it would help more than spending a bunch of money. But I’ve also never bought a putter. A friend of mine gave me a Cleveland copy of an 8802 that he found on the course that no one ever came back to claim. One year I was frustrated with my putter and was thinking about changing it, spent an hour or so at the practice green a couple times a week for a couple months and changed my approach to putting on the course, took my putting average from 37 to 32.
  4. I was very happy to see him miss the cut. There are so few courses that can punish the holes in his game because he can overpower almost any course. 2 rounds at Portrush and I won’t have to see him until next years masters. Now I just need YouTube’s algorithm to stop trying to get me to watch him.
  5. I wasn’t rooting for Spaun at the start of the day, but really impressive to grit through that start and have the resolve to push through the conditions after the restart while everyone else wilted.
  6. Burns should have stomped around like that in front of the rules officials if that’s accurate because his feet definitely weren’t splashing anything close to that.
  7. And just like that he’s in wet knee high fescue.
  8. But if we’re looking at a playoff tomorrow anyway because it’ll get dark, let’s make it a full 18.
  9. Rahm is in the clubhouse at +4 laughing his ass off.
  10. Wasn’t entirely serious with that question, but seeming more and more like gritting out even par would be a pretty good place to be.
  11. Announcer said they could absorb about a 2 hour delay. They’ll have been delayed for about 1:45 if they restart as expected.
  12. I’m not sure it’ll be that soon. I’m northwest of Oakmont and it’s still pouring here. The storm is moving kind of weird for the area where the overall storm is moving west to east but it’s spreading out east to west. 5 minutes before it started rainy here there was a less that 10% chance of rain. The radar is pretty unreliable right now.
  13. That’s a blink for everyone. No one wants to step up. Is the winner gonna be under par at this point?
  14. Bogey on 1 - drive it into the right rough, hacked 100 yards to the left rough, ran it on to the left side of the green, 30’ putt from the left fringe with 15 feet of break to 3’. Bogey on 2 was a perfect flighted sand wedge that hit the flag stick and rolled back 50 yards.
  15. Brutal for Spaun
  16. Rory had good looks at birdie on 3, 4, 5, 12, and 15 that he couldn’t convert, in addition to the 5 birdies he did make. There is a low number out there for someone to step up and take it.
  17. Early watching seems like you can hit a lot of greens because the balls aren’t running/bouncing off the fairways into the rough, but the putts are still hard to pay off.
  18. Rory hit 3i
  19. Rory could be -5 on the day if he could putt.
  20. Gotta make the birdie at 17 and make sure you don’t give it back at 18.
  21. He’s had a couple slip ups, most notably the tee shot on 3 that could have been in real trouble on the far side of the church pews but it was so bad that he ended up on a great spot on the 4th fairway. He’s had a couple others like that. But every time he’s actually gotten into a bad spot he’s got it back into position and paid off the par. It’s been really impressive with how much everyone else has given some back in those spots.
  22. I thought at least one of scheffler, Rahm, Xander, Morikawa, Rory, Jordan, Koepka would do something, anything to add some intrigue.
  23. That’s a big break being able to get free relief there.
  24. I feel like I should be trying to find the hidden image in his shirt.
  25. You and I have very different views on what constitutes a good shirt.
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